UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 11, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Fatima Kline
Viktoriya Dudakova 		71.6%
28.4%
-800
+550
-850
+650
Preston Parsons
Andreas Gustafsson 		40.9%
59.1%
+170
-200
+155
-170
Nicolle Caliari
Ernesta Kareckaite 		45.2%
54.8%
+215
-255
+245
-250
Volatility Bet Value Active
Yanal Ashmouz
Nurullo Aliev 		59.3%
40.7%
+400
-460
+385
-450
Overall Bet Value Active
Felipe Bunes
Jose Johnson 		36.8%
63.2%
+180
-210
+180
-210
Bruno Lopes
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 		40.1%
59.9%
+159
-180
+155
-175
Trey Ogden
Thiago Moises 		36.8%
63.2%
+135
-150
+135
-150
Ihor Potieria
Marco Tulio 		29.6%
70.4%
+350
-450
+385
-420
Uros Medic
Punahele Soriano 		52.7%
47.3%
-190
+173
-180
+165
Carlston Harris
Santiago Ponzinibbio 		56.7%
43.3%
-122
+105
-115
+105
Austin Bashi
Christian Rodriguez 		55.7%
44.3%
-220
+185
-210
+180
Abdul Razak Alhassan
Cesar Almeida 		39.3%
60.7%
+240
-280
+265
-300
Roman Kopylov
Chris Curtis 		58.5%
41.5%
-240
+210
-260
+220
Amanda Ribas
Mackenzie Dern 		56.0%
44.0%
-185
+163
-185
+185
All Bet Values Active
Fights for Jan 10, 2025
Fights for Jan 18, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Ozzy Diaz
Zhang Mingyang		33.8%
66.2%
+192
-226
+215
-225
Loss
Win		-0.40146-0.37745-0.41325
Carlos Hernandez
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel		67.3%
32.7%
-115
+105
-105
+125
Win
Loss		-0.64814-0.62470-0.39561
Jose Ochoa
Lone'er Kavanagh		23.4%
76.6%
+285
-300
+290
-320
Loss
Win		-0.29737-0.29008-0.26631
Quang Le
Xiao Long		40.6%
59.4%
+133
-152
+145
-150
Loss
Win		-0.53739-0.51896-0.52109
Nikolas Motta
Hayisaer Maheshate		37.7%
62.3%
+190
-225
+200
-215
Win
Loss		-1.10118-1.11438-0.97469
Stipe Miocic
Jon Jones		27.5%
72.5%
+428
-480
+450
-485
Loss
Win		-0.20608-0.19828-0.32142
Michael Chandler
Charles Oliveira		41.1%
58.9%
+220
-235
+230
-240
Loss
Win		-0.36844-0.35718-0.52926
Paul Craig
Bo Nickal		19.7%
80.3%
+875
-1265
+875
-900
Loss
Win		-0.10496-0.10792-0.21982
Karine Silva
Viviane Araujo		69.8%
30.2%
-300
+270
-280
+260
Loss
Win		-1.32840-1.29543-1.19889
James Llontop
Mauricio Ruffy		22.6%
77.4%
+635
-900
+650
-850
Loss
Win		-0.14078-0.13891-0.25574
Marcus McGhee
Jonathan Martinez		52.2%
47.8%
-110
-101
-105
+100
Win
Loss		-0.67258-0.68116-0.64963
Damon Jackson
Jim Miller		55.6%
44.4%
-220
+194
-210
+200
Loss
Win		-1.10567-1.10933-0.81202
Jhonata Diniz
Marcin Tybura		48.9%
51.1%
-105
-103
+100
+100
Loss
Win		-0.69788-0.69315-0.67090
Ramiz Brahimaj
Mickey Gall		50.3%
49.7%
+160
-172
+170
-165
Win
Loss		-0.97233-0.98623-0.68643
Oban Elliott
Bassil Hafez		73.7%
26.3%
-290
+250
-280
+250
Win
Loss		-0.32515-0.32768-0.30528
Eduarda Moura
Veronica Macedo		42.1%
57.9%
-128
+120
-125
+110
Win
Loss		-0.59314-0.61904-0.86415
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.