UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for October 18, 2024

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Oct 12, 2024
Fights for Oct 19, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Khalil Rountree Jr.
Alex Pereira		26.1%
73.9%
+350
-430
+360
-420
Loss
Win		-0.24208-0.23835-0.30266
Julianna Pena
Raquel Pennington		38.0%
62.0%
+130
-140
+135
-145
Win
Loss		-0.85085-0.87165-0.96787
Mario Bautista
Jose Aldo		61.4%
38.6%
-120
+115
-125
+120
Win
Loss		-0.61667-0.59784-0.48820
Kevin Holland
Roman Dolidze		54.2%
45.8%
-140
+127
-140
+130
Loss
Win		-0.84337-0.85085-0.78176
Kayla Harrison
Ketlen Vieira		75.2%
24.8%
-900
+700
-950
+700
Win
Loss		-0.13005-0.12941-0.28459
Joaquin Buckley
Stephen Thompson		62.8%
37.2%
-220
+185
-200
+195
Win
Loss		-0.41235-0.41110-0.46590
Iasmin Lucindo
Marina Rodriguez		59.7%
40.3%
-165
+170
-170
+160
Win
Loss		-0.46678-0.47678-0.51624
Alexander Hernandez
Austin Hubbard		66.0%
34.0%
-103
-110
+105
-115
Win
Loss		-0.70920-0.74028-0.41595
Ihor Potieria
Cesar Almeida		30.8%
69.2%
+370
-450
+375
-440
Loss
Win		-0.23115-0.22983-0.36863
Ovince Saint Preux
Ryan Spann		28.4%
71.6%
+190
-220
+195
-210
Loss
Win		-0.40651-0.40573-0.33399
Tecia Pennington
Carla Esparza		53.0%
47.0%
-172
+160
-165
+160
Win
Loss		-0.47514-0.48102-0.63495
Court McGee
Tim Means		41.9%
58.1%
+180
-210
+170
-190
Win
Loss		-1.06360-1.01846-0.87024
Benoit Saint Denis
Renato Moicano		65.6%
34.4%
-252
+240
-255
+225
Loss
Win		-1.23374-1.20434-1.06650
Brendan Allen
Nassourdine Imavov		37.8%
62.2%
+180
-205
+190
-200
Loss
Win		-0.42615-0.41690-0.47522
Joanderson Brito
William Gomis		69.3%
30.7%
-308
+265
-300
+270
Loss
Win		-1.32321-1.32840-1.18009
Bryan Battle
Kevin Jousset		61.1%
38.9%
-165
+155
-180
+165
Win
Loss		-0.48848-0.46185-0.49285
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.53731 
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.53761 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.53592
0.00140
0.00169

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.