UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 14, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Jun 7, 2025
Fights for Jun 15, 2025

Completed Fights

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TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Ludovit Klein
Mateusz Gamrot		36.1%
63.9%
+140
-142
+140
-145
Loss
Win		-0.53655-0.53299-0.44751
Ramiz Brahimaj
Billy Goff		39.4%
60.6%
+350
-430
+375
-400
Win
Loss		-1.53707-1.56858-0.93107
Bruno Lopes
Dustin Jacoby		34.3%
65.7%
+163
-175
+170
-170
Loss
Win		-0.46844-0.46262-0.42047
Macy Chiasson
Ketlen Vieira		42.6%
57.4%
-170
+155
-160
+160
Loss
Win		-0.95763-0.95550-0.55436
Dusko Todorovic
Zach Reese		31.9%
68.1%
+210
-250
+215
-220
Loss
Win		-0.37267-0.37964-0.38368
Jafel Filho
Allan Nascimento		40.3%
59.7%
-104
-112
+100
-105
Loss
Win		-0.67548-0.68116-0.51664
Kurt Holobaugh
Jordan Leavitt		40.3%
59.7%
+225
-260
+240
-250
Loss
Win		-0.35489-0.34485-0.51664
Michael Aswell
Bolaji Oki		26.9%
73.1%
+500
-650
+550
-670
Loss
Win		-0.17589-0.16281-0.31273
Alice Ardelean
Rayanne Amanda		31.3%
68.7%
+195
-220
+185
-210
Win
Loss		-1.10794-1.07523-1.16008
Gilbert Burns
Michael Morales		28.7%
71.3%
+355
-440
+400
-425
Loss
Win		-0.23880-0.22078-0.33770
Sodiq Yusuff
Mairon Santos		44.5%
55.5%
+171
-155
+175
-160
Loss
Win		-0.47441-0.46431-0.58830
Dustin Stoltzfus
Nursulton Ruziboev		33.8%
66.2%
+222
-255
+215
-250
Loss
Win		-0.35932-0.36772-0.41249
Julian Erosa
Melquizael Costa		45.6%
54.4%
+145
-153
+140
-155
Loss
Win		-0.51577-0.52206-0.60833
Gabriel Green
Matheus Camilo		39.7%
60.3%
+165
-183
+175
-190
Win
Loss		-0.99826-1.03022-0.92503
Jared Gordon
Thiago Moises		53.7%
46.3%
-118
+105
-110
+100
Win
Loss		-0.64249-0.67015-0.62235
Connor Matthews
Yadier Del Valle		23.0%
77.0%
+550
-625
+500
-550
Loss
Win		-0.16421-0.17980-0.26144
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Season Prediction Results

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 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks96-3 (0.667)0-0.68740 
Sportsbooks96-3 (0.667)0-0.68482 
DRatings97-2 (0.778)0-0.58258
0.10482
0.10224

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.