Atletico Madrid at Real Sociedad

Updated

Atletico Madrid

41.3%28.6%30.1%
Atletico Madrid WinDrawReal Sociedad Win
1.23Projected Goals 1.01
1Final Score 1

Real Sociedad

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 1-0 at Valencia-110
L 2-0 vs Villarreal-115
W 3-0 at Getafe-120
W 2-1 at Real Sociedad+165
T 1-1 vs Sevilla-105
Real Sociedad
Money Line
W 1-0 at Elche+105
L 4-1 vs Barcelona+265
W 1-0 at Cadiz+120
L 2-1 vs Atletico Madrid+175
W 2-1 at Villarreal+255

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+162+167+165+170+166+170+170+179.7
Real Sociedad+189+197+195+195+191+195+197+206.3
Draw+221+204+205+208+191+208+208+216.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+155---+150+165+165+179.7
Real Sociedad+190---+160+185+185+206.3
Draw+220---+195+210+210+216.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +162 to +156
Real Sociedad ML moved from +200 to +190

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +175 to +165
Real Sociedad ML moved from +170 to +160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+117o2-132o2-128o2-125-o2-125o2-125o2-114
Underu2½-139u2+112u2+108u2+105-u2+105u2+112u2+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-135o2-140--o2-140o2-125o2-125o2-114
Underu2+115u2+120--u2+110u2+105u2+120u2+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.9%
 
No55.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.69%
Exactly 226.72%
Exactly 411.13%
Exactly 61.85%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.90%
Exactly 319.91%
Exactly 54.98%
Exactly 70.59%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 029.23%
Exactly 135.95%
Exactly 222.11%
Exactly 39.06%
Exactly 42.79%
Exactly 50.69%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 036.58%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.50%
Exactly 36.20%
Exactly 41.56%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.52%
Exactly 219.03%
Exactly 41.70%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.57%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 056.59%
Exactly 132.22%
Exactly 29.17%
Exactly 31.74%
Exactly 40.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 062.77%
Exactly 129.23%
Exactly 26.81%
Exactly 31.06%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals18.11%
Wins by 3+ goals6.13%
Wins by 4+ goals1.65%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals11.12%
Wins by 3+ goals3.10%
Wins by 4+ goals0.66%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.14%
Wins by 2 goals11.98%
Wins by 3 goals4.48%
Wins by 4 goals1.30%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal18.93%
Wins by 2 goals8.01%
Wins by 3 goals2.44%
Wins by 4 goals0.57%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.31%10.69%
1.565.40%34.60%
2.538.68%61.32%
3.518.77%81.23%
4.57.64%92.36%
5.52.66%97.34%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.77%29.23%
1.534.81%65.19%
2.512.70%87.30%
3.53.64%96.36%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.42%36.58%
1.526.64%73.36%
2.58.14%91.86%
3.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.48%35.52%
1.527.71%72.29%
2.58.69%91.31%
3.52.12%97.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
Score01234
0
10.69%
10.75%
5.41%
1.81%
0.46%
1
13.15%
13.23%
6.65%
2.23%
0.56%
2
8.09%
8.13%
4.09%
1.37%
0.34%
3
3.31%
3.33%
1.68%
0.56%
0.14%
4
1.02%
1.03%
0.52%
0.17%
0.04%
5
0.25%
0.25%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Atletico Madrid
1-013.15%
2-08.09%
2-18.13%
3-03.31%
3-13.33%
3-21.68%
4-01.02%
4-11.03%
4-20.52%
4-30.17%
5-00.25%
5-10.25%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-010.69%
1-113.23%
2-24.09%
3-30.56%
Real Sociedad
0-110.75%
0-25.41%
1-26.65%
0-31.81%
1-32.23%
2-31.37%
0-40.46%
1-40.56%
2-40.34%
3-40.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
Score0123
0
35.52%
16.54%
3.85%
0.60%
1
20.23%
9.42%
2.19%
0.34%
2
5.76%
2.68%
0.62%
0.10%
3
1.09%
0.51%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-020.23%
2-05.76%
2-12.68%
3-01.09%
3-10.51%
3-20.12%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-035.52%
1-19.42%
2-20.62%
Real Sociedad
0-116.54%
0-23.85%
1-22.19%
0-30.60%
1-30.34%