Boca Juniors at Independiente

Updated

Boca Juniors

31.1%33.1%35.8%
Boca Juniors WinDrawIndependiente Win
0.82Projected Goals 0.95
0Final Score 1

Independiente

Last 5 Games

Boca Juniors
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Sarmiento
W 3-0 at Aldosivi
L 1-0 vs Gimnasia ELP
L 0-2 at Velez Sarsf
W 1-2 vs Godoy Cruz
Independiente
Money Line
L 0-1 at CC Cordoba
W 0-3 vs Arsenal
L 0-1 at Newell's OB
W 0-1 vs CA Union
T 1-1 vs Sarmiento

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Boca Juniors+135+145+135+134+152+135+152+143.8
Independiente+210+260+215+285+211+215+285+282.2
Draw+205+175+180+188+193+180+193+204.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Boca Juniors-----+143.8
Independiente-----+282.2
Draw-----+204.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Boca Juniors: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Boca Juniors: 0.0%
Independiente: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Boca Juniors: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Boca Juniors: 50.0%
Independiente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Boca Juniors ML
No Steam Moves On Independiente ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+108o1¾-110o1¾-110o2+126-o1¾-110o2+126o1¾+104
Underu2¼-128u1¾-110u1¾-110u2-141-u1¾-110u2-141u1¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o1¾+104
Under-----u1¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes34.4%
 
No65.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 016.96%
Exactly 226.70%
Exactly 47.01%
Exactly 60.74%
 
Exactly 130.09%
Exactly 315.79%
Exactly 52.49%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Boca Juniors
Exactly 043.81%
Exactly 136.16%
Exactly 214.92%
Exactly 34.10%
Exactly 40.85%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 038.70%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.44%
Exactly 35.52%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 043.97%
Exactly 214.84%
Exactly 40.83%
 
Exactly 136.13%
Exactly 34.06%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Boca Juniors
Exactly 068.24%
Exactly 126.08%
Exactly 24.98%
Exactly 30.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 064.43%
Exactly 128.32%
Exactly 26.22%
Exactly 30.91%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Boca Juniors
Wins by 2+ goals9.79%
Wins by 3+ goals2.36%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%
Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals13.54%
Wins by 3+ goals3.70%
Wins by 4+ goals0.77%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Boca Juniors
Independiente
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Boca Juniors
Wins by 1 goal20.24%
Wins by 2 goals7.44%
Wins by 3 goals1.92%
Wins by 4 goals0.38%
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal23.28%
Wins by 2 goals9.84%
Wins by 3 goals2.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.66%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.04%16.96%
1.552.96%47.04%
2.526.26%73.74%
3.510.47%89.53%
4.53.46%96.54%

Total Goals Boca Juniors Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.19%43.81%
1.520.03%79.97%
2.55.11%94.89%
3.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.30%38.70%
1.524.56%75.44%
2.57.12%92.88%
3.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.03%43.97%
1.519.90%80.10%
2.55.06%94.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Boca Juniors
Independiente
Score01234
0
16.96%
16.10%
7.64%
2.42%
0.57%
1
13.99%
13.28%
6.31%
2.00%
0.47%
2
5.77%
5.48%
2.60%
0.82%
0.20%
3
1.59%
1.51%
0.72%
0.23%
0.05%
4
0.33%
0.31%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Boca Juniors
1-013.99%
2-05.77%
2-15.48%
3-01.59%
3-11.51%
3-20.72%
4-00.33%
4-10.31%
4-20.15%
Draw
0-016.96%
1-113.28%
2-22.60%
3-30.23%
Independiente
0-116.10%
0-27.64%
1-26.31%
0-32.42%
1-32.00%
2-30.82%
0-40.57%
1-40.47%
2-40.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Boca Juniors
Independiente
Score0123
0
43.97%
19.33%
4.25%
0.62%
1
16.80%
7.38%
1.62%
0.24%
2
3.21%
1.41%
0.31%
0.05%
3
0.41%
0.18%
0.04%
0.01%
Boca Juniors
1-016.80%
2-03.21%
2-11.41%
3-00.41%
3-10.18%
Draw
0-043.97%
1-17.38%
2-20.31%
Independiente
0-119.33%
0-24.25%
1-21.62%
0-30.62%
1-30.24%
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