UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for May 25, 2024

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for May 18, 2024
Fights for Jun 1, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rodrigo Nascimento
Derrick Lewis		45.6%
54.4%
+150
-155
+145
-160
Loss
Win		-0.50566-0.50878-0.60829
Nursulton Ruziboev
Joaquin Buckley		34.6%
65.4%
+115
-133
+125
-130
Loss
Win		-0.59598-0.58016-0.42529
Carlos Ulberg
Alonzo Menifield		72.5%
27.5%
-250
+220
-265
+240
Win
Loss		-0.36291-0.34011-0.32169
Mateusz Rebecki
Diego Ferreira		66.7%
33.3%
-405
+350
-350
+320
Loss
Win		-1.52800-1.45081-1.09997
Sean Woodson
Alex Caceres		54.4%
45.6%
-265
+240
-260
+250
Win
Loss		-0.34011-0.33332-0.60962
Robelis Despaigne
Waldo Cortes-Acosta		53.5%
46.5%
-250
+212
-230
+200
Loss
Win		-1.17205-1.12846-0.76559
Viacheslav Borshchev
Chase Hooper		53.7%
46.3%
-110
-105
-110
+100
Loss
Win		-0.70441-0.71668-0.77096
Esteban Ribovics
Terrance McKinney		55.2%
44.8%
-145
+126
-140
+135
Win
Loss		-0.55827-0.54782-0.59410
Tecia Pennington
Tabatha Ricci		48.0%
52.0%
+125
-140
+135
-140
Loss
Win		-0.56639-0.54782-0.65395
Trey Waters
Billy Goff		48.1%
51.9%
-157
+145
-150
+140
Win
Loss		-0.51171-0.52736-0.73291
Jake Hadley
Charles Johnson		45.5%
54.5%
+100
-110
+105
-115
Loss
Win		-0.67015-0.64814-0.60719
Veronica Macedo
JJ Aldrich		51.2%
48.8%
-105
+100
-110
+110
Win
Loss		-0.68116-0.64663-0.66845
Muin Gafurov
Alexandre Pantoja		38.7%
61.3%
+167
-165
+170
-180
Loss
Win		-0.47095-0.45497-0.48937
Jose Aldo
Jonathan Martinez		53.9%
46.1%
+150
+135
+152
-160
Win
Loss		-0.72456-0.93639-0.61878
Vitor Petrino
Anthony Smith		75.7%
24.3%
-400
+395
-425
+375
Loss
Win		-1.60142-1.57799-1.41297
Ihor Potieria
Michel Pereira		23.1%
76.9%
+415
-450
+390
-475
Loss
Win		-0.21295-0.22077-0.26305
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.68307 
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.66467 
DRatings128-4 (0.667)0-0.65483
0.02823
0.00984

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.