UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for February 1, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nassourdine Imavov
Israel Adesanya 		32.6%
67.4%
+145
-155
+145
-150
Michael Page
Shara Magomedov 		43.2%
56.8%
+165
-185
+170
-175
Volatility Bet Value Active
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Sergei Pavlovich 		33.6%
66.4%
+255
-300
+280
-320
Vinicius Oliveira
Said Nurmagomedov 		30.7%
69.3%
+145
-170
+155
-165
Kaan Ofli
Muhammad Naimov 		28.9%
71.1%
+245
-285
+245
-280
Thomas Petersen
Shamil Gaziev 		29.9%
70.1%
+280
-330
+290
-330
Damir Hadzovic
Terrance McKinney 		31.0%
69.0%
+370
-470
+385
-450
Mike Davis
Fares Ziam 		52.0%
48.0%
-140
+127
-140
+135
Lucas Alexander
Bogdan Grad 		52.5%
47.5%
-110
-110
+100
+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Jamal Pogues
Hamdy Abdelwahab 		48.4%
51.6%
-105
-110
-105
-110
Mayra Bueno Silva
Jasmine Jasudavicius 		42.6%
57.4%
+195
-225
+190
-220
Fights for Jan 31, 2025
Fights for Feb 8, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Roman Kopylov
Chris Curtis		61.7%
38.3%
-245
+210
-240
+215
Win
Loss		-0.37449-0.37138-0.48243
Austin Bashi
Christian Rodriguez		63.7%
36.3%
-235
+215
-230
+230
Loss
Win		-1.16616-1.19392-1.01247
Uros Medic
Punahele Soriano		57.9%
42.1%
-230
+195
-220
+210
Loss
Win		-1.11712-1.14144-0.86588
Felipe Bunes
Jose Johnson		36.8%
63.2%
+135
-150
+145
-155
Win
Loss		-0.87962-0.91198-0.99916
Ihor Potieria
Marco Tulio		26.4%
73.6%
+450
-525
+405
-450
Loss
Win		-0.19594-0.21674-0.30686
Trey Ogden
Thiago Moises		36.8%
63.2%
+135
-144
+145
-145
Loss
Win		-0.54294-0.52452-0.45917
Jacobe Smith
Preston Parsons		27.5%
72.5%
-575
+525
-500
+450
Win
Loss		-0.17213-0.19737-1.29142
Nicolle Caliari
Ernesta Kareckaite		35.3%
64.7%
+245
-275
+255
-260
Loss
Win		-0.33308-0.32932-0.43501
Bruno Lopes
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov		36.1%
63.9%
+240
-279
+245
-270
Win
Loss		-1.25358-1.25776-1.01810
Viktoriya Dudakova
Fatima Kline		23.0%
77.0%
+550
-750
+650
-750
Loss
Win		-0.16073-0.14072-0.26144
Joe Solecki
Nurullo Aliev		28.1%
71.9%
+540
-700
+530
-650
Loss
Win		-0.16431-0.16818-0.32975
Joaquin Buckley
Colby Covington		62.2%
37.8%
-210
+190
-220
+210
Win
Loss		-0.41146-0.38472-0.47408
Billy Quarantillo
Cub Swanson		63.7%
36.3%
-175
+175
-190
+175
Loss
Win		-1.01159-1.03022-1.01275
Bruno Silva
Manel Kape		31.1%
68.9%
+320
-400
+330
-400
Loss
Win		-0.26053-0.25519-0.37204
Dustin Jacoby
Vitor Petrino		35.7%
64.3%
+265
-300
+300
-300
Win
Loss		-1.31841-1.38629-1.03041
Daniel Marcos
Adrian Yanez		61.9%
38.1%
-260
+225
-250
+240
Win
Loss		-0.35489-0.34485-0.47976
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.