Fluminense at Palmeiras

Updated

Fluminense

14.3%21.3%64.4%
WinDrawPalmeiras Win
0.76Projected Goals 1.91
0Final Score 1

Palmeiras

Last 5 Games

Fluminense
Money Line
W 3-0 at Santos
W 1-2 vs Coritiba
W 0-1 vs Sao Paulo
T 1-1 at Flamengo
T 0-0 at Internacional
Palmeiras
Money Line
W 0-4 vs America (MG)
T 2-2 at Fortaleza
W 0-3 vs Internacional
L 0-3 at Flamengo
W 0-1 vs Athletico Paranaense

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fluminense+650+982+975+1000+1009+1000+1009+1053.9
Palmeiras-221-341-375-360-384-360-341-293.8
Draw+359+474+515+470+494+470+515+497.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fluminense-----+1053.9
Palmeiras------293.8
Draw-----+497.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fluminense: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fluminense: 40.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fluminense: 0.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fluminense ML
No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o3-105o2¾-116o3+100o3-103o3+100o2¾-116o3+109
Underu2½+110u3-113u2¾+102u3-120u3-117u3-120u3-113u3-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+109
Under-----u3-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.5%
 
No54.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.92%
Exactly 224.68%
Exactly 414.67%
Exactly 63.49%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.49%
Exactly 321.97%
Exactly 57.83%
Exactly 71.33%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Fluminense
Exactly 046.56%
Exactly 135.59%
Exactly 213.61%
Exactly 33.47%
Exactly 40.66%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 014.87%
Exactly 128.34%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 317.15%
Exactly 48.17%
Exactly 53.11%
Exactly 60.99%
Exactly 70.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.05%
Exactly 222.20%
Exactly 42.83%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.91%
Exactly 39.15%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fluminense
Exactly 070.19%
Exactly 124.84%
Exactly 24.40%
Exactly 30.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 041.38%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 216.11%
Exactly 34.74%
Exactly 41.04%
Exactly 50.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fluminense
Wins by 2+ goals4.08%
Wins by 3+ goals0.87%
Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals38.84%
Wins by 3+ goals18.93%
Wins by 4+ goals7.58%
Wins by 5+ goals2.52%
Wins by 6+ goals0.68%
Wins by 7+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Fluminense
Palmeiras
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Fluminense
Wins by 1 goal10.21%
Wins by 2 goals3.20%
Wins by 3 goals0.73%
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal25.45%
Wins by 2 goals19.90%
Wins by 3 goals11.35%
Wins by 4 goals5.06%
Wins by 5 goals1.84%
Wins by 6 goals0.56%
Wins by 7 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.08%6.92%
1.574.59%25.41%
2.549.90%50.10%
3.527.93%72.07%
4.513.27%86.73%
5.55.44%94.56%
6.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals Fluminense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.44%46.56%
1.517.85%82.15%
2.54.25%95.75%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.13%14.87%
1.556.78%43.22%
2.529.78%70.22%
3.512.63%87.37%
4.54.45%95.55%
5.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.95%29.05%
1.535.04%64.96%
2.512.85%87.15%
3.53.70%96.30%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fluminense
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
6.92%
13.20%
12.57%
7.99%
3.80%
1.45%
1
5.29%
10.09%
9.61%
6.11%
2.91%
1.11%
2
2.02%
3.86%
3.67%
2.33%
1.11%
0.42%
3
0.52%
0.98%
0.94%
0.59%
0.28%
0.11%
Fluminense
1-05.29%
2-02.02%
2-13.86%
3-00.52%
3-10.98%
3-20.94%
Draw
0-06.92%
1-110.09%
2-23.67%
3-30.59%
Palmeiras
0-113.20%
0-212.57%
1-29.61%
0-37.99%
1-36.11%
2-32.33%
0-43.80%
1-42.91%
2-41.11%
3-40.28%
0-51.45%
1-51.11%
2-50.42%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Fluminense
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
29.05%
25.63%
11.31%
3.32%
0.73%
0.13%
1
10.28%
9.07%
4.00%
1.18%
0.26%
0.05%
2
1.82%
1.61%
0.71%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.21%
0.19%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Fluminense
1-010.28%
2-01.82%
2-11.61%
3-00.21%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-029.05%
1-19.07%
2-20.71%
Palmeiras
0-125.63%
0-211.31%
1-24.00%
0-33.32%
1-31.18%
2-30.21%
0-40.73%
1-40.26%
0-50.13%