Boca Juniors at Velez Sarsf

Updated

Boca Juniors

27.2%31.9%41.0%
Boca Juniors WinDrawVelez Sarsf Win
0.73Projected Goals 1.09
0Final Score 2

Velez Sarsf

Last 5 Games

Boca Juniors
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Godoy Cruz
W 3-0 at CA Huracan
W 2-4 vs Lanus
L 1-2 at River Plate
W 0-1 vs Colon
Velez Sarsf
Money Line
W 2-1 at CC Cordoba
T 0-0 vs Arsenal
W 2-1 at Newell's OB
T 3-3 vs Independiente
W 1-0 at Sarmiento

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Boca Juniors+170+170+159+177+165+159+177+186.0
Velez Sarsf+155+190+200+204+190+200+204+213.9
Draw+220+175+177+192+196+177+196+201.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Boca Juniors-----+186.0
Velez Sarsf-----+213.9
Draw-----+201.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Boca Juniors: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Velez Sarsf: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Boca Juniors: 0.0%
Velez Sarsf: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Boca Juniors: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Boca Juniors: 0.0%
Velez Sarsf: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Boca Juniors ML
No Steam Moves On Velez Sarsf ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o1¾-128o2+110o1¾-122-o2+110o1¾-122o1¾-113
Underu2¼-115u1¾+108u2-130u1¾+106-u2-130u1¾+108u1¾+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o1¾-113
Under-----u1¾+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes34.3%
 
No65.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 016.20%
Exactly 226.83%
Exactly 47.41%
Exactly 60.82%
 
Exactly 129.49%
Exactly 316.28%
Exactly 52.70%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Boca Juniors
Exactly 048.40%
Exactly 135.12%
Exactly 212.74%
Exactly 33.08%
Exactly 40.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 033.47%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.05%
Exactly 37.31%
Exactly 42.00%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 043.06%
Exactly 215.29%
Exactly 40.90%
 
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 34.29%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Boca Juniors
Exactly 071.47%
Exactly 124.01%
Exactly 24.03%
Exactly 30.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 060.25%
Exactly 130.53%
Exactly 27.73%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Boca Juniors
Wins by 2+ goals6.93%
Wins by 3+ goals1.42%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 2+ goals18.17%
Wins by 3+ goals5.63%
Wins by 4+ goals1.33%
Wins by 5+ goals0.21%

Exact Winning Margin

Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsf
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Boca Juniors
Wins by 1 goal17.08%
Wins by 2 goals5.51%
Wins by 3 goals1.24%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 1 goal25.77%
Wins by 2 goals12.54%
Wins by 3 goals4.30%
Wins by 4 goals1.12%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.80%16.20%
1.554.31%45.69%
2.527.48%72.52%
3.511.20%88.80%
4.53.79%96.21%
5.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Boca Juniors Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.60%48.40%
1.516.48%83.52%
2.53.73%96.27%

Total Goals Velez Sarsf Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.53%33.47%
1.529.89%70.11%
2.59.85%90.15%
3.52.53%97.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.94%43.06%
1.520.66%79.34%
2.55.38%94.62%
3.51.08%98.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsf
Score01234
0
16.20%
17.73%
9.70%
3.54%
0.97%
1
11.76%
12.87%
7.04%
2.57%
0.70%
2
4.27%
4.67%
2.55%
0.93%
0.25%
3
1.03%
1.13%
0.62%
0.23%
0.06%
4
0.19%
0.20%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Boca Juniors
1-011.76%
2-04.27%
2-14.67%
3-01.03%
3-11.13%
3-20.62%
4-00.19%
4-10.20%
4-20.11%
Draw
0-016.20%
1-112.87%
2-22.55%
3-30.23%
Velez Sarsf
0-117.73%
0-29.70%
1-27.04%
0-33.54%
1-32.57%
2-30.93%
0-40.97%
1-40.70%
2-40.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsf
Score01234
0
43.06%
21.82%
5.53%
0.93%
0.12%
1
14.46%
7.33%
1.86%
0.31%
0.04%
2
2.43%
1.23%
0.31%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.27%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Boca Juniors
1-014.46%
2-02.43%
2-11.23%
3-00.27%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-043.06%
1-17.33%
2-20.31%
Velez Sarsf
0-121.82%
0-25.53%
1-21.86%
0-30.93%
1-30.31%
0-40.12%
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