Independiente at Patronato

Updated

Independiente

35.6%31.0%33.4%
Independiente WinDrawPatronato Win
1.01Projected Goals 0.97
1Final Score 3

Patronato

Last 5 Games

Independiente
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Estudiantes
L 1-2 at Argentinos Jun
W 0-1 vs Talleres
T 1-1 at San Lorenzo
W 2-1 at Talleres
Patronato
Money Line
L 1-3 at Sarmiento
W 0-1 vs Aldosivi
L 0-2 at Gimnasia ELP
T 1-1 vs Velez Sarsf
T 0-0 vs Gimnasia ELP

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+190+160+138+164+154+138+164+163.1
Patronato+160+190+220+206+205+220+220+230.1
Draw+180+180+205+206+201+205+206+215.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente-----+163.1
Patronato-----+230.1
Draw-----+215.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Patronato: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 0.0%
Patronato: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Independiente: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
Patronato: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Patronato ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-110o2-115o2-111o2-119-o2-111o2-111o2-104
Underu2-110u2-105u2-109u2+104-u2-109u2+104u2+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-104
Under-----u2+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.5%
 
No60.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 013.78%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 48.86%
Exactly 61.16%
 
Exactly 127.31%
Exactly 317.88%
Exactly 53.51%
Exactly 70.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 036.37%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.61%
Exactly 36.27%
Exactly 41.59%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Patronato
Exactly 037.89%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.84%
Exactly 35.77%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 039.94%
Exactly 216.82%
Exactly 41.18%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 35.14%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 062.60%
Exactly 129.32%
Exactly 26.87%
Exactly 31.07%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Patronato
Exactly 063.81%
Exactly 128.67%
Exactly 26.44%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals13.52%
Wins by 3+ goals3.86%
Wins by 4+ goals0.84%
Patronato
Wins by 2+ goals12.26%
Wins by 3+ goals3.37%
Wins by 4+ goals0.71%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
Patronato
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal21.99%
Wins by 2 goals9.66%
Wins by 3 goals3.02%
Wins by 4 goals0.72%
Patronato
Wins by 1 goal21.10%
Wins by 2 goals8.89%
Wins by 3 goals2.66%
Wins by 4 goals0.61%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.22%13.78%
1.558.91%41.09%
2.531.85%68.15%
3.513.96%86.04%
4.55.10%94.90%
5.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.63%36.37%
1.526.85%73.15%
2.58.24%91.76%
3.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals Patronato Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.11%37.89%
1.525.34%74.66%
2.57.50%92.50%
3.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.06%39.94%
1.523.40%76.60%
2.56.58%93.42%
3.51.43%98.57%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
Patronato
Score01234
0
13.78%
13.37%
6.49%
2.10%
0.51%
1
13.94%
13.53%
6.56%
2.12%
0.52%
2
7.05%
6.84%
3.32%
1.07%
0.26%
3
2.38%
2.31%
1.12%
0.36%
0.09%
4
0.60%
0.58%
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
Independiente
1-013.94%
2-07.05%
2-16.84%
3-02.38%
3-12.31%
3-21.12%
4-00.60%
4-10.58%
4-20.28%
Draw
0-013.78%
1-113.53%
2-23.32%
3-30.36%
Patronato
0-113.37%
0-26.49%
1-26.56%
0-32.10%
1-32.12%
2-31.07%
0-40.51%
1-40.52%
2-40.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
Patronato
Score0123
0
39.94%
17.95%
4.03%
0.60%
1
18.71%
8.41%
1.89%
0.28%
2
4.38%
1.97%
0.44%
0.07%
3
0.68%
0.31%
0.07%
0.01%
Independiente
1-018.71%
2-04.38%
2-11.97%
3-00.68%
3-10.31%
Draw
0-039.94%
1-18.41%
2-20.44%
Patronato
0-117.95%
0-24.03%
1-21.89%
0-30.60%
1-30.28%
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