Patronato at Sarmiento

Updated

Patronato

23.2%26.9%49.8%
Patronato WinDrawSarmiento Win
0.88Projected Goals 1.43
1Final Score 3

Sarmiento

Last 5 Games

Patronato
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Aldosivi
L 0-2 at Gimnasia ELP
T 1-1 vs Velez Sarsf
T 0-0 vs Gimnasia ELP
T 0-0 at Velez Sarsf
Sarmiento
Money Line
L 1-2 at Estudiantes
W 0-1 vs Argentinos Jun
L 0-2 at Talleres
L 0-2 at Argentinos Jun
L 2-1 vs Talleres

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Patronato+185+185+191+200+194+191+200+215.0
Sarmiento+150+155+159+172+154+159+172+176.3
Draw+200+180+186+203+205+186+205+211.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Patronato-----+215.0
Sarmiento-----+176.3
Draw-----+211.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Patronato: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sarmiento: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Patronato: 0.0%
Sarmiento: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Patronato: 0.0%
Sarmiento: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Patronato ML
No Steam Moves On Sarmiento ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-108o2-105o2+101o2-106-o2+101o2+101o2+104
Underu2¼-112u2-115u2-121u2-109-u2-121u2-109u2-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+104
Under-----u2-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.6%
 
No55.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.90%
Exactly 226.47%
Exactly 411.80%
Exactly 62.10%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.90%
Exactly 320.41%
Exactly 55.46%
Exactly 70.69%
Exact Goals Scored - Patronato
Exactly 041.35%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 216.12%
Exactly 34.75%
Exactly 41.05%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Sarmiento
Exactly 023.94%
Exactly 134.23%
Exactly 224.46%
Exactly 311.66%
Exactly 44.17%
Exactly 51.19%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.28%
Exactly 219.65%
Exactly 41.88%
 
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 37.01%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Patronato
Exactly 066.44%
Exactly 127.17%
Exactly 25.55%
Exactly 30.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sarmiento
Exactly 051.59%
Exactly 134.14%
Exactly 211.30%
Exactly 32.49%
Exactly 40.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Patronato
Wins by 2+ goals7.66%
Wins by 3+ goals1.90%
Wins by 4+ goals0.36%
Sarmiento
Wins by 2+ goals24.57%
Wins by 3+ goals9.46%
Wins by 4+ goals2.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.71%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Patronato
Sarmiento
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Patronato
Wins by 1 goal15.55%
Wins by 2 goals5.76%
Wins by 3 goals1.54%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
Sarmiento
Wins by 1 goal25.18%
Wins by 2 goals15.10%
Wins by 3 goals6.55%
Wins by 4 goals2.20%
Wins by 5 goals0.60%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.10%9.90%
1.567.20%32.80%
2.540.73%59.27%
3.520.32%79.68%
4.58.52%91.48%
5.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals Patronato Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.65%41.35%
1.522.13%77.87%
2.56.01%93.99%
3.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Sarmiento Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.06%23.94%
1.541.83%58.17%
2.517.37%82.63%
3.55.71%94.29%
4.51.54%98.46%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.72%34.28%
1.529.02%70.98%
2.59.38%90.62%
3.52.36%97.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Patronato
Sarmiento
Score012345
0
9.90%
14.15%
10.12%
4.82%
1.72%
0.49%
1
8.74%
12.50%
8.93%
4.26%
1.52%
0.43%
2
3.86%
5.52%
3.94%
1.88%
0.67%
0.19%
3
1.14%
1.62%
1.16%
0.55%
0.20%
0.06%
4
0.25%
0.36%
0.26%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Patronato
1-08.74%
2-03.86%
2-15.52%
3-01.14%
3-11.62%
3-21.16%
4-00.25%
4-10.36%
4-20.26%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-09.90%
1-112.50%
2-23.94%
3-30.55%
Sarmiento
0-114.15%
0-210.12%
1-28.93%
0-34.82%
1-34.26%
2-31.88%
0-41.72%
1-41.52%
2-40.67%
3-40.20%
0-50.49%
1-50.43%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Patronato
Sarmiento
Score01234
0
34.28%
22.69%
7.51%
1.66%
0.27%
1
14.01%
9.28%
3.07%
0.68%
0.11%
2
2.86%
1.90%
0.63%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.39%
0.26%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Patronato
1-014.01%
2-02.86%
2-11.90%
3-00.39%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-034.28%
1-19.28%
2-20.63%
Sarmiento
0-122.69%
0-27.51%
1-23.07%
0-31.66%
1-30.68%
2-30.14%
0-40.27%
1-40.11%