UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for November 2, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Amir Albazi
Brandon Moreno 		39.0%
61.0%
+149
-165
+155
-165
Rose Namajunas
Erin Blanchfield 		46.1%
53.9%
+110
-122
+115
-130
Jhonata Diniz
Derrick Lewis 		54.1%
45.9%
-175
+150
-170
+160
Brendson Ribeiro
Caio Machado 		42.6%
57.4%
+136
-150
+145
-145
Volatility Bet Value Active
Dustin Stoltzfus
Marc-Andre Barriault 		31.5%
68.5%
+170
-200
+165
-185
Trevin Giles
Mike Malott 		28.4%
71.6%
+225
-260
+220
-240
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Ariane Lipski 		58.2%
41.8%
-210
+180
-215
+195
Pedro Munhoz
Aiemann Zahabi 		57.5%
42.5%
+100
-115
-105
-115
Victor Henry
Charles Jourdain 		47.0%
53.0%
+118
-125
+110
-130
Rodrigo Nascimento
Alexandr Romanov 		47.8%
52.2%
-110
-103
-110
-110
Garrett Armfield
Serhiy Sidey 		41.8%
58.2%
+125
-140
+130
-145
Cody Gibson
Chad Anheliger 		56.9%
43.1%
-187
+168
-170
+165
Volatility Bet Value Active
Ivana Petrovic
Jamey-Lyn Horth 		40.7%
59.3%
+185
-220
+180
-210
Youssef Zalal
Jack Shore 		62.2%
37.8%
-260
+240
-260
+230
Fights for Nov 1, 2024
Fights for Nov 9, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Daniel Pineda
Darren Elkins		49.6%
50.4%
+150
-165
+155
-150
Loss
Win		-0.49617-0.50296-0.68464
Asu Almabayev
Matheus Nicolau		53.7%
46.3%
-235
+200
-210
+200
Win
Loss		-0.38877-0.40015-0.62096
Jean Matsumoto
Brad Katona		66.6%
33.4%
-200
+178
-210
+180
Win
Loss		-0.43149-0.42344-0.40722
Tamires Vidal
Joselyne Edwards		35.9%
64.1%
+212
-240
+195
-215
Loss
Win		-0.37436-0.40323-0.44462
Elise Reed
Jessica Penne		61.2%
38.8%
-230
+200
-200
+210
Win
Loss		-0.39087-0.39466-0.49061
Alice Ardelean
Mellisa Martinez		37.3%
62.7%
+135
-153
+140
-150
Loss
Win		-0.53278-0.52736-0.46657
Robelis Despaigne
Austen Lane		74.9%
25.1%
-385
+340
-390
+375
Loss
Win		-1.50247-1.56456-1.38059
Tatsuro Taira
Brandon Royval		66.9%
33.1%
-300
+255
-300
+265
Loss
Win		-1.29814-1.31841-1.10458
Junyong Park
Brad Tavares		57.7%
42.3%
-235
+203
-210
+200
Win
Loss		-0.38559-0.40015-0.55054
Jared Gooden
Chidi Njokuani		32.0%
68.0%
+125
-140
+125
-140
Loss
Win		-0.56639-0.56639-0.38624
Rafa Garcia
Grant Dawson		20.3%
79.7%
+307
-380
+285
-320
Loss
Win		-0.27030-0.29335-0.22703
Alex Morono
Daniel Rodriguez		41.1%
58.9%
+195
-210
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.40573-0.41146-0.52926
Ramazan Temirov
CJ Vergara		69.0%
31.0%
-290
+260
-280
+250
Win
Loss		-0.31741-0.32768-0.37150
Patrick Sabatini
Jonathan Pearce		40.6%
59.4%
+155
-170
+160
-175
Win
Loss		-0.95763-0.97625-0.90108
Niko Price
Themba Gorimbo		31.7%
68.3%
+250
-260
+250
-270
Loss
Win		-0.33332-0.33041-0.38154
Sean Sharaf
Junior Tafa		23.7%
76.3%
+210
-235
+205
-220
Loss
Win		-0.37834-0.38995-0.27030
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1311-2 (0.846)0-0.46064 
Sportsbooks1311-2 (0.846)0-0.45134 
DRatings1311-2 (0.846)0-0.47724
-0.01661
-0.02591

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.