WNBA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 17, 2024

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Washington Mystics (0-1)
Connecticut Sun (1-0)
17.9%
82.1%
+460
-675
+425
-550
+9½-108
-9½-105
+9-110
-9-110
74.3
84.1
158.4
o158½-105
u158½-108
o158½-110
u158½-110
Seattle Storm (0-1)
Minnesota Lynx (1-0)
60.8%
39.2%
-120
+100
-125
+105
-2-108
+2-108
-1½-110
+1½-110
82.7
79.1
161.8
o162½-105
u163-108
o162½-110
u163½-110
Games for May 16, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Liberty
Indiana Fever
70.2%
29.8%
-345
+280
-340
+285
-9+107
+8½-108
-8½-110
+8½-110
102
66
-0.29225-0.28978-0.35443
Atlanta Dream
Los Angeles Sparks
56.8%
43.2%
-180
+165
-170
+165
-3½-108
+4-110
-4-105
+4-110
92
81
-0.46185-0.46959-0.56569
Chicago Sky
Dallas Wings
29.8%
70.2%
+290
-340
+335
-330
+7½-110
-7-108
+7½-110
-7-105
79
87
-0.28655-0.26203-0.35424
Phoenix Mercury
Las Vegas Aces
16.6%
83.4%
+920
-1320
+1050
-1400
+16½-105
-17+105
+17-110
-16½-110
80
89
-0.10026-0.08908-0.18117
Minnesota Lynx
Seattle Storm
33.8%
66.2%
+290
-350
+310
-345
+7½-108
-7½-105
+7½-105
-7½-110
83
70
-1.39461-1.43000-1.08421
Indiana Fever
Connecticut Sun
34.4%
65.6%
+235
-270
+240
-260
+7½-118
-6½+100
+6½-110
-6-110
71
92
-0.34293-0.34163-0.42202
New York Liberty
Washington Mystics
84.1%
15.9%
-660
+535
-700
+600
-11-108
+11½-110
-11-110
+11-110
85
80
-0.16665-0.15123-0.17271
Las Vegas Aces
New York Liberty
46.3%
53.7%
+220
-245
+220
-245
+6+100
-6-108
+6-110
-6-110
70
69
-1.18554-1.18554-0.76947
Las Vegas Aces
New York Liberty
51.5%
48.5%
-125
+110
-125
+115
-1½-108
+2-107
-2-110
+2-110
73
87
-0.77319-0.78592-0.72367
New York Liberty
Las Vegas Aces
39.0%
61.0%
+170
-183
+175
-190
+5-108
-4½-108
+5-110
-4-110
76
104
-0.45284-0.44150-0.49405
New York Liberty
Las Vegas Aces
39.8%
60.2%
+170
-180
+170
-180
+4½-108
-4½-105
+4½-110
-4½-110
82
99
-0.45497-0.45497-0.50798
New York Liberty
Connecticut Sun
59.0%
41.0%
-220
+195
-210
+200
-5½-108
+5½-108
-5-110
+5½-110
87
84
-0.40084-0.40015-0.52694
Las Vegas Aces
Dallas Wings
64.4%
35.6%
-285
+250
-280
+245
-6½-108
+6½-105
-6½-110
+6½-110
64
61
-0.32640-0.33173-0.44049
New York Liberty
Connecticut Sun
58.6%
41.4%
-170
+155
-175
+155
-4½+100
+4-105
-4-105
+4½-110
92
81
-0.48418-0.48012-0.53485
Dallas Wings
Las Vegas Aces
26.4%
73.6%
+460
-600
+500
-600
+10½+100
-10½-108
+10½-110
-10-110
84
91
-0.18924-0.17768-0.30712
Connecticut Sun
New York Liberty
31.7%
68.3%
+375
-450
+375
-440
+9½-105
-9½-108
+9½-110
-9-110
77
84
-0.22897-0.22983-0.38155
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.29225 
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.28978 
DRatings11-0 (1.000)0-0.35443
-0.06218
-0.06465

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the WNBA games that we provide above are at “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score of the game.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.