UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 29, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Macy Chiasson
Mayra Bueno Silva 		42.8%
57.2%
-105
-110
-120
+100
Marc-Andre Barriault
Joe Pyfer 		36.4%
63.6%
+233
-273
+240
-270
Ian Garry
Michael Page 		59.1%
40.9%
-150
+130
-140
+135
Andre Fili
Cub Swanson 		55.9%
44.1%
-250
+210
-240
+205
Vinicius Oliveira
Ricky Simon 		27.5%
72.5%
+205
-240
+215
-230
Jean Silva
Charles Jourdain 		36.6%
63.4%
+100
-115
+100
-110
Yanis Ghemmouri
Payton Talbott 		21.4%
78.6%
+910
-1540
+1000
-1700
Michelle Waterson
Gillian Robertson 		37.4%
62.6%
+155
-175
+160
-175
Andrei Arlovski
Martin Buday 		35.5%
64.5%
+200
-235
+215
-240
Carlos Hernandez
Rei Tsuruya 		34.5%
65.5%
+375
-425
+375
-440
Overall Bet Value Active
Diego Lopes
Brian Ortega 		35.6%
64.4%
-140
+120
-145
+125
Jiri Prochazka
Alex Pereira 		39.9%
60.1%
+121
-140
+120
-135
Roman Dolidze
Anthony Smith 		48.2%
51.8%
-135
+120
-140
+125
Fights for Jun 28, 2024
Fights for Jul 13, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Gregory Rodrigues
Junyong Park		54.4%
45.6%
-128
+125
-125
+115
Win
Loss		-0.58315-0.60825-0.60901
Jamie Pickett
Laureano Staropoli		36.9%
63.1%
+170
-200
+180
-185
Win
Loss		-1.02963-1.03586-0.99677
Jai Herbert
Khama Worthy		53.8%
46.2%
-151
+155
-165
+160
Win
Loss		-0.50192-0.48102-0.61999
Randa Markos
Livinha Souza		41.4%
58.6%
+110
-115
+115
-120
Win
Loss		-0.75294-0.77596-0.88088
Norma Dumont
Aspen Ladd		29.4%
70.6%
+122
-125
+122
-130
Win
Loss		-0.80350-0.81306-1.22475
Carlos Felipe
Andrei Arlovski		56.9%
43.1%
-110
+110
-115
+102
Loss
Win		-0.74194-0.73260-0.84070
Erick Gonzalez
Jim Miller		31.6%
68.4%
+260
-300
+245
-280
Loss
Win		-0.31508-0.33173-0.37927
Mayra Bueno Silva
Manon Fiorot		36.5%
63.5%
+280
-310
+275
-300
Loss
Win		-0.29866-0.30422-0.45408
Nate Landwehr
Ludovit Klein		37.9%
62.1%
+300
-350
+320
-345
Win
Loss		-1.41371-1.44834-0.96943
Andrew Sanchez
Bruno Silva		51.2%
48.8%
+145
-155
+145
-155
Loss
Win		-0.51371-0.51371-0.71662
Danny Roberts
Ramazan Emeev		24.3%
75.7%
+265
-280
+280
-325
Win
Loss		-1.30549-1.36250-1.41486
Luana Carolina
Loopy Godinez		56.0%
44.0%
+205
-220
+190
-217
Win
Loss		-1.13038-1.09365-0.57980
Brandon Davis
Batgerel Danaa		40.3%
59.7%
+120
-132
+125
-140
Loss
Win		-0.58717-0.56639-0.51599
Istela Nunes
Ariane Carnelossi		33.9%
66.1%
+122
-130
+125
-135
Loss
Win		-0.58609-0.57304-0.41352
Marina Rodriguez
Mackenzie Dern		48.4%
51.6%
+190
-200
+180
-200
Win
Loss		-1.07614-1.05317-0.72495
Jared Gooden
Randy Brown		26.8%
73.2%
+270
-300
+270
-275
Loss
Win		-0.30775-0.31375-0.31139
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks117-4 (0.636)0-0.56183 
Sportsbooks117-4 (0.636)0-0.56105 
DRatings118-3 (0.727)0-0.54404
0.01779
0.01701

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.