MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 19, 2024

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Boston Red Sox (22-23)
St. Louis Cardinals (19-25)
Unknown
Unknown
49.4%
50.6%




3.86
3.92
7.78


Washington Nationals (20-23)
Philadelphia Phillies (32-14)
Unknown
Unknown
33.9%
66.1%




3.13
4.80
7.93


Chicago White Sox (14-31)
New York Yankees (31-15)
Unknown
Unknown
28.1%
71.9%




2.60
4.87
7.47


Seattle Mariners (24-21)
Baltimore Orioles (28-14)
Unknown
Unknown
43.4%
56.6%




3.78
4.47
8.25


Tampa Bay Rays (24-22)
Toronto Blue Jays (19-24)
Unknown
Unknown
46.3%
53.7%




4.13
4.51
8.64


New York Mets (20-24)
Miami Marlins (14-32)
Unknown
Unknown
52.1%
47.9%




4.54
4.31
8.85


Minnesota Twins (24-20)
Cleveland Guardians (28-17)
Unknown
Unknown
48.2%
51.8%




4.10
4.30
8.40


Oakland Athletics (19-28)
Kansas City Royals (27-19)
Unknown
Unknown
39.1%
60.9%




4.05
5.20
9.25


Milwaukee Brewers (26-18)
Houston Astros (20-25)
Unknown
Unknown
47.2%
52.8%




4.05
4.35
8.40


Pittsburgh Pirates (21-25)
Chicago Cubs (25-21)
Unknown
Unknown
42.4%
57.6%




3.46
4.25
7.71


Los Angeles Angels (17-28)
Texas Rangers (23-23)
Unknown
Unknown
38.8%
61.2%




3.61
4.78
8.39


Colorado Rockies (15-29)
San Francisco Giants (21-25)
Unknown
Unknown
38.0%
62.0%




3.42
4.69
8.11


Cincinnati Reds (19-26)
Los Angeles Dodgers (30-17)
Unknown
Unknown
35.1%
64.9%




3.39
4.94
8.33


Detroit Tigers (22-22)
Arizona Diamondbacks (21-24)
Unknown
Unknown
46.9%
53.1%




3.90
4.22
8.12


San Diego Padres (23-24)
Atlanta Braves (26-15)
Unknown
Unknown
39.0%
61.0%




3.95
5.10
9.05


Games for May 20, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
40.9%
59.1%
+126
-130
+125
-125
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+170
5
10
-0.57821-0.58778-0.52516
Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Dodgers
34.2%
65.8%
+170
-178
+176
-172
+1½-103
-1½+105
+1½-110
-1½+110
3
7
-0.45643-0.45297-0.41850
Detroit Tigers
Arizona Diamondbacks
56.2%
43.8%
-128
+124
-131
+122
-1½+124
+1½-113
-1½+125
+1½-140
13
0
-0.58512-0.58462-0.57584
Boston Red Sox
St. Louis Cardinals
43.1%
56.9%
+102
-108
+101
-108

-1½+165
+1½-175
6
10
-0.66959-0.67201-0.56463
Milwaukee Brewers
Houston Astros
58.1%
41.9%
-105
-103
-106
+100
-1½+152
+1½-167
-1½+155
+1½-165
4
5
-0.69788-0.70761-0.86993
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
44.4%
55.6%
+177
-181
+170
-174
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
9
3
-1.02399-0.99864-0.81220
Oakland Athletics
Kansas City Royals
35.8%
64.2%
+182
-192
+183
-200
+1½+107
-1½+105
+1½-103
-1½-105
2
6
-0.43134-0.42529-0.44304
San Diego Padres
Atlanta Braves
36.4%
63.6%
+188
-205
+190
-210
+1½-110
-1½-103
+1½-109
-1½-105
3
1
-1.07696-1.08672-1.00986
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians
47.7%
52.3%
+118
-123
+116
-120
+1½-183
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
2
3
-0.60523-0.61452-0.64869
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
50.3%
49.7%
-116
+114
-119
+113
-1½+145
+1½-158
-1½+140
+1½-145
0
8
-0.76512-0.76891-0.70003
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
40.9%
59.1%
+143
-153
+147
-150
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+130
4
3
-0.90402-0.90907-0.89358
Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles
46.4%
53.6%
+119
-126
+121
-129
+1½-173
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+160
2
9
-0.59829-0.58960-0.62450
Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees
28.0%
72.0%
+240
-263
+240
-260
+1½+117
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-130
2
4
-0.34072-0.34163-0.32789
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
36.5%
63.5%
+215
-230
+215
-235
+1½+100
-1½-113
+1½+100
-1½-115
2
4
-0.37533-0.37333-0.45407
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
50.6%
49.4%
-107
+102
-111
+105
-1½+152
+1½-168
-1½+150
+1½-170
9
3
-0.67178-0.65610-0.68023
Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Dodgers
31.5%
68.5%
+262
-300
+270
-290
+1½+142
-1½-145
+1½+140
-1½-143
7
2
-1.31237-1.32208-1.15575
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1510-5 (0.667)0-0.65200 
Sportsbooks1510-5 (0.667)0-0.65125 
DRatings1510-5 (0.667)0-0.63654
0.01546
0.01471

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.