Independiente at Defensa y Just

Updated

Independiente

18.6%25.2%56.2%
WinDrawDefensa y Just Win
0.79Projected Goals 1.58
1Final Score 2

Defensa y Just

Last 5 Games

Independiente
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Rosario Cent
L 0-1 at Racing Club
L 3-1 vs Platense
L 1-3 at Patronato
W 1-2 vs Estudiantes
Defensa y Just
Money Line
L 0-2 at Sarmiento
W 2-3 vs Aldosivi
L 0-1 at Gimnasia ELP
T 1-1 vs Velez Sarsf
L 1-2 at Godoy Cruz

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+210+180+215+218+189+215+218+220.0
Defensa y Just+125+155+145+149+156+145+156+162.5
Draw+200+195+208+218+212+208+218+226.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente-----+220.0
Defensa y Just-----+162.5
Draw-----+226.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Defensa y Just: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 0.0%
Defensa y Just: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
Defensa y Just: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Defensa y Just ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2¼+105o2¼+105o2-136-o2¼+105o2-136o2¼+114
Underu2¼-115u2¼-125u2¼-125u2+121-u2¼-125u2+121u2¼-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+114
Under-----u2¼-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.3%
 
No56.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.35%
Exactly 226.25%
Exactly 412.29%
Exactly 62.30%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.15%
Exactly 320.74%
Exactly 55.82%
Exactly 70.78%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 045.47%
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 214.12%
Exactly 33.71%
Exactly 40.73%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Defensa y Just
Exactly 020.56%
Exactly 132.52%
Exactly 225.72%
Exactly 313.56%
Exactly 45.36%
Exactly 51.70%
Exactly 60.45%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.38%
Exactly 220.09%
Exactly 42.02%
 
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 37.35%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 069.43%
Exactly 125.33%
Exactly 24.62%
Exactly 30.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Defensa y Just
Exactly 048.07%
Exactly 135.21%
Exactly 212.90%
Exactly 33.15%
Exactly 40.58%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals5.55%
Wins by 3+ goals1.24%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Defensa y Just
Wins by 2+ goals30.08%
Wins by 3+ goals12.69%
Wins by 4+ goals4.35%
Wins by 5+ goals1.23%
Wins by 6+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
Defensa y Just
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal13.02%
Wins by 2 goals4.31%
Wins by 3 goals1.03%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Defensa y Just
Wins by 1 goal26.13%
Wins by 2 goals17.38%
Wins by 3 goals8.35%
Wins by 4 goals3.11%
Wins by 5 goals0.95%
Wins by 6 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.65%9.35%
1.568.50%31.50%
2.542.24%57.76%
3.521.50%78.50%
4.59.21%90.79%
5.53.39%96.61%
6.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.53%45.47%
1.518.69%81.31%
2.54.57%95.43%

Total Goals Defensa y Just Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.44%20.56%
1.546.92%53.08%
2.521.20%78.80%
3.57.63%92.37%
4.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.62%33.38%
1.530.00%70.00%
2.59.90%90.10%
3.52.55%97.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
Defensa y Just
Score012345
0
9.35%
14.79%
11.70%
6.17%
2.44%
0.77%
1
7.37%
11.65%
9.22%
4.86%
1.92%
0.61%
2
2.90%
4.59%
3.63%
1.92%
0.76%
0.24%
3
0.76%
1.21%
0.95%
0.50%
0.20%
0.06%
4
0.15%
0.24%
0.19%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
Independiente
1-07.37%
2-02.90%
2-14.59%
3-00.76%
3-11.21%
3-20.95%
4-00.15%
4-10.24%
4-20.19%
Draw
0-09.35%
1-111.65%
2-23.63%
3-30.50%
Defensa y Just
0-114.79%
0-211.70%
1-29.22%
0-36.17%
1-34.86%
2-31.92%
0-42.44%
1-41.92%
2-40.76%
3-40.20%
0-50.77%
1-50.61%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
Defensa y Just
Score01234
0
33.38%
24.45%
8.95%
2.19%
0.40%
1
12.18%
8.92%
3.27%
0.80%
0.15%
2
2.22%
1.63%
0.60%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.27%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Independiente
1-012.18%
2-02.22%
2-11.63%
3-00.27%
3-10.20%
Draw
0-033.38%
1-18.92%
2-20.60%
Defensa y Just
0-124.45%
0-28.95%
1-23.27%
0-32.19%
1-30.80%
2-30.15%
0-40.40%
1-40.15%