UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for October 6, 2024

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Oct 5, 2024
Fights for Oct 7, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
TJ Dillashaw
Cory Sandhagen		42.9%
57.1%
+170
-200
+175
-200
Win
Loss		-1.02963-1.04146-0.84628
Raulian Paiva
Kyler Phillips		31.6%
68.4%
+275
-300
+275
-320
Win
Loss		-1.33827-1.34992-1.15325
Darrick Minner
Darren Elkins		43.6%
56.4%
-150
+137
-150
+140
Loss
Win		-0.88460-0.89199-0.57222
Maycee Barber
Miranda Maverick		56.8%
43.2%
+137
-150
+147
-155
Win
Loss		-0.88460-0.91684-0.56500
Randy Costa
Adrian Yanez		39.2%
60.8%
+215
-230
+195
-220
Loss
Win		-0.37533-0.40084-0.49770
Brendan Allen
Punahele Soriano		48.5%
51.5%
+110
-115
+100
-115
Win
Loss		-0.75294-0.72743-0.72278
Nassourdine Imavov
Ian Heinisch		40.7%
59.3%
+145
-148
+135
-150
Win
Loss		-0.90101-0.87962-0.89784
Jordan Williams
Mickey Gall		57.8%
42.2%
-170
+161
-167
+150
Loss
Win		-0.97204-0.94143-0.86289
Julio Arce
Andre Ewell		69.7%
30.3%
-195
+187
-200
+180
Win
Loss		-0.42338-0.42898-0.36080
Elise Reed
Sijara Eubanks		27.8%
72.2%
+355
-410
+320
-360
Loss
Win		-0.24168-0.26562-0.32617
Diana Belbita
Hannah Goldy		50.1%
49.9%
+103
-105
+105
-110
Win
Loss		-0.71284-0.72940-0.69177
Thiago Moises
Islam Makhachev		18.7%
81.3%
+555
-700
+585
-700
Loss
Win		-0.16083-0.15431-0.20745
Miesha Tate
Marion Reneau		57.1%
42.9%
-147
+160
-185
+170
Win
Loss		-0.49852-0.45144-0.56105
Jeremy Stephens
Mateusz Gamrot		33.4%
66.6%
+238
-216
+225
-240
Loss
Win		-0.35965-0.36179-0.40681
Dustin Stoltzfus
Rodolfo Vieira		17.2%
82.8%
+186
-215
+180
-200
Loss
Win		-0.41362-0.42898-0.18930
Gabriel Benitez
Billy Quarantillo		64.3%
35.7%
-150
+143
-145
+135
Loss
Win		-0.89936-0.87165-1.03033
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.53731 
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.53761 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.53592
0.00140
0.00169

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.