Sao Paulo at Ceara

Updated

Sao Paulo

29.1%29.7%41.2%
Sao Paulo WinDrawCeara Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.16
2Final Score 0

Ceara

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Corinthians
T 1-1 at Cuiaba
L 1-0 vs Fortaleza
L 0-1 at Santos
W 0-3 vs Bragantino
Ceara
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Santos
T 1-1 at Flamengo
T 0-0 vs Athletico Paranaense
T 1-1 at Bragantino
L 1-0 vs Fortaleza

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+228+194+190+190-+190+194+224.5
Ceara+134+167+160+169-+169+169+169.3
Draw+224+207+195+200-+200+207+212.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+224.5
Ceara-----+169.3
Draw-----+212.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ceara: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Ceara: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sao Paulo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Ceara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Ceara ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-138o2-122o2-128o2-122-o2-122o2-122o2-110
Underu2+118u2+104u2+108u2+102-u2+102u2+108u2+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-110
Under-----u2+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.6%
 
No58.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.35%
Exactly 227.01%
Exactly 49.85%
Exactly 61.44%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 125.83%
Exactly 318.83%
Exactly 54.12%
Exactly 70.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 039.55%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.01%
Exactly 35.26%
Exactly 41.22%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Ceara
Exactly 031.23%
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 221.15%
Exactly 38.21%
Exactly 42.39%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.97%
Exactly 217.80%
Exactly 41.39%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 35.75%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 065.09%
Exactly 127.95%
Exactly 26.00%
Exactly 30.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ceara
Exactly 058.34%
Exactly 131.44%
Exactly 28.47%
Exactly 31.52%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals10.17%
Wins by 3+ goals2.67%
Wins by 4+ goals0.53%
Ceara
Wins by 2+ goals17.50%
Wins by 3+ goals5.69%
Wins by 4+ goals1.47%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Ceara
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal18.86%
Wins by 2 goals7.50%
Wins by 3 goals2.13%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%
Ceara
Wins by 1 goal23.66%
Wins by 2 goals11.81%
Wins by 3 goals4.22%
Wins by 4 goals1.17%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.65%12.35%
1.561.82%38.18%
2.534.80%65.20%
3.515.97%84.03%
4.56.13%93.87%
5.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.45%39.55%
1.523.76%76.24%
2.56.75%93.25%
3.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Ceara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.77%31.23%
1.532.43%67.57%
2.511.28%88.72%
3.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.03%37.97%
1.525.26%74.74%
2.57.46%92.54%
3.51.71%98.29%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Ceara
Score012345
0
12.35%
14.38%
8.37%
3.25%
0.94%
0.22%
1
11.46%
13.33%
7.76%
3.01%
0.88%
0.20%
2
5.31%
6.18%
3.60%
1.40%
0.41%
0.09%
3
1.64%
1.91%
1.11%
0.43%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.38%
0.44%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-011.46%
2-05.31%
2-16.18%
3-01.64%
3-11.91%
3-21.11%
4-00.38%
4-10.44%
4-20.26%
4-30.10%
Draw
0-012.35%
1-113.33%
2-23.60%
3-30.43%
Ceara
0-114.38%
0-28.37%
1-27.76%
0-33.25%
1-33.01%
2-31.40%
0-40.94%
1-40.88%
2-40.41%
3-40.13%
0-50.22%
1-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Ceara
Score01234
0
37.97%
20.46%
5.51%
0.99%
0.13%
1
16.31%
8.79%
2.37%
0.43%
0.06%
2
3.50%
1.89%
0.51%
0.09%
0.01%
3
0.50%
0.27%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-016.31%
2-03.50%
2-11.89%
3-00.50%
3-10.27%
Draw
0-037.97%
1-18.79%
2-20.51%
Ceara
0-120.46%
0-25.51%
1-22.37%
0-30.99%
1-30.43%
0-40.13%
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