UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 11, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Fatima Kline
Viktoriya Dudakova 		71.6%
28.4%
-800
+550
-850
+650
Preston Parsons
Andreas Gustafsson 		40.9%
59.1%
+170
-200
+155
-170
Nicolle Caliari
Ernesta Kareckaite 		45.2%
54.8%
+215
-255
+245
-250
Volatility Bet Value Active
Yanal Ashmouz
Nurullo Aliev 		59.3%
40.7%
+400
-460
+385
-450
Overall Bet Value Active
Felipe Bunes
Jose Johnson 		36.8%
63.2%
+180
-210
+180
-210
Bruno Lopes
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 		40.1%
59.9%
+159
-180
+155
-175
Trey Ogden
Thiago Moises 		36.8%
63.2%
+135
-150
+135
-155
Ihor Potieria
Marco Tulio 		29.6%
70.4%
+350
-450
+350
-420
Uros Medic
Punahele Soriano 		52.7%
47.3%
-205
+180
-180
+175
Volatility Bet Value Active
Carlston Harris
Santiago Ponzinibbio 		56.7%
43.3%
-122
+105
-125
+105
Austin Bashi
Christian Rodriguez 		55.7%
44.3%
-220
+185
-210
+180
Abdul Razak Alhassan
Cesar Almeida 		39.3%
60.7%
+240
-280
+265
-300
Roman Kopylov
Chris Curtis 		58.5%
41.5%
-240
+210
-260
+220
Amanda Ribas
Mackenzie Dern 		56.0%
44.0%
-185
+163
-185
+185
All Bet Values Active
Fights for Jan 10, 2025
Fights for Jan 18, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Kron Gracie
Bryce Mitchell		20.3%
79.7%
+650
-900
+650
-700
Loss
Win		-0.13815-0.14183-0.22703
Dooho Choi
Nate Landwehr		41.2%
58.8%
+122
-135
+115
-125
Win
Loss		-0.82212-0.78592-0.88785
Dominick Reyes
Anthony Smith		71.9%
28.1%
-400
+330
-370
+325
Win
Loss		-0.25519-0.26151-0.32948
Themba Gorimbo
Vicente Luque		57.8%
42.2%
-160
+155
-150
+140
Loss
Win		-0.94358-0.89199-0.86242
Aljamain Sterling
Movsar Evloev		35.8%
64.2%
+210
-235
+210
-235
Loss
Win		-0.37834-0.37834-0.44282
Bryan Battle
Randy Brown		60.5%
39.5%
-190
+165
-180
+175
Win
Loss		-0.45487-0.44830-0.50226
Eryk Anders
Chris Weidman		55.9%
44.1%
-105
-112
+100
-110
Win
Loss		-0.70875-0.71668-0.58121
Joshua Van
Cody Durden		65.2%
34.8%
-175
+160
-175
+160
Win
Loss		-0.47276-0.47276-0.42696
Max Griffin
Michael Chiesa		51.1%
48.9%
+130
-140
+135
-135
Loss
Win		-0.55696-0.55431-0.71488
Chase Hooper
Clay Guida		78.9%
21.1%
-1305
+800
-1100
+800
Win
Loss		-0.11299-0.11441-0.23718
Lukasz Brzeski
Kennedy Nzechukwu		18.8%
81.2%
+475
-590
+450
-550
Loss
Win		-0.18514-0.19464-0.20883
Deiveson Figueiredo
Petr Yan		37.8%
62.2%
+260
-290
+265
-270
Loss
Win		-0.31741-0.31877-0.47408
Tabatha Ricci
Yan Xiaonan		39.3%
60.7%
+170
-190
+180
-180
Loss
Win		-0.44809-0.44183-0.49911
Muslim Salikhov
Kenan Song		58.9%
41.1%
-220
+190
-215
+210
Win
Loss		-0.40651-0.38705-0.52885
Gabriella Fernandes
Cong Wang		23.7%
76.3%
+775
-1300
+875
-1200
Win
Loss		-2.21101-2.30259-1.44033
Carlos Ulberg
Volkan Oezdemir		70.2%
29.8%
-255
+225
-245
+240
Win
Loss		-0.35652-0.34654-0.35351
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.