UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for November 16, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Eduarda Moura
Veronica Macedo 		45.5%
54.5%
+120
-140
+120
-135
Oban Elliott
Bassil Hafez 		73.7%
26.3%
-270
+240
-270
+230
Ramiz Brahimaj
Mickey Gall 		50.3%
49.7%
+123
-142
+120
-135
Jhonata Diniz
Marcin Tybura 		48.9%
51.1%
+126
-142
+130
-145
Damon Jackson
Jim Miller 		55.6%
44.4%
-170
+151
-165
+150
Eryk Anders
Chris Weidman 		59.4%
40.6%
-115
-101
-105
-110
Marcus McGhee
Jonathan Martinez 		52.2%
47.8%
-138
+122
-130
+125
James Llontop
Mauricio Ruffy 		22.6%
77.4%
+600
-900
+600
-750
Karine Silva
Viviane Araujo 		69.8%
30.2%
-280
+240
-270
+230
Paul Craig
Bo Nickal 		19.7%
80.3%
+850
-1365
+750
-1150
Michael Chandler
Charles Oliveira 		41.1%
58.9%
+215
-250
+220
-230
Stipe Miocic
Jon Jones 		27.5%
72.5%
+475
-650
+550
-650
Overall Bet Value Active
Fights for Nov 15, 2024
Fights for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Gina Mazany
Julia Avila		15.5%
84.5%
+500
-640
+500
-640
Loss
Win		-0.16358-0.16358-0.16835
Zarrukh Adashev
Tyson Nam		45.8%
54.2%
+115
-125
+120
-120
Loss
Win		-0.60657-0.60614-0.61157
Christian Aguilera
Anthony Ivy		38.9%
61.1%
+160
-175
+175
-190
Win
Loss		-0.98315-1.03781-0.94325

Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks109-1 (0.900)0-0.39439 
Sportsbooks109-1 (0.900)0-0.39421 
DRatings109-1 (0.900)0-0.47243
-0.07804
-0.07822

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.