UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for July 13, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tracy Cortez
Rose Namajunas 		25.5%
74.5%
+185
-220
+190
-210
Muslim Salikhov
Santiago Ponzinibbio 		40.5%
59.5%
+175
-200
+180
-195
Ange Loosa
Gabriel Bonfim 		21.8%
78.2%
+305
-380
+305
-360
Christian Rodriguez
Julian Erosa 		62.9%
37.1%
-210
+195
-210
+180
Cody Brundage
Abdul Razak Alhassan 		42.5%
57.5%
+131
-150
+135
-155
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Viviane Araujo 		61.1%
38.9%
-160
+135
-155
+135
Mariya Agapova
Luana Santos 		39.1%
60.9%
+220
-260
+230
-270
Andre Petroski
Josh Fremd 		49.6%
50.4%
+105
-120
+105
-115
Fights for Jul 12, 2024
Fights for Jul 20, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Raquel Pennington
Pannie Kianzad		52.0%
48.0%
-125
+120
-130
+120
Win
Loss		-0.59784-0.59012-0.65489
JP Buys
Montel Jackson		19.2%
80.8%
+480
-600
+525
-600
Loss
Win		-0.18327-0.17114-0.21324
Erin Blanchfield
Sarah Alpar		64.2%
35.8%
-420
+360
-400
+350
Win
Loss		-0.23835-0.24512-0.44272
Carlston Harris
Impa Kasanganay		33.2%
66.8%
-105
-101
-115
+100
Win
Loss		-0.68363-0.66000-1.10319
Gustavo Lopez
Heili Alateng		26.0%
74.0%
+118
-130
+115
-125
Draw
Draw		-0.69858-0.69708-0.82450
Hannah Goldy
Emily Whitmire		55.9%
44.1%
+107
-125
+108
-125
Win
Loss		-0.76548-0.76804-0.58153
Derek Brunson
Darren Till		42.8%
57.2%
+140
-145
+132
-140
Win
Loss		-0.88394-0.85583-0.84947
Serghei Spivac
Tom Aspinall		28.9%
71.1%
+225
-220
+205
-220
Loss
Win		-0.36988-0.38995-0.34173
Alex Morono
David Zawada		69.0%
31.0%
-125
+110
-125
+110
Win
Loss		-0.61904-0.61904-0.37098
Khalil Rountree Jr.
Modestas Bukauskas		46.7%
53.3%
+145
-149
+150
-160
Win
Loss		-0.90263-0.93156-0.76089
Luigi Vendramini
Paddy Pimblett		43.8%
56.2%
+135
-144
+140
-150
Loss
Win		-0.54294-0.52736-0.57593
Ji Yeon Kim
Molly McCann		43.2%
56.8%
+105
-120
+105
-120
Loss
Win		-0.63885-0.63885-0.56493
Liudvik Sholinian
Jack Shore		23.4%
76.6%
+475
-600
+500
-600
Loss
Win		-0.18473-0.17768-0.26600
Julian Erosa
Charles Jourdain		51.6%
48.4%
+165
-185
+170
-190
Win
Loss		-1.00068-1.01846-0.66229
Marc-Andre Barriault
Dalcha Lungiambula		55.0%
45.0%
-157
+150
-165
+150
Win
Loss		-0.50367-0.49617-0.59715
Edson Barboza
Giga Chikadze		44.2%
55.8%
-125
+108
-125
+110
Loss
Win		-0.76804-0.77319-0.58293
Load More Fights

Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1311-2 (0.846)0-0.49899 
Sportsbooks1311-2 (0.846)0-0.49063 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.59003
-0.09104
-0.09940

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.