Independiente at Defensa y Just

Updated

Independiente

18.6%25.2%56.2%
WinDrawDefensa y Just Win
0.79Projected Goals 1.58
1Final Score 2

Defensa y Just

Last 5 Games

Independiente
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Rosario Cent
L 0-1 at Racing Club
L 3-1 vs Platense
L 1-3 at Patronato
W 1-2 vs Estudiantes
Defensa y Just
Money Line
L 0-2 at Sarmiento
W 2-3 vs Aldosivi
L 0-1 at Gimnasia ELP
T 1-1 vs Velez Sarsf
L 1-2 at Godoy Cruz

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+210+180+215+218+189+215+218+220.0
Defensa y Just+125+155+145+149+156+145+156+162.5
Draw+200+195+208+218+212+208+218+226.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente-----+220.0
Defensa y Just-----+162.5
Draw-----+226.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Defensa y Just: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 0.0%
Defensa y Just: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Independiente: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
Defensa y Just: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Defensa y Just ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2¼+105o2¼+105o2-136-o2¼+105o2-136o2¼+114
Underu2¼-115u2¼-125u2¼-125u2+121-u2¼-125u2+121u2¼-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+114
Under-----u2¼-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.3%
 
No56.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.35%
Exactly 226.25%
Exactly 412.29%
Exactly 62.30%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.15%
Exactly 320.74%
Exactly 55.82%
Exactly 70.78%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 045.47%
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 214.12%
Exactly 33.71%
Exactly 40.73%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Defensa y Just
Exactly 020.56%
Exactly 132.52%
Exactly 225.72%
Exactly 313.56%
Exactly 45.36%
Exactly 51.70%
Exactly 60.45%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.38%
Exactly 220.09%
Exactly 42.02%
 
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 37.35%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 069.43%
Exactly 125.33%
Exactly 24.62%
Exactly 30.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Defensa y Just
Exactly 048.07%
Exactly 135.21%
Exactly 212.90%
Exactly 33.15%
Exactly 40.58%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals5.55%
Wins by 3+ goals1.24%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Defensa y Just
Wins by 2+ goals30.08%
Wins by 3+ goals12.69%
Wins by 4+ goals4.35%
Wins by 5+ goals1.23%
Wins by 6+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
Defensa y Just
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal13.02%
Wins by 2 goals4.31%
Wins by 3 goals1.03%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Defensa y Just
Wins by 1 goal26.13%
Wins by 2 goals17.38%
Wins by 3 goals8.35%
Wins by 4 goals3.11%
Wins by 5 goals0.95%
Wins by 6 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.65%9.35%
1.568.50%31.50%
2.542.24%57.76%
3.521.50%78.50%
4.59.21%90.79%
5.53.39%96.61%
6.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.53%45.47%
1.518.69%81.31%
2.54.57%95.43%

Total Goals Defensa y Just Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.44%20.56%
1.546.92%53.08%
2.521.20%78.80%
3.57.63%92.37%
4.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.62%33.38%
1.530.00%70.00%
2.59.90%90.10%
3.52.55%97.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
Defensa y Just
Score012345
0
9.35%
14.79%
11.70%
6.17%
2.44%
0.77%
1
7.37%
11.65%
9.22%
4.86%
1.92%
0.61%
2
2.90%
4.59%
3.63%
1.92%
0.76%
0.24%
3
0.76%
1.21%
0.95%
0.50%
0.20%
0.06%
4
0.15%
0.24%
0.19%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
Independiente
1-07.37%
2-02.90%
2-14.59%
3-00.76%
3-11.21%
3-20.95%
4-00.15%
4-10.24%
4-20.19%
Draw
0-09.35%
1-111.65%
2-23.63%
3-30.50%
Defensa y Just
0-114.79%
0-211.70%
1-29.22%
0-36.17%
1-34.86%
2-31.92%
0-42.44%
1-41.92%
2-40.76%
3-40.20%
0-50.77%
1-50.61%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
Defensa y Just
Score01234
0
33.38%
24.45%
8.95%
2.19%
0.40%
1
12.18%
8.92%
3.27%
0.80%
0.15%
2
2.22%
1.63%
0.60%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.27%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Independiente
1-012.18%
2-02.22%
2-11.63%
3-00.27%
3-10.20%
Draw
0-033.38%
1-18.92%
2-20.60%
Defensa y Just
0-124.45%
0-28.95%
1-23.27%
0-32.19%
1-30.80%
2-30.15%
0-40.40%
1-40.15%
Tigre at Patronato
Tigre at Estudiantes