UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for November 9, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Carlos Prates
Neil Magny 		77.2%
22.8%
-610
+435

Miles Johns
Cody Garbrandt 		49.5%
50.5%
-135
+115

Denise Gomes
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 		69.6%
30.4%
-450
+350

Benardo Sopaj
Ricky Turcios 		70.0%
30.0%


Gillian Robertson
Luana Pinheiro 		53.4%
46.6%
-240
+205

Nicolas Dalby
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 		35.5%
64.5%
+100
-120

Charlie Radtke
Matthew Semelsberger 		55.0%
45.0%
-170
+145

Da'Mon Blackshear
Cody Stamann 		56.7%
43.3%
-255
+215

Antonio Trocoli
Tresean Gore 		37.3%
62.7%
+145
-170

Fights for Nov 2, 2024
Fights for Nov 10, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Max Holloway
Ilia Topuria		35.2%
64.8%
+240
-265
+245
-255
Loss
Win		-0.34011-0.33899-0.43325
Khamzat Chimaev
Robert Whittaker		70.0%
30.0%
-225
+195
-210
+200
Win
Loss		-0.39854-0.40015-0.35652
Aleksandar Rakic
Magomed Ankalaev		32.4%
67.6%
+267
-290
+290
-300
Loss
Win		-0.31221-0.29408-0.39106
Dan Ige
Lerone Murphy		38.8%
61.2%
+280
-325
+280
-320
Loss
Win		-0.29574-0.29670-0.49169
Armen Petrosyan
Shara Magomedov		38.9%
61.1%
+150
-170
+150
-165
Loss
Win		-0.49182-0.49617-0.49325
Rafael Cerqueira
Ibo Aslan		52.5%
47.5%
-115
-105
-115
+100
Loss
Win		-0.71505-0.72743-0.74524
Rafael Dos Anjos
Geoff Neal		26.7%
73.3%
+220
-250
+210
-245
Loss
Win		-0.36291-0.37449-0.31005
Myktybek Orolbai
Mateusz Rebecki		68.2%
31.8%
-270
+240
-240
+210
Loss
Win		-1.24733-1.15948-1.14504
Brunno Ferreira
Abus Magomedov		38.6%
61.4%
+135
-155
+140
-150
Loss
Win		-0.53067-0.52736-0.48783
Chris Barnett
Kennedy Nzechukwu		18.4%
81.6%
+572
-750
+550
-750
Loss
Win		-0.15585-0.16073-0.20324
Victor Hugo
Farid Basharat		17.8%
82.2%
+475
-600
+550
-630
Loss
Win		-0.18473-0.16405-0.19600
Bruno Silva
Ismail Naurdiev		46.9%
53.1%
+137
-155
+150
-150
Loss
Win		-0.52719-0.51083-0.63260
Carlos Leal
Rinat Fakhretdinov		27.3%
72.7%
+180
-205
+190
-200
Loss
Win		-0.42615-0.41690-0.31840
Michel Pereira
Anthony Hernandez		44.8%
55.2%
+135
-137
+130
-145
Loss
Win		-0.55166-0.55080-0.59410
Kyler Phillips
Rob Font		70.3%
29.7%
-525
+490
-550
+475
Loss
Win		-1.78439-1.76908-1.21288
Su Mudaerji
Charles Johnson		41.4%
58.6%
+250
-290
+260
-270
Loss
Win		-0.32515-0.32256-0.53379
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1311-2 (0.846)0-0.46064 
Sportsbooks1311-2 (0.846)0-0.45134 
DRatings1311-2 (0.846)0-0.47724
-0.01661
-0.02591

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.