Justin Gaethje vs Dustin Poirier

Updated

Justin Gaethje

41.6%58.4%
Justin Gaethje WinDustin Poirier Win
WinFinal Result Loss

Dustin Poirier

Last Fights

Justin Gaethje
Money Line
Win vs Rafael Fiziev+240
Loss vs Charles Oliveira+130
Win vs Michael Chandler-210
Loss vs Khabib Nurmagomedov+250
Dustin Poirier
Money Line
Win vs Michael Chandler-190
Loss vs Charles Oliveira-130
Win vs Conor McGregor-120
Win vs Conor McGregor+260
Win vs Dan Hooker-220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Justin Gaethje+102+122+130+131+140+131+140+139.0
Dustin Poirier-122-150-150-151-160-151-150-139.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Justin Gaethje+110+130+125+140+135+125+140+139.0
Dustin Poirier-130-150-145-165-155-145-145-139.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Justin Gaethje: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dustin Poirier: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Justin Gaethje: 10.0%
Dustin Poirier: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Justin Gaethje: 40.0%
Dustin Poirier: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Justin Gaethje ML moved from +130 to +119
Dustin Poirier ML moved from -136 to -154

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Justin Gaethje: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dustin Poirier: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Justin Gaethje: 0.0%
Dustin Poirier: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Justin Gaethje: 40.0%
Dustin Poirier: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Justin Gaethje ML
No Steam Moves On Dustin Poirier ML