AIK Stockholm at Varberg

Updated

AIK Stockholm

37.1%27.8%35.2%
AIK Stockholm WinDrawVarberg Win
1.22Projected Goals 1.16
1Final Score 0

Varberg

Last 5 Games

AIK Stockholm
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Ostersund-700
L 0-1 at Halmstad+140
L 0-1 at Malmo+455
W 0-1 vs Norrkoping-130
L 0-1 at Hammarby+175
Varberg
Money Line
T 0-0 at Elfsborg+330
W 0-3 vs Ostersund-225
T 2-2 at Kalmar+265
T 1-1 vs Malmo+550
L 1-2 at Sirius+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AIK Stockholm+135+125+125+125+122+125+125+134.6
Varberg+210+275+280+281+256+280+281+282.8
Draw+220+185+191+206+205+191+206+220.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AIK Stockholm+145----+120+120+134.6
Varberg+215----+260+260+282.8
Draw+205----+215+215+220.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AIK Stockholm: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Varberg: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AIK Stockholm: 0.0%
Varberg: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

AIK Stockholm: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AIK Stockholm: 0.0%
Varberg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AIK Stockholm ML moved from +128 to +121
Varberg ML moved from +270 to +255

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AIK Stockholm: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Varberg: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AIK Stockholm: 0.0%
Varberg: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

AIK Stockholm: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AIK Stockholm: 0.0%
Varberg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AIK Stockholm ML moved from +130 to +120
Varberg ML moved from +250 to +240

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o1¾-122o2+105o2+118-o2+105o2+118o1¾-108
Underu2¼-105u1¾+102u2-125u2-133-u2-125u2-125u1¾+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o1¾-108
Under-----u1¾+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¼-120 to u2-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.23%
Exactly 226.20%
Exactly 412.39%
Exactly 62.34%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 122.00%
Exactly 320.81%
Exactly 55.91%
Exactly 70.80%
Exact Goals Scored - AIK Stockholm
Exactly 029.46%
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 222.00%
Exactly 38.96%
Exactly 42.74%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Varberg
Exactly 031.34%
Exactly 136.36%
Exactly 221.09%
Exactly 38.16%
Exactly 42.37%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.19%
Exactly 220.19%
Exactly 42.05%
 
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 37.42%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AIK Stockholm
Exactly 056.79%
Exactly 132.13%
Exactly 29.09%
Exactly 31.71%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Varberg
Exactly 058.44%
Exactly 131.39%
Exactly 28.43%
Exactly 31.51%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

AIK Stockholm
Wins by 2+ goals16.18%
Wins by 3+ goals5.39%
Wins by 4+ goals1.43%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%
Varberg
Wins by 2+ goals14.26%
Wins by 3+ goals4.54%
Wins by 4+ goals1.15%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

AIK Stockholm
Varberg
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
AIK Stockholm
Wins by 1 goal21.42%
Wins by 2 goals10.79%
Wins by 3 goals3.96%
Wins by 4 goals1.13%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%
Varberg
Wins by 1 goal20.33%
Wins by 2 goals9.72%
Wins by 3 goals3.39%
Wins by 4 goals0.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.77%9.23%
1.568.77%31.23%
2.542.57%57.43%
3.521.76%78.24%
4.59.37%90.63%
5.53.46%96.54%
6.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals AIK Stockholm Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.54%29.46%
1.534.54%65.46%
2.512.54%87.46%
3.53.57%96.43%

Total Goals Varberg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.66%31.34%
1.532.30%67.70%
2.511.20%88.80%
3.53.04%96.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.81%33.19%
1.530.21%69.79%
2.510.02%89.98%
3.52.60%97.40%

Score Props

Correct Score

AIK Stockholm
Varberg
Score012345
0
9.23%
10.71%
6.21%
2.40%
0.70%
0.16%
1
11.28%
13.09%
7.59%
2.94%
0.85%
0.20%
2
6.90%
8.00%
4.64%
1.79%
0.52%
0.12%
3
2.81%
3.26%
1.89%
0.73%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.86%
1.00%
0.58%
0.22%
0.06%
0.02%
5
0.21%
0.24%
0.14%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
AIK Stockholm
1-011.28%
2-06.90%
2-18.00%
3-02.81%
3-13.26%
3-21.89%
4-00.86%
4-11.00%
4-20.58%
4-30.22%
5-00.21%
5-10.24%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-09.23%
1-113.09%
2-24.64%
3-30.73%
Varberg
0-110.71%
0-26.21%
1-27.59%
0-32.40%
1-32.94%
2-31.79%
0-40.70%
1-40.85%
2-40.52%
3-40.21%
0-50.16%
1-50.20%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

AIK Stockholm
Varberg
Score01234
0
33.19%
17.83%
4.79%
0.86%
0.12%
1
18.78%
10.09%
2.71%
0.49%
0.07%
2
5.31%
2.85%
0.77%
0.14%
0.02%
3
1.00%
0.54%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.14%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
AIK Stockholm
1-018.78%
2-05.31%
2-12.85%
3-01.00%
3-10.54%
3-20.14%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-033.19%
1-110.09%
2-20.77%
Varberg
0-117.83%
0-24.79%
1-22.71%
0-30.86%
1-30.49%
2-30.14%
0-40.12%
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