Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 18, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Milan
Torino 		36.6%
35.1%		28.2%
+162
+192

1.17
1.15		2.32
o2¼-115
u2½-130

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 17, 2024
Games for May 19, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Monza
Fiorentina		17.2%
61.0%		21.8%
+560
-195
+520
-190
1
2		-0.43897-0.46817-0.49492
Roma
Atalanta		21.4%
56.5%		22.1%
+315
-108
+312
-115
1
2		-0.67188-0.66699-0.57050
Sassuolo
Genoa		26.9%
48.4%		24.7%
+221
+133
+205
+135
1
2		-0.87275-0.89678-0.72493
Torino
Hellas Verona		37.1%
35.0%		27.9%
+167
+225
+176
+195
2
1		-1.00534-1.04928-0.99166
Empoli
Lazio		13.2%
68.3%		18.5%
+475
-149
+515
-165
0
2		-0.53866-0.51148-0.38100
Cagliari
Milan		6.9%
79.4%		13.7%
+443
-162
+450
-169
1
5		-0.50514-0.50400-0.23102
Bologna
Napoli		17.9%
60.8%		21.3%
+328
-104
+321
-105
2
0		-1.47880-1.47631-1.72076
Inter
Frosinone		71.6%
10.7%		17.7%
-122
+350
-128
+345
5
0		-0.61899-0.60690-0.33354
Napoli
Udinese		44.6%
29.1%		26.3%
-105
+315
-102
+290
1
1		-1.36090-1.34144-1.33640
Juventus
Roma		32.6%
39.7%		27.7%
+162
+201
+160
+192
1
1		-1.20005-1.17987-1.28482
Genoa
Milan		12.7%
68.3%		19.0%
+670
-230
+670
-225
3
3		-1.63594-1.62328-1.66057
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona		36.3%
35.8%		27.9%
+128
+260
+130
+243
1
2		-1.30287-1.27065-1.02823
Frosinone
Empoli		23.6%
51.0%		25.4%
+208
+152
+209
+155
0
0		-1.22878-1.19102-1.37204
Inter
Sassuolo		69.2%
13.0%		17.7%
-189
+520
-188
+470
0
1		-1.84706-1.78064-2.03753
Lazio
Monza		35.6%
36.6%		27.8%
-118
+362
-120
+350
2
2		-1.35565-1.31513-1.27970
Bologna
Torino		24.2%
51.2%		24.6%
+205
+179
+195
+187
0
0		-1.10679-1.09184-1.40283
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.43897 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.46817 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.49492
-0.05595
-0.02675

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.