Upcoming Games for May 5, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies (8-24) Pittsburgh Pirates (14-19) | Ryan Feltner Bailey Falter | 41.5% 58.5% | +137 -144 +143 -150 | +1½-160 -1½+140 +1½-155 -1½+145 | 3.81 4.71 | 8.52 | o8+105 u8-113 o8+100 u8-110 | |||
| Detroit Tigers (18-14) New York Yankees (21-13) | Tarik Skubal Nestor Cortes | 48.8% 51.2% | +111 -119 +110 -115 | +1½-205 -1½+175 +1½-200 -1½+176 | 3.19 3.31 | 6.50 | o7+105 u6½+107 o7+110 u7½-130 | All Bet Values Active | ||
| Toronto Blue Jays (15-18) Washington Nationals (16-16) | Alek Manoah MacKenzie Gore | 46.9% 53.1% | -101 -109 -108 -102 | -1½+155 +1½-175 -1½+148 +1½-167 | 4.13 4.46 | 8.59 | o8-115 u8-102 o8-105 u8-115 | |||
| Los Angeles Angels (12-20) Cleveland Guardians (20-12) | Griffin Canning Carlos Carrasco | 42.1% 57.9% | +120 -125 +115 -120 | +1½-180 -1½+162 +1½-175 -1½+165 | 4.34 5.18 | 9.52 | o9+102 u9-118 o8½-120 u9-120 | |||
| New York Mets (16-16) Tampa Bay Rays (15-18) | Luis Severino Ryan Pepiot | 44.3% 55.7% | +109 -116 +108 -118 | +1½-205 -1½+175 +1½-200 -1½+181 | 3.84 4.43 | 8.27 | o7-120 u7+107 o7-120 u7½-115 | |||
| Seattle Mariners (17-15) Houston Astros (12-20) | Bryce Miller Hunter Brown | 53.2% 46.8% | +103 -112 +105 -111 | +1½-195 -1½+170 +1½-185 -1½+173 | 5.19 4.85 | 10.04 | o8½-115 u8½+102 o8½-115 u8½+100 | |||
| Texas Rangers (17-16) Kansas City Royals (20-13) | Jon Gray Daniel Lynch | 48.8% 51.2% | -130 +108 -122 +104 | -1½+130 +1½-150 -1½+135 +1½-155 | 4.35 4.47 | 8.82 | o8½-115 u8½-105 o8½-110 u8½-110 | |||
| Boston Red Sox (18-15) Minnesota Twins (18-13) | Cooper Criswell Joe Ryan | 39.2% 60.8% | +155 -164 +159 -165 | +1½-143 -1½+130 +1½-140 -1½+125 | 3.04 4.18 | 7.22 | o7½-115 u7½+102 o8+100 u7½+100 | |||
| Chicago White Sox (6-26) St. Louis Cardinals (15-17) | Garrett Crochet Undecided Undecided | 35.9% 64.1% | +137 -163 +136 -155 | +1½-160 -1½+135 +1½-158 -1½+138 | 3.33 4.80 | 8.13 | o7½-110 u7½-110 o7½-115 u7½-105 | |||
| Milwaukee Brewers (20-11) Chicago Cubs (19-14) | Freddy Peralta Javier Assad | 52.4% 47.6% | -120 +112 -118 +112 | -1½+150 +1½-175 -1½+146 +1½-165 | 3.55 3.30 | 6.85 | o6½-110 u6½-110 o6½+100 u6½-120 | |||
| Miami Marlins (9-25) Oakland Athletics (16-17) | Sixto Sánchez Joe Boyle | 48.1% 51.9% | +114 -123 +112 -122 | +1½-185 -1½+165 +1½-180 -1½+173 | 3.75 3.95 | 7.70 | o7½-103 u7½-105 o7½+100 u7½-110 | |||
| San Diego Padres (17-18) Arizona Diamondbacks (14-19) | Matt Waldron Ryne Nelson | 48.2% 51.8% | +103 -112 +103 -113 | +1½-195 -1½+173 +1½-182 -1½+170 | 5.08 5.26 | 10.34 | o9½+105 u9½-118 o9½+100 u9½-110 | |||
| Atlanta Braves (20-10) Los Angeles Dodgers (21-13) | Max Fried James Paxton | 44.9% 55.1% | -129 +124 -125 +118 | -1½+120 +1½-140 -1½+130 +1½-140 | 4.43 4.96 | 9.39 | o9+102 u9-110 o8½-120 u8½+105 | |||
