Athletico Paranaense at Avaí

Updated 740 days ago

02:00 PM • Sep 11, 2022

Athletico Paranaense

42.0%30.4%27.5%

Athletico Paranaense WinDrawAvaí Win

1.14Projected Goals 0.86

1Final Score 1

Avaí

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
W 0-1	9/03 vs Fluminense
T 0-0	8/28 at Ceara
T 1-1	8/21 vs America (MG)
L 0-5	8/14 at Flamengo
W 3-2	8/07 at Atletico Mineiro

Avaí		Money Line
T 1-1	9/03 at Juventude
L 0-1	8/27 at Coritiba
L 1-0	8/22 vs Internacional
T 1-1	8/13 at Goias
T 1-1	8/06 vs Corinthians

Money Line Analysis

:2.6%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+145	-	+140	+133	+129	+133	+140	+141.5
Avaí	+195	-	+230	+235	+221	+235	+235	+263.2
Draw	+220	-	+195	+212	+221	+212	+221	+222.0

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+141.5
Avaí	-	-	-	-	-	+263.2
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+222.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Avaí: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Avaí: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Avaí: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Avaí: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Avaí ML

Over/Under Analysis

:4.0%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼+100	-	o2-125	o2-124	-	o2-124	o2-124	o2-113
Under	u2¼-120	-	u2+105	u2+104	-	u2+104	u2+105	u2+113

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2-113
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	39.3%


No	60.7%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	13.47%
Exactly 2	27.07%
Exactly 4	9.06%
Exactly 6	1.21%


Exactly 1	27.01%
Exactly 3	18.08%
Exactly 5	3.63%
Exactly 7	0.35%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	31.94%
Exactly 1	36.45%
Exactly 2	20.80%
Exactly 3	7.91%
Exactly 4	2.26%
Exactly 5	0.52%

Exact Goals Scored - Avaí
Exactly 0	42.18%
Exactly 1	36.41%
Exactly 2	15.71%
Exactly 3	4.52%
Exactly 4	0.98%
Exactly 5	0.17%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	39.53%
Exactly 2	17.02%
Exactly 4	1.22%


Exactly 1	36.69%
Exactly 3	5.27%
Exactly 5	0.23%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	58.95%
Exactly 1	31.15%
Exactly 2	8.23%
Exactly 3	1.45%
Exactly 4	0.19%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Avaí
Exactly 0	67.06%
Exactly 1	26.80%
Exactly 2	5.35%
Exactly 3	0.71%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	17.63%
Wins by 3+ goals	5.60%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.36%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.22%

Avaí
Wins by 2+ goals	9.15%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.26%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Avaí

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	24.30%
Wins by 2 goals	12.03%
Wins by 3 goals	4.24%
Wins by 4 goals	1.14%
Wins by 5 goals	0.22%

Avaí
Wins by 1 goal	18.38%
Wins by 2 goals	6.88%
Wins by 3 goals	1.83%
Wins by 4 goals	0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	86.53%	13.47%
1.5	59.52%	40.48%
2.5	32.45%	67.55%
3.5	14.37%	85.63%
4.5	5.31%	94.69%
5.5	1.67%	98.33%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	68.06%	31.94%
1.5	31.60%	68.40%
2.5	10.80%	89.20%
3.5	2.89%	97.11%

Total Goals Avaí Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	57.82%	42.18%
1.5	21.41%	78.59%
2.5	5.69%	94.31%
3.5	1.17%	98.83%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	60.47%	39.53%
1.5	23.78%	76.22%
2.5	6.76%	93.24%
3.5	1.49%	98.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Avaí

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.47%	11.63%	5.02%	1.44%	0.31%
1	15.38%	13.27%	5.73%	1.65%	0.36%
2	8.77%	7.57%	3.27%	0.94%	0.20%
3	3.34%	2.88%	1.24%	0.36%	0.08%
4	0.95%	0.82%	0.35%	0.10%	0.02%
5	0.22%	0.19%	0.08%	0.02%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	15.38%
2-0	8.77%
2-1	7.57%
3-0	3.34%
3-1	2.88%
3-2	1.24%
4-0	0.95%
4-1	0.82%
4-2	0.35%
4-3	0.10%
5-0	0.22%
5-1	0.19%

Draw
0-0	13.47%
1-1	13.27%
2-2	3.27%
3-3	0.36%

Avaí
0-1	11.63%
0-2	5.02%
1-2	5.73%
0-3	1.44%
1-3	1.65%
2-3	0.94%
0-4	0.31%
1-4	0.36%
2-4	0.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Avaí

Score	0	1	2	3
0	39.53%	15.80%	3.16%	0.42%
1	20.89%	8.35%	1.67%	0.22%
2	5.52%	2.21%	0.44%	0.06%
3	0.97%	0.39%	0.08%	0.01%
4	0.13%	0.05%	0.01%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	20.89%
2-0	5.52%
2-1	2.21%
3-0	0.97%
3-1	0.39%
4-0	0.13%

Draw
0-0	39.53%
1-1	8.35%
2-2	0.44%

Avