Valladolid at Villarreal

Updated

Valladolid

10.1%16.6%73.2%
WinDrawVillarreal Win
0.75Projected Goals 2.36
2Final Score 1

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Valladolid
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Mallorca+150
L 0-6 at Real Madrid+1245
L 3-1 vs Athletic Club+305
T 1-1 at Elche+180
W 1-2 vs Espanyol+130
Villarreal
Money Line
W 3-2 at Real Madrid+500
W 0-2 vs Real Sociedad+160
W 3-0 at Osasuna+150
T 1-1 vs Betis-145
W 2-0 at Almeria+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valladolid+662+549+500+600+596+600+600+624.7
Villarreal-237-209-210-210-206-210-206-189.3
Draw+387+376+380+365+366+365+380+381.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valladolid+650---+535+550+550+624.7
Villarreal-245----290-210-210-189.3
Draw+380---+335+355+355+381.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valladolid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valladolid: 0.0%
Villarreal: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valladolid: 20.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valladolid ML moved from +615 to +600
Villarreal ML moved from -205 to -214

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valladolid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valladolid: 0.0%
Villarreal: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valladolid: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valladolid ML moved from +610 to +550
Villarreal ML moved from -225 to -245

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+117o3-101o3-102o3-104o3+101o3-104o3+101o3+105
Underu3-139u3-117u3-118u3-116u3-116u3-116u3-116u3-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+115o3+115--o3+110o3+105o3+115o3+105
Underu3-135u3-135--u3-140u3-125u3-125u3-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-114 to u2¾-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.9%
 
No52.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.45%
Exactly 221.56%
Exactly 417.39%
Exactly 65.61%
Exactly 80.97%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 113.86%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 510.82%
Exactly 72.49%
Exactly 90.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Valladolid
Exactly 047.11%
Exactly 135.46%
Exactly 213.34%
Exactly 33.35%
Exactly 40.63%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 09.45%
Exactly 122.30%
Exactly 226.30%
Exactly 320.68%
Exactly 412.19%
Exactly 55.75%
Exactly 62.26%
Exactly 70.76%
Exactly 80.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.68%
Exactly 224.57%
Exactly 44.25%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.11%
Exactly 311.80%
Exactly 51.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valladolid
Exactly 070.57%
Exactly 124.60%
Exactly 24.29%
Exactly 30.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 033.55%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 220.01%
Exactly 37.28%
Exactly 41.99%
Exactly 50.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valladolid
Wins by 2+ goals2.69%
Wins by 3+ goals0.52%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals50.11%
Wins by 3+ goals28.56%
Wins by 4+ goals13.64%
Wins by 5+ goals5.53%
Wins by 6+ goals1.91%
Wins by 7+ goals0.54%
Wins by 8+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Valladolid
Villarreal
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Valladolid
Wins by 1 goal7.34%
Wins by 2 goals2.17%
Wins by 3 goals0.46%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal23.03%
Wins by 2 goals21.56%
Wins by 3 goals14.91%
Wins by 4 goals8.11%
Wins by 5 goals3.62%
Wins by 6 goals1.37%
Wins by 7 goals0.44%
Wins by 8 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.55%4.45%
1.581.69%18.31%
2.560.13%39.87%
3.537.77%62.23%
4.520.38%79.62%
5.59.56%90.44%
6.53.94%96.06%
7.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals Valladolid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.89%47.11%
1.517.43%82.57%
2.54.09%95.91%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.55%9.45%
1.568.25%31.75%
2.541.95%58.05%
3.521.27%78.73%
4.59.08%90.92%
5.53.32%96.68%
6.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.32%23.68%
1.542.21%57.79%
2.517.64%82.36%
3.55.84%94.16%
4.51.59%98.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valladolid
Villarreal
Score012345
0
4.45%
10.50%
12.39%
9.74%
5.74%
2.71%
1
3.35%
7.91%
9.33%
7.33%
4.32%
2.04%
2
1.26%
2.98%
3.51%
2.76%
1.63%
0.77%
3
0.32%
0.75%
0.88%
0.69%
0.41%
0.19%
Valladolid
1-03.35%
2-01.26%
2-12.98%
3-00.32%
3-10.75%
3-20.88%
Draw
0-04.45%
1-17.91%
2-23.51%
3-30.69%
Villarreal
0-110.50%
0-212.39%
1-29.33%
0-39.74%
1-37.33%
2-32.76%
0-45.74%
1-44.32%
2-41.63%
3-40.41%
0-52.71%
1-52.04%
2-50.77%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Valladolid
Villarreal
Score012345
0
23.68%
25.86%
14.12%
5.14%
1.40%
0.31%
1
8.25%
9.01%
4.92%
1.79%
0.49%
0.11%
2
1.44%
1.57%
0.86%
0.31%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.17%
0.18%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Valladolid
1-08.25%
2-01.44%
2-11.57%
3-00.17%
3-10.18%
Draw
0-023.68%
1-19.01%
2-20.86%
Villarreal
0-125.86%
0-214.12%
1-24.92%
0-35.14%
1-31.79%
2-30.31%
0-41.40%
1-40.49%
0-50.31%
1-50.11%