Belgrano at Velez Sarsf

Updated

Belgrano

9.6%18.8%71.6%
WinDrawVelez Sarsf Win
0.59Projected Goals 2.04
1Final Score 1

Velez Sarsf

Last 5 Games

Belgrano
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Platense
T 0-0 at Talleres
W 0-2 vs Boca Juniors
W 4-2 at Tucuman
T 1-1 vs Independiente
Velez Sarsf
Money Line
T 1-1 at River Plate
W 0-1 vs Racing Club
L 0-3 at Rosario Cent
W 0-2 vs Estudiantes
W 1-0 at San Lorenzo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Belgrano+380+725+725+800+768+800+800+845.6
Velez Sarsf-120-222-240-250-245-250-222-212.4
Draw+215+336+310+344+330+344+344+366.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Belgrano-----+845.6
Velez Sarsf------212.4
Draw-----+366.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Belgrano: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Velez Sarsf: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Belgrano: 0.0%
Velez Sarsf: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Belgrano: 20.0%
Velez Sarsf: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Belgrano ML
No Steam Moves On Velez Sarsf ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2½+102o2¼-122o2¼-125o2¼-125o2¼-125o2¼-122o2¼-114
Underu2¼-105u2½-120u2¼+102u2¼+105u2¼+103u2¼+105u2½-120u2¼+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-114
Under-----u2¼+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.8%
 
No61.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.19%
Exactly 224.91%
Exactly 414.39%
Exactly 63.33%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 118.92%
Exactly 321.86%
Exactly 57.58%
Exactly 71.25%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Belgrano
Exactly 055.40%
Exactly 132.72%
Exactly 29.66%
Exactly 31.90%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 012.97%
Exactly 126.49%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.42%
Exactly 49.40%
Exactly 53.84%
Exactly 61.31%
Exactly 70.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.55%
Exactly 221.96%
Exactly 42.72%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.02%
Exactly 38.92%
Exactly 50.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Belgrano
Exactly 076.07%
Exactly 120.80%
Exactly 22.84%
Exactly 30.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 038.84%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.37%
Exactly 35.47%
Exactly 41.29%
Exactly 50.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Belgrano
Wins by 2+ goals2.19%
Wins by 3+ goals0.36%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 2+ goals45.93%
Wins by 3+ goals23.93%
Wins by 4+ goals10.25%
Wins by 5+ goals3.65%
Wins by 6+ goals1.06%
Wins by 7+ goals0.21%

Exact Winning Margin

Belgrano
Velez Sarsf
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Belgrano
Wins by 1 goal7.37%
Wins by 2 goals1.83%
Wins by 3 goals0.32%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 1 goal25.50%
Wins by 2 goals22.00%
Wins by 3 goals13.68%
Wins by 4 goals6.60%
Wins by 5 goals2.59%
Wins by 6 goals0.85%
Wins by 7 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.81%7.19%
1.573.89%26.11%
2.548.98%51.02%
3.527.12%72.88%
4.512.73%87.27%
5.55.15%94.85%
6.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Belgrano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.544.60%55.40%
1.511.88%88.12%
2.52.22%97.78%

Total Goals Velez Sarsf Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.03%12.97%
1.560.54%39.46%
2.533.48%66.52%
3.515.06%84.94%
4.55.66%94.34%
5.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.45%29.55%
1.534.43%65.57%
2.512.47%87.53%
3.53.54%96.46%

Score Props

Correct Score

Belgrano
Velez Sarsf
Score012345
0
7.19%
14.68%
14.99%
10.20%
5.21%
2.13%
1
4.24%
8.67%
8.85%
6.03%
3.08%
1.26%
2
1.25%
2.56%
2.61%
1.78%
0.91%
0.37%
3
0.25%
0.50%
0.51%
0.35%
0.18%
0.07%
Belgrano
1-04.24%
2-01.25%
2-12.56%
3-00.25%
3-10.50%
3-20.51%
Draw
0-07.19%
1-18.67%
2-22.61%
3-30.35%
Velez Sarsf
0-114.68%
0-214.99%
1-28.85%
0-310.20%
1-36.03%
2-31.78%
0-45.21%
1-43.08%
2-40.91%
3-40.18%
0-52.13%
1-51.26%
2-50.37%

Correct Score - First Half

Belgrano
Velez Sarsf
Score012345
0
29.55%
27.94%
13.21%
4.16%
0.98%
0.19%
1
8.08%
7.64%
3.61%
1.14%
0.27%
0.05%
2
1.10%
1.04%
0.49%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.10%
0.10%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Belgrano
1-08.08%
2-01.10%
2-11.04%
3-00.10%
Draw
0-029.55%
1-17.64%
2-20.49%
Velez Sarsf
0-127.94%
0-213.21%
1-23.61%
0-34.16%
1-31.14%
2-30.16%
0-40.98%
1-40.27%
0-50.19%