Real Madrid at Villarreal

Updated

Real Madrid

42.9%26.1%31.0%
Real Madrid WinDrawVillarreal Win
1.48Projected Goals 1.06
0Final Score 0

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Granada-400
T 2-2 vs Elche-600
W 1-4 vs Valencia-285
L 0-1 at Getafe-185
W 2-1 at Athletic Club+120
Villarreal
Money Line
W 2-0 at Betis+200
W 0-3 vs Mallorca-190
L 0-1 at Elche-165
T 2-2 vs Atletico Madrid+155
W 0-5 vs Levante-270

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+150+165+155+168+156+155+168+169.2
Villarreal+180+170+180+183+176+180+183+189.0
Draw+230+225+250+239+229+250+250+254.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+165---+155+155+155+169.2
Villarreal+155---+140+175+175+189.0
Draw+255---+215+240+240+254.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Villarreal: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +165 to +155
Villarreal ML moved from +169 to +162

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Villarreal: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +175 to +155
No Steam Moves On Villarreal ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+100o2½-108o2½-108o2½-105-o2½-108o2½-105o2½+100
Underu2¾-120u2½-112u2½-112u2½-110-u2½-112u2½-110u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-115--o2½-115o2½-115o2½-115o2½+100
Underu2½+100u2½-105--u2½-115u2½-105u2½-105u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.5%
 
No49.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.91%
Exactly 225.46%
Exactly 413.65%
Exactly 62.93%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 120.07%
Exactly 321.53%
Exactly 56.93%
Exactly 71.06%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 022.94%
Exactly 133.78%
Exactly 224.86%
Exactly 312.20%
Exactly 44.49%
Exactly 51.32%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 034.48%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.54%
Exactly 36.94%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.90%
Exactly 221.31%
Exactly 42.45%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 38.34%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 050.58%
Exactly 134.48%
Exactly 211.75%
Exactly 32.67%
Exactly 40.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 061.08%
Exactly 130.11%
Exactly 27.42%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals22.95%
Wins by 3+ goals8.92%
Wins by 4+ goals2.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.69%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals10.29%
Wins by 3+ goals2.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.65%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Villarreal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.50%
Wins by 2 goals14.03%
Wins by 3 goals6.14%
Wins by 4 goals2.10%
Wins by 5 goals0.57%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal16.99%
Wins by 2 goals7.33%
Wins by 3 goals2.31%
Wins by 4 goals0.56%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.09%7.91%
1.572.02%27.98%
2.546.56%53.44%
3.525.03%74.97%
4.511.38%88.62%
5.54.45%95.55%
6.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.06%22.94%
1.543.28%56.72%
2.518.42%81.58%
3.56.22%93.78%
4.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.52%34.48%
1.528.80%71.20%
2.59.26%90.74%
3.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.10%30.90%
1.532.82%67.18%
2.511.50%88.50%
3.53.16%96.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Villarreal
Score01234
0
7.91%
8.42%
4.48%
1.59%
0.42%
1
11.65%
12.40%
6.60%
2.34%
0.62%
2
8.57%
9.13%
4.86%
1.72%
0.46%
3
4.21%
4.48%
2.38%
0.85%
0.23%
4
1.55%
1.65%
0.88%
0.31%
0.08%
5
0.46%
0.49%
0.26%
0.09%
0.02%
Real Madrid
1-011.65%
2-08.57%
2-19.13%
3-04.21%
3-14.48%
3-22.38%
4-01.55%
4-11.65%
4-20.88%
4-30.31%
5-00.46%
5-10.49%
5-20.26%
Draw
0-07.91%
1-112.40%
2-24.86%
3-30.85%
Villarreal
0-18.42%
0-24.48%
1-26.60%
0-31.59%
1-32.34%
2-31.72%
0-40.42%
1-40.62%
2-40.46%
3-40.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Villarreal
Score0123
0
30.90%
15.23%
3.75%
0.62%
1
21.06%
10.38%
2.56%
0.42%
2
7.18%
3.54%
0.87%
0.14%
3
1.63%
0.80%
0.20%
0.03%
4
0.28%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
Real Madrid
1-021.06%
2-07.18%
2-13.54%
3-01.63%
3-10.80%
3-20.20%
4-00.28%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-030.90%
1-110.38%
2-20.87%
Villarreal
0-115.23%
0-23.75%
1-22.56%
0-30.62%
1-30.42%
2-30.14%