UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for July 13, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tracy Cortez
Rose Namajunas 		25.5%
74.5%
+165
+185
+185
-215
Volatility Bet Value Active
Muslim Salikhov
Santiago Ponzinibbio 		40.5%
59.5%
+180
-210
+160
-185
Ange Loosa
Gabriel Bonfim 		21.8%
78.2%
+310
-395

Christian Rodriguez
Julian Erosa 		62.9%
37.1%
+225
+210
-215
+185
All Bet Values Active
Cody Brundage
Abdul Razak Alhassan 		42.5%
57.5%
+135
-155
+135
-155
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Viviane Araujo 		61.1%
38.9%
+140
+140
-155
+135
All Bet Values Active
Mariya Agapova
Luana Santos 		42.2%
57.8%
+190
-220
+200
-235
Andre Petroski
Josh Fremd 		49.6%
50.4%
-110
-105
-125
+105
Fights for Jul 12, 2024
Fights for Jul 14, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Jared Vanderaa
Alexandr Romanov		23.1%
76.9%
+415
-525
+450
-525
Loss
Win		-0.20795-0.19594-0.26329
Charles Rosa
Damon Jackson		41.3%
58.7%
+190
-210
+185
-200
Loss
Win		-0.41146-0.42286-0.53239
Silvana Gomez Juarez
Loopy Godinez		27.9%
72.1%
+365
-350
+330
-300
Loss
Win		-0.24411-0.27009-0.32695
Charlie Ontiveros
Steve Garcia		28.9%
71.1%
+290
-325
+300
-320
Loss
Win		-0.28916-0.28377-0.34115
Johnny Walker
Thiago Santos		39.4%
60.6%
+125
-145
+135
-140
Loss
Win		-0.56016-0.54782-0.50045
Niko Price
Alex Oliveira		53.9%
46.1%
-200
+190
-195
+175
Win
Loss		-0.41690-0.43833-0.61828
Misha Cirkunov
Krzysztof Jotko		24.7%
75.3%
+100
-116
+110
-125
Loss
Win		-0.65805-0.61904-0.28405
Jared Gordon
Joe Solecki		35.5%
64.5%
+125
-121
+120
-125
Win
Loss		-0.80285-0.79851-1.03516
Antonina Shevchenko
Casey O'Neill		44.0%
56.0%
+234
-220
+240
-240
Loss
Win		-0.36150-0.34831-0.57955
Bethe Correia
Karol Rosa		32.6%
67.4%
+625
-700
+585
-600
Loss
Win		-0.14638-0.15727-0.39402
Devonte Smith
Jamie Mullarkey		61.9%
38.1%
-150
+140
-140
+130
Loss
Win		-0.89199-0.85085-0.96451
Gaetano Pirrello
Douglas Silva de Andrade		26.6%
73.4%
+235
-260
+230
-260
Loss
Win		-0.34595-0.35037-0.30904
Johnny Eduardo
Alejandro Perez		33.1%
66.9%
+244
-250
+230
-255
Loss
Win		-0.34145-0.35197-0.40269
Brian Ortega
Alexander Volkanovski		29.4%
70.6%
+170
-174
+175
-190
Loss
Win		-0.45947-0.44150-0.34745
Lauren Murphy
Valentina Shevchenko		18.4%
81.6%
+950
-1380
+900
-1400
Loss
Win		-0.09726-0.10178-0.20273
Nick Diaz
Robbie Lawler		40.3%
59.7%
+150
-155
+140
-155
Loss
Win		-0.50566-0.52206-0.51527
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1311-2 (0.846)0-0.49899 
Sportsbooks1311-2 (0.846)0-0.49063 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.59003
-0.09104
-0.09940

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.