UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for July 26, 2024

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Jul 13, 2024
Fights for Jul 27, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Jiri Prochazka
Alex Pereira		39.9%
60.1%
+115
-125
+150
-130
Loss
Win		-0.60825-0.53514-0.50850
Dan Ige
Diego Lopes		42.0%
58.0%
+275
-260
+240
-260
Loss
Win		-0.31426-0.34163-0.54505
Roman Dolidze
Anthony Smith		48.2%
51.8%
-143
+125
-140
+130
Win
Loss		-0.56261-0.55696-0.73031
Macy Chiasson
Mayra Bueno Silva		42.8%
57.2%
-110
+100
-115
+105
Win
Loss		-0.67015-0.64814-0.84863
Ian Garry
Michael Page		59.1%
40.9%
-190
+175
-185
+180
Win
Loss		-0.44150-0.43838-0.52597
Marc-Andre Barriault
Joe Pyfer		36.4%
63.6%
+250
-300
+280
-330
Loss
Win		-0.32277-0.29484-0.45330
Andre Fili
Cub Swanson		63.8%
36.2%
-250
+215
-230
+215
Win
Loss		-0.36772-0.37533-0.44895
Jean Silva
Charles Jourdain		44.3%
55.7%
+130
-138
+120
-130
Win
Loss		-0.84742-0.80802-0.81475
Yanis Ghemmouri
Payton Talbott		21.4%
78.6%
+900
-1200
+900
-1100
Loss
Win		-0.10285-0.10354-0.24058
Michelle Waterson
Gillian Robertson		37.4%
62.6%
+155
-175
+165
-180
Loss
Win		-0.48012-0.46185-0.46829
Andrei Arlovski
Martin Buday		35.5%
64.5%
+230
-255
+240
-260
Loss
Win		-0.35197-0.34163-0.43784
Carlos Hernandez
Rei Tsuruya		29.9%
70.1%
+325
-400
+330
-350
Loss
Win		-0.25783-0.26160-0.35556
Vinicius Oliveira
Ricky Simon		27.5%
72.5%
+210
-240
+230
-250
Win
Loss		-1.15948-1.21110-1.29266
Ikram Aliskerov
Robert Whittaker		39.6%
60.4%
+105
-110
+110
-110
Loss
Win		-0.65817-0.64663-0.50496
Alexander Volkov
Sergei Pavlovich		43.7%
56.3%
+205
-225
+205
-210
Win
Loss		-1.13513-1.12043-0.82695
Daniel Rodriguez
Kelvin Gastelum		34.3%
65.7%
+170
-190
+170
-175
Loss
Win		-0.44809-0.45869-0.41943
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1311-2 (0.846)0-0.49899 
Sportsbooks1311-2 (0.846)0-0.49063 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.59003
-0.09104
-0.09940

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.