Avaí at Sao Paulo

Updated

Avaí

9.2%18.5%72.3%
WinDrawSao Paulo Win
0.57Projected Goals 2.07
0Final Score 4

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Avaí
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Atletico Mineiro
T 1-1 vs Athletico Paranaense
T 1-1 at Juventude
L 0-1 at Coritiba
L 1-0 vs Internacional
Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 2-0 at Ceara
T 1-1 vs Corinthians
T 1-1 at Cuiaba
L 1-0 vs Fortaleza
L 0-1 at Santos

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Avaí+550+737+675+825-+825+825+850.9
Sao Paulo-195-235-240-265--265-235-230.3
Draw+310+357+340+365-+365+365+406.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Avaí-----+850.9
Sao Paulo------230.3
Draw-----+406.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Avaí: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Avaí: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Avaí: 20.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Avaí ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-119o2½-115o2½-115-o2½-115o2½-115o2½-108
Underu2½-115u2½+101u2½-105u2½-105-u2½-105u2½+101u2½+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-108
Under-----u2½+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.3%
 
No61.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.12%
Exactly 224.86%
Exactly 414.46%
Exactly 63.36%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.81%
Exactly 321.89%
Exactly 57.64%
Exactly 71.27%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Avaí
Exactly 056.18%
Exactly 132.40%
Exactly 29.34%
Exactly 31.80%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 012.68%
Exactly 126.18%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 318.62%
Exactly 49.61%
Exactly 53.97%
Exactly 61.37%
Exactly 70.40%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.43%
Exactly 222.02%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 38.98%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Avaí
Exactly 076.57%
Exactly 120.44%
Exactly 22.73%
Exactly 30.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 038.43%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.57%
Exactly 35.60%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Avaí
Wins by 2+ goals2.05%
Wins by 3+ goals0.33%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals46.92%
Wins by 3+ goals24.73%
Wins by 4+ goals10.76%
Wins by 5+ goals3.94%
Wins by 6+ goals1.23%
Wins by 7+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Avaí
Sao Paulo
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Avaí
Wins by 1 goal7.09%
Wins by 2 goals1.72%
Wins by 3 goals0.30%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal25.39%
Wins by 2 goals22.19%
Wins by 3 goals13.97%
Wins by 4 goals6.82%
Wins by 5 goals2.71%
Wins by 6 goals0.91%
Wins by 7 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.88%7.12%
1.574.06%25.94%
2.549.21%50.79%
3.527.32%72.68%
4.512.86%87.14%
5.55.22%94.78%
6.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals Avaí Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.82%56.18%
1.511.43%88.57%
2.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.32%12.68%
1.561.14%38.86%
2.534.10%65.90%
3.515.49%84.51%
4.55.87%94.13%
5.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.57%29.43%
1.534.58%65.42%
2.512.56%87.44%
3.53.58%96.42%

Score Props

Correct Score

Avaí
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
7.12%
14.71%
15.19%
10.46%
5.40%
2.23%
1
4.11%
8.48%
8.76%
6.03%
3.11%
1.29%
2
1.18%
2.45%
2.53%
1.74%
0.90%
0.37%
3
0.23%
0.47%
0.49%
0.33%
0.17%
0.07%
Avaí
1-04.11%
2-01.18%
2-12.45%
3-00.23%
3-10.47%
3-20.49%
Draw
0-07.12%
1-18.48%
2-22.53%
3-30.33%
Sao Paulo
0-114.71%
0-215.19%
1-28.76%
0-310.46%
1-36.03%
2-31.74%
0-45.40%
1-43.11%
2-40.90%
3-40.17%
0-52.23%
1-51.29%
2-50.37%

Correct Score - First Half

Avaí
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
29.43%
28.14%
13.45%
4.29%
1.03%
0.20%
1
7.86%
7.51%
3.59%
1.15%
0.27%
0.05%
2
1.05%
1.00%
0.48%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Avaí
1-07.86%
2-01.05%
2-11.00%
Draw
0-029.43%
1-17.51%
2-20.48%
Sao Paulo
0-128.14%
0-213.45%
1-23.59%
0-34.29%
1-31.15%
2-30.15%
0-41.03%
1-40.27%
0-50.20%