MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 18, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
St Louis City (3-2-7)
FC Cincinnati (8-2-3)		20.8%
56.5%		22.7%
+334
-118
+300
-115
1.02
1.84		2.86
o2¾-120
u2¾+102
o3+110
u3-130
Los Angeles Galaxy (5-2-6)
Charlotte FC (6-5-2)		27.9%
46.7%		25.4%
+210
+128
+206
+125
1.12
1.53		2.65
o3-106
u3-106
o3-115
u3+100
Montreal Impact (3-6-3)
Toronto FC (6-6-1)		25.6%
48.5%		25.9%
+333
-120
+310
-115
1.01
1.51		2.52
o2¾-108
u2¾-108
o2½-125
u2½+110
D.C. United (4-4-5)
Inter Miami CF (8-2-4)		13.7%
66.0%		20.3%
+477
-195
+475
-200
0.79
2.01		2.80
o3½-134
u3¾-105
o3½-115
u3½+109
Philadelphia Union (3-4-5)
New England Revolution (2-8-1)		38.8%
32.5%		28.7%
+140
+187
+140
+185
1.19
1.06		2.25
o3-103
u3-105
o2½-145
u3-113
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Red Bulls (6-2-5)
New York City (6-5-2)		27.8%
44.5%		27.7%
+185
+160
+180
+154
1.00
1.33		2.33
o2½-116
u2½+103
o2½-115
u2½-105
Sporting Kansas City (2-5-5)
Austin FC (5-4-4)		27.4%
46.8%		25.8%
+236
+124
+215
+120
1.09
1.50		2.59
o2½-128
u2¾-115
o2½-120
u2½+105
FC Dallas (3-6-2)
Houston Dynamo (5-5-2)		19.7%
55.4%		24.9%
+409
-128
+400
-130
0.85
1.61		2.46
o2½+103
u2½-114
o2½+100
u2½-110
Columbus Crew (4-2-6)
Chicago Fire (2-7-4)		41.2%
30.2%		28.5%
+132
+211
+130
+209
1.24
1.01		2.25
o2¾-112
u2¾-102
o2½-130
u2½+120
Portland Timbers (3-6-4)
Minnesota United (6-2-3)		20.4%
56.6%		23.0%
+355
-126
+332
-130
0.98
1.81		2.79
o3¼+102
u3¼-118
o3-135
u3+115
Colorado Rapids (6-4-3)
Real Salt Lake (7-2-4)		21.6%
54.0%		24.4%
+375
-130
+365
-130
0.96
1.66		2.62
o3-115
u3+106
o3-115
u3-105
Orlando City (3-5-4)
San Jose Earthquakes (3-9-1)		32.6%
40.3%		27.1%
+246
+112
+235
+113
1.15
1.32		2.47
o2¾-114
u3-134
o2½-140
u2½+130
Vancouver Whitecaps (5-4-3)
Seattle Sounders (3-6-4)		22.9%
51.3%		25.8%
+305
-105
+310
-115
0.93
1.53		2.46
o2½-122
u2¾-120
o2½-120
u2½+105
Games for May 17, 2024
Games for May 19, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta United
Nashville SC		25.9%
46.5%		27.5%
+350
-120
+320
-120
1
1		-1.36536-1.38063-1.28960
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers		22.2%
55.0%		22.8%
+215
+120
+260
+115
2
4		-0.81971-0.78220-0.59833
Vancouver Whitecaps
Colorado Rapids		28.1%
44.9%		26.9%
+290
+100
+285
+110
0
1		-0.71321-0.74452-0.79982
Seattle Sounders
Real Salt Lake		25.7%
48.0%		26.2%
+410
-132
+400
-120
0
2		-0.57887-0.61819-0.73341
Los Angeles Galaxy
Minnesota United		24.9%
50.7%		24.4%
+220
+115
+215
+110
2
2		-1.40405-1.40985-1.40960
Houston Dynamo
Austin FC		33.4%
39.0%		27.5%
+196
+151
+190
+155
0
1		-0.95018-0.97979-0.94038
Los Angeles FC
St Louis City		36.9%
36.9%		26.2%
+168
+158
+160
+155
2
0		-1.01355-0.99466-0.99731
Charlotte FC
Chicago Fire		31.4%
40.5%		28.2%
+275
+112
+269
+125
1
0		-1.34877-1.31950-1.15976
Toronto FC
Nashville SC		19.8%
55.1%		25.1%
+500
-165
+440
-150
0
2		-0.50083-0.54542-0.59528
New York City
Philadelphia Union		20.5%
54.0%		25.6%
+310
-107
+285
-105
2
1		-1.42051-1.36979-1.58518
New York Red Bulls
D.C. United		30.9%
40.9%		28.2%
+218
+138
+205
+145
4
1		-1.17701-1.14911-1.17364
Atlanta United
FC Cincinnati		23.4%
52.1%		24.5%
+330
-122
+310
-125
0
1		-0.62433-0.62740-0.65249
Columbus Crew
Montreal Impact		41.9%
30.0%		28.1%
+120
+221
+115
+220
3
1		-0.81394-0.80811-0.87019
Inter Miami CF
Orlando City		38.2%
34.2%		27.5%
+240
+107
+225
+110
0
0		-1.40556-1.42908-1.28957
Seattle Sounders
Portland Timbers		28.2%
45.5%		26.3%
+155
+175
+145
+172
2
1		-0.95488-0.94466-1.26762
Vancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles FC		17.6%
60.3%		22.1%
+425
-151
+400
-155
0
3		-0.53304-0.53744-0.50617
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.36536 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.38063 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.28960
0.07576
0.09103