UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 18, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Arman Tsarukyan
Islam Makhachev 		49.0%
51.0%
+310
-350
+280
-320
Overall Bet Value Active
Umar Nurmagomedov
Merab Dvalishvili 		48.6%
51.4%
-285
+250
-280
+245
Renato Moicano
Beneil Dariush 		26.6%
73.4%
-190
+174
-200
+180
Overall Bet Value Active
Jamahal Hill
Jiri Prochazka 		60.7%
39.3%
+103
-117
+110
-130
Reinier de Ridder
Kevin Holland 		40.0%
60.0%
+125
-145

Bogdan Guskov
Johnny Walker 		32.7%
67.3%
-148
+128

Raoni Barcelos
Payton Talbott 		39.4%
60.6%
+700
-1025

Serghei Spivac
Jailton Almeida 		37.8%
62.2%
+240
-300

Sedriques Dumas
Zach Reese 		35.1%
64.9%
+230
-270

Diego Ferreira
Grant Dawson 		27.9%
72.1%
+245
-285

Ailin Perez
Karol Rosa 		46.5%
53.5%
+155
-180

Muin Gafurov
Rinya Nakamura 		54.2%
45.8%
+350
-450

Benardo Sopaj
Ricky Turcios 		70.0%
30.0%
-300
+250

Clayton Carpenter
Tagir Ulanbekov 		39.0%
61.0%
+215
-255

Fights for Jan 11, 2025
Fights for Jan 19, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Joaquin Buckley
Colby Covington		62.2%
37.8%
-210
+190
-220
+210
Win
Loss		-0.41146-0.38472-0.47408
Billy Quarantillo
Cub Swanson		63.7%
36.3%
-175
+175
-190
+175
Loss
Win		-1.01159-1.03022-1.01275
Bruno Silva
Manel Kape		31.1%
68.9%
+320
-400
+330
-400
Loss
Win		-0.26053-0.25519-0.37204
Dustin Jacoby
Vitor Petrino		35.7%
64.3%
+265
-300
+300
-300
Win
Loss		-1.31841-1.38629-1.03041
Daniel Marcos
Adrian Yanez		61.9%
38.1%
-260
+225
-250
+240
Win
Loss		-0.35489-0.34485-0.47976
Tuco Tokkos
Navajo Stirling		16.2%
83.8%
+800
-1000
+700
-900
Loss
Win		-0.11531-0.13005-0.17649
Ottman Azaitar
Michael Johnson		43.3%
56.7%
+210
-250
+220
-230
Loss
Win		-0.37267-0.37044-0.56766
Drakkar Klose
Joel Alvarez		29.0%
71.0%
+430
-525
+400
-475
Loss
Win		-0.20263-0.21680-0.34290
Fernando Padilla
Sean Woodson		41.5%
58.5%
+140
-160
+135
-150
Loss
Win		-0.51706-0.53604-0.53625
Felipe Lima
Miles Johns		63.2%
36.8%
-260
+240
-270
+235
Win
Loss		-0.34163-0.34293-0.45917
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Miranda Maverick		24.6%
75.4%
+700
-1000
+675
-700
Loss
Win		-0.12883-0.13755-0.28238
Ramon Taveras
Davey Grant		54.2%
45.8%
-105
-103
-110
-105
Loss
Win		-0.69788-0.70441-0.78067
Piera Rodriguez
Josefine Knutsson		37.5%
62.5%
+250
-275
+250
-260
Win
Loss		-1.27165-1.26068-0.97968
Kai Asakura
Alexandre Pantoja		38.7%
61.3%
+200
-205
+205
-205
Loss
Win		-0.40275-0.39730-0.48937
Ian Garry
Shavkat Rakhmonov		28.9%
71.1%
+350
-420
+340
-380
Loss
Win		-0.24305-0.25238-0.34145
Alexander Volkov
Ciryl Gane		28.3%
71.7%
+260
-310
+330
-330
Loss
Win		-0.31290-0.26469-0.33234
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.