UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for July 13, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tracy Cortez
Rose Namajunas 		25.5%
74.5%
+190
-224
+190
-215
Muslim Salikhov
Santiago Ponzinibbio 		40.5%
59.5%
+180
-210
+180
-210
Ange Loosa
Gabriel Bonfim 		21.8%
78.2%
+305
-380
+305
-360
Christian Rodriguez
Julian Erosa 		62.9%
37.1%
-210
+200
-210
+185
Cody Brundage
Abdul Razak Alhassan 		42.5%
57.5%
+131
-150
+140
-155
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Viviane Araujo 		61.1%
38.9%
-155
+145
-150
+135
Mariya Agapova
Luana Santos 		42.2%
57.8%
+235
-250
+230
-260
Andre Petroski
Josh Fremd 		49.6%
50.4%
-105
-110
-110
-110
Fights for Jul 12, 2024
Fights for Jul 20, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Curtis Blaydes		25.8%
74.2%
+270
-330
+280
-315
Loss
Win		-0.30171-0.29765-0.29895
Cynthia Calvillo
Jessica Andrade		34.3%
65.7%
+200
-205
+190
-200
Loss
Win		-0.40275-0.41690-0.41942
Merab Dvalishvili
Marlon Moraes		58.4%
41.6%
-275
+254
-270
+265
Win
Loss		-0.32585-0.31877-0.53861
Nasrat Haqparast
Dan Hooker		38.0%
62.0%
+135
-145
+130
-140
Loss
Win		-0.54173-0.55696-0.47760
Shamil Abdurakhimov
Chris Daukaus		35.8%
64.2%
+185
-205
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.42006-0.41146-0.44323
Roxanne Modafferi
Taila Santos		20.8%
79.2%
+325
-380
+350
-420
Loss
Win		-0.26021-0.24305-0.23353
Jalin Turner
Uros Medic		46.1%
53.9%
+110
-120
+110
-120
Win
Loss		-0.76336-0.76336-0.77510
Cody Brundage
Nick Maximov		55.0%
45.0%
+130
-140
+125
-140
Loss
Win		-0.55696-0.56639-0.79813
Martin Sano
Matthew Semelsberger		20.6%
79.4%
+450
-530
+425
-500
Loss
Win		-0.19567-0.20586-0.23051
Jonathan Pearce
Omar Morales		33.4%
66.6%
+135
-150
+140
-145
Win
Loss		-0.87962-0.88394-1.09772
Ryan Spann
Anthony Smith		39.3%
60.7%
+130
-145
+135
-145
Loss
Win		-0.55080-0.54173-0.49942
Ariane Lipski
Mandy Bohm		53.5%
46.5%
-125
+120
-125
+120
Win
Loss		-0.59784-0.59784-0.62487
Christos Giagos
Arman Tsarukyan		23.0%
77.0%
+620
-800
+575
-780
Loss
Win		-0.14519-0.15456-0.26112
Nate Maness
Tony Gravely		35.4%
64.6%
+175
-190
+175
-180
Win
Loss		-1.03022-1.01807-1.03936
Antonio Arroyo
Joaquin Buckley		30.8%
69.2%
+160
-180
+160
-165
Loss
Win		-0.46893-0.48102-0.36853
Mike Rodriguez
Tafon Nchukwi		45.4%
54.6%
+105
-125
+110
-125
Loss
Win		-0.63023-0.61904-0.60464
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1311-2 (0.846)0-0.49899 
Sportsbooks1311-2 (0.846)0-0.49063 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.59003
-0.09104
-0.09940

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.