Avaí at Sao Paulo

Updated

Avaí

9.2%18.5%72.3%
WinDrawSao Paulo Win
0.57Projected Goals 2.07
0Final Score 4

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Avaí
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Atletico Mineiro
T 1-1 vs Athletico Paranaense
T 1-1 at Juventude
L 0-1 at Coritiba
L 1-0 vs Internacional
Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 2-0 at Ceara
T 1-1 vs Corinthians
T 1-1 at Cuiaba
L 1-0 vs Fortaleza
L 0-1 at Santos

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Avaí+550+737+675+825-+825+825+850.9
Sao Paulo-195-235-240-265--265-235-230.3
Draw+310+357+340+365-+365+365+406.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Avaí-----+850.9
Sao Paulo------230.3
Draw-----+406.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Avaí: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Avaí: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Avaí: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Avaí: 20.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Avaí ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-119o2½-115o2½-115-o2½-115o2½-115o2½-108
Underu2½-115u2½+101u2½-105u2½-105-u2½-105u2½+101u2½+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-108
Under-----u2½+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.3%
 
No61.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.12%
Exactly 224.86%
Exactly 414.46%
Exactly 63.36%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.81%
Exactly 321.89%
Exactly 57.64%
Exactly 71.27%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Avaí
Exactly 056.18%
Exactly 132.40%
Exactly 29.34%
Exactly 31.80%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 012.68%
Exactly 126.18%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 318.62%
Exactly 49.61%
Exactly 53.97%
Exactly 61.37%
Exactly 70.40%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.43%
Exactly 222.02%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 38.98%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Avaí
Exactly 076.57%
Exactly 120.44%
Exactly 22.73%
Exactly 30.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 038.43%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.57%
Exactly 35.60%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Avaí
Wins by 2+ goals2.05%
Wins by 3+ goals0.33%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals46.92%
Wins by 3+ goals24.73%
Wins by 4+ goals10.76%
Wins by 5+ goals3.94%
Wins by 6+ goals1.23%
Wins by 7+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Avaí
Sao Paulo
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Avaí
Wins by 1 goal7.09%
Wins by 2 goals1.72%
Wins by 3 goals0.30%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal25.39%
Wins by 2 goals22.19%
Wins by 3 goals13.97%
Wins by 4 goals6.82%
Wins by 5 goals2.71%
Wins by 6 goals0.91%
Wins by 7 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.88%7.12%
1.574.06%25.94%
2.549.21%50.79%
3.527.32%72.68%
4.512.86%87.14%
5.55.22%94.78%
6.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals Avaí Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.82%56.18%
1.511.43%88.57%
2.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.32%12.68%
1.561.14%38.86%
2.534.10%65.90%
3.515.49%84.51%
4.55.87%94.13%
5.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.57%29.43%
1.534.58%65.42%
2.512.56%87.44%
3.53.58%96.42%

Score Props

Correct Score

Avaí
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
7.12%
14.71%
15.19%
10.46%
5.40%
2.23%
1
4.11%
8.48%
8.76%
6.03%
3.11%
1.29%
2
1.18%
2.45%
2.53%
1.74%
0.90%
0.37%
3
0.23%
0.47%
0.49%
0.33%
0.17%
0.07%
Avaí
1-04.11%
2-01.18%
2-12.45%
3-00.23%
3-10.47%
3-20.49%
Draw
0-07.12%
1-18.48%
2-22.53%
3-30.33%
Sao Paulo
0-114.71%
0-215.19%
1-28.76%
0-310.46%
1-36.03%
2-31.74%
0-45.40%
1-43.11%
2-40.90%
3-40.17%
0-52.23%
1-51.29%
2-50.37%

Correct Score - First Half

Avaí
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
29.43%
28.14%
13.45%
4.29%
1.03%
0.20%
1
7.86%
7.51%
3.59%
1.15%
0.27%
0.05%
2
1.05%
1.00%
0.48%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Avaí
1-07.86%
2-01.05%
2-11.00%
Draw
0-029.43%
1-17.51%
2-20.48%
Sao Paulo
0-128.14%
0-213.45%
1-23.59%
0-34.29%
1-31.15%
2-30.15%
0-41.03%
1-40.27%
0-50.20%
Internacional at Atletico Goianiense
Athletico Paranaense at Santos