| Baltimore Orioles (21-11) Cincinnati Reds (16-16) | Dean Kremer Nick Lodolo | 56.6% 43.4% | -101 -109 +100 -109 | +1½-215 -1½+185 +1½-210 -1½+184 | 5.39 4.71 | 10.10 | o9-103 u9-113 o9-105 u9-105 | Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| San Francisco Giants (15-18) Philadelphia Phillies (22-11) | Logan Webb Taijuan Walker | 45.5% 54.5% | -111 +102 -110 +102 | -1½+150 +1½-170 -1½+150 +1½-170 | 3.76 4.23 | 7.99 | o7½-113 u7½-103 o7½-105 u7½-105 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves Los Angeles Dodgers | 42.1% 57.9% | +178 -188 +179 -184 | +1½-123 -1½+110 +1½-125 -1½+107 | 2 11 | -0.43892-0.44032 | -0.54706 | |
| San Diego Padres Arizona Diamondbacks | 54.7% 45.3% | +105 -112 +105 -112 | +1½-190 -1½+172 +1½-185 -1½+173 | 13 1 | -0.73382-0.73382 | -0.60309 | |
| Miami Marlins Oakland Athletics | 44.4% 55.6% | +122 -131 +125 -130 | +1½-180 -1½+170 +1½-180 -1½+165 | 4 20 | -0.58462-0.58016 | -0.58681 | |
| New York Mets Tampa Bay Rays | 48.4% 51.6% | -104 -105 -101 -103 | +1½-210 -1½+190 | 1 3 | -0.69081-0.68830 | -0.66140 | |
| Seattle Mariners Houston Astros | 43.3% 56.7% | +130 -138 +134 -139 | +1½-168 -1½+156 +1½-165 -1½+155 | 5 0 | -0.84742-0.85906 | -0.83600 | |
| San Francisco Giants Philadelphia Phillies | 39.8% 60.2% | +153 -161 +155 -160 | +1½-143 -1½+130 +1½-150 -1½+132 | 3 14 | -0.49517-0.49303 | -0.50823 | |
| Texas Rangers Kansas City Royals | 46.6% 53.4% | -104 -103 -107 -101 | -1½+155 +1½-168 -1½+155 +1½-165 | 15 4 | -0.69079-0.67911 | -0.76290 | |
| Baltimore Orioles Cincinnati Reds | 53.4% 46.6% | +112 -118 +112 -114 | -1½+165 +1½-180 | 2 1 | -0.76430-0.75581 | -0.62727 | |
| Los Angeles Angels Cleveland Guardians | 41.6% 58.4% | +117 -123 +117 -123 | +1½-178 -1½+160 +1½-175 -1½+163 | 1 7 | -0.60732-0.60732 | -0.53854 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays Washington Nationals | 60.8% 39.2% | -163 +154 -163 +155 | -1½+102 +1½-117 -1½+100 +1½-115 | 6 3 | -0.49179-0.49027 | -0.49743 | |
| Colorado Rockies Pittsburgh Pirates | 33.0% 67.0% | +202 -215 +200 -220 | +1½-113 -1½+100 +1½-110 -1½-105 | 0 1 | -0.39550-0.39531 | -0.40072 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers Chicago Cubs | 48.0% 52.0% | +124 -130 +118 -126 | +1½-173 -1½+160 +1½-175 -1½+165 | 5 6 | -0.58212-0.60037 | -0.65400 | |
| Chicago White Sox St. Louis Cardinals | 34.8% 65.2% | +157 -165 +164 -165 | +1½-133 -1½+120 +1½-135 -1½+120 | 6 5 | -0.95558-0.97220 | -1.05558 | |
| Boston Red Sox Minnesota Twins | 38.2% 61.8% | +160 -167 +158 -165 | +1½-140 -1½+127 +1½-140 -1½+127 | 1 3 | -0.47929-0.48397 | -0.48102 | |
| Detroit Tigers New York Yankees | 43.4% 56.6% | +152 -157 +151 -155 | +1½-143 -1½+130 +1½-145 -1½+130 | 3 5 | -0.50053-0.50408 | -0.56999 | |
| Atlanta Braves Los Angeles Dodgers | 52.2% 47.8% | -102 -107 +102 -107 | +1½-202 -1½+178 +1½-200 -1½+176 | 3 4 | -0.68152-0.67178 | -0.73856 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 11-4 (0.733) | 0 | -0.61720 | |
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 11-4 (0.733) | 0 | -0.61888 | |
| DRatings | 15 | 12-3 (0.800) | 0 | -0.62200 | -0.00480 -0.00313 |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.