UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 11, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Fatima Kline
Viktoriya Dudakova 		71.6%
28.4%
-800
+550
-900
+650
Preston Parsons
Andreas Gustafsson 		40.9%
59.1%
+170
-200
+155
-170
Nicolle Caliari
Ernesta Kareckaite 		45.2%
54.8%
+215
-255
+250
-280
Overall Bet Value Active
Yanal Ashmouz
Nurullo Aliev 		59.3%
40.7%
+350
-450
+385
-450
Overall Bet Value Active
Felipe Bunes
Jose Johnson 		36.8%
63.2%
+174
-185
+180
-190
Bruno Lopes
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 		40.1%
59.9%
+170
-180
+165
-175
Trey Ogden
Thiago Moises 		36.8%
63.2%
+133
-152
+135
-150
Ihor Potieria
Marco Tulio 		29.6%
70.4%
+350
-450
+385
-420
Uros Medic
Punahele Soriano 		52.7%
47.3%
-190
+175
-180
+165
Carlston Harris
Santiago Ponzinibbio 		56.7%
43.3%
-125
+115
-115
+105
Austin Bashi
Christian Rodriguez 		55.7%
44.3%
-220
+190
-210
+180
Abdul Razak Alhassan
Cesar Almeida 		39.3%
60.7%
+240
-280
+265
-310
Roman Kopylov
Chris Curtis 		58.5%
41.5%
-240
+215
-260
+230
Amanda Ribas
Mackenzie Dern 		56.0%
44.0%
-185
+163
-195
+180
Fights for Jan 10, 2025
Fights for Jan 18, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Jared Gooden
Chidi Njokuani		32.0%
68.0%
+125
-140
+125
-140
Loss
Win		-0.56639-0.56639-0.38624
Rafa Garcia
Grant Dawson		20.3%
79.7%
+307
-380
+285
-320
Loss
Win		-0.27030-0.29335-0.22703
Alex Morono
Daniel Rodriguez		41.1%
58.9%
+195
-210
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.40573-0.41146-0.52926
Ramazan Temirov
CJ Vergara		69.0%
31.0%
-290
+260
-280
+250
Win
Loss		-0.31741-0.32768-0.37150
Patrick Sabatini
Jonathan Pearce		40.6%
59.4%
+155
-170
+160
-175
Win
Loss		-0.95763-0.97625-0.90108
Niko Price
Themba Gorimbo		31.7%
68.3%
+250
-260
+250
-270
Loss
Win		-0.33332-0.33041-0.38154
Sean Sharaf
Junior Tafa		23.7%
76.3%
+210
-235
+205
-220
Loss
Win		-0.37834-0.38995-0.27030
Cory McKenna
Julia Polastri		46.5%
53.5%
-117
+100
-105
+110
Loss
Win		-0.73158-0.73027-0.62482
Cody Haddon
Dan Argueta		58.0%
42.0%
-145
+135
-140
+130
Win
Loss		-0.54173-0.55696-0.54543
Lucas Rocha
Clayton Carpenter		37.7%
62.3%
+205
-234
+200
-230
Loss
Win		-0.38388-0.39087-0.47332
Khalil Rountree Jr.
Alex Pereira		26.1%
73.9%
+350
-430
+360
-420
Loss
Win		-0.24208-0.23835-0.30266
Julianna Pena
Raquel Pennington		38.0%
62.0%
+130
-140
+135
-145
Win
Loss		-0.85085-0.87165-0.96787
Mario Bautista
Jose Aldo		61.4%
38.6%
-120
+115
-125
+120
Win
Loss		-0.61667-0.59784-0.48820
Kevin Holland
Roman Dolidze		54.2%
45.8%
-140
+127
-140
+130
Loss
Win		-0.84337-0.85085-0.78176
Kayla Harrison
Ketlen Vieira		75.2%
24.8%
-900
+700
-950
+700
Win
Loss		-0.13005-0.12941-0.28459
Joaquin Buckley
Stephen Thompson		62.8%
37.2%
-220
+185
-200
+195
Win
Loss		-0.41235-0.41110-0.46590
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.