UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for May 17, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for May 10, 2025
Fights for May 18, 2025

Completed Fights

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TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Carlos Prates
Ian Garry		42.8%
57.2%
+150
-160
+165
-165
Loss
Win		-0.50078-0.47379-0.55820
Zhang Mingyang
Anthony Smith		81.0%
19.0%
-420
+325
-380
+335
Win
Loss		-0.25565-0.25494-0.21034
David Onama
Giga Chikadze		61.4%
38.6%
-210
+185
-210
+190
Win
Loss		-0.41737-0.41146-0.48735
Abus Magomedov
Michel Pereira		37.9%
62.1%
+116
-130
+115
-130
Win
Loss		-0.79791-0.79536-0.96911
Nicolas Dalby
Randy Brown		38.1%
61.9%
+265
-310
+270
-315
Loss
Win		-0.30921-0.30458-0.48015
Andre Muniz
Ikram Aliskerov		24.4%
75.6%
+370
-450
+390
-450
Loss
Win		-0.23115-0.22269-0.27944
Jimmy Flick
Matt Schnell		28.2%
71.8%
+145
-155
+140
-145
Loss
Win		-0.51371-0.53299-0.33060
Gauge Young
Evan Elder		35.7%
64.3%
+205
-230
+220
-235
Loss
Win		-0.38554-0.36844-0.44175
John Castaneda
Chris Gutierrez		55.2%
44.8%
+140
-145
+140
-145
Loss
Win		-0.53299-0.53299-0.80365
Heili Alateng
Da'Mon Blackshear		24.3%
75.7%
+500
-585
+475
-500
Loss
Win		-0.17828-0.18954-0.27798
Cameron Saaiman
Malcolm Wellmaker		54.1%
45.9%
+112
-125
+110
-110
Loss
Win		-0.61467-0.64663-0.77823
Polyana Viana
Jaqualine Amorim		18.2%
81.8%
+600
-900
+650
-700
Loss
Win		-0.14733-0.14183-0.20142
Roberto Romero
Timothy Cuamba		48.6%
51.4%
-120
+105
-110
+105
Loss
Win		-0.75056-0.72940-0.66456
Joselyne Edwards
Chelsea Chandler		69.5%
30.5%
-290
+250
-300
+280
Win
Loss		-0.32515-0.30075-0.36420
Diego Lopes
Alexander Volkanovski		40.0%
60.0%
+156
-155
+150
-155
Loss
Win		-0.49631-0.50566-0.51061
Paddy Pimblett
Michael Chandler		50.6%
49.4%
-150
+145
-160
+155
Win
Loss		-0.51896-0.49303-0.68072
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Season Prediction Results

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 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1412-2 (0.857)0-0.42574 
Sportsbooks1412-2 (0.857)0-0.42181 
DRatings1411-3 (0.786)0-0.48907
-0.06333
-0.06726

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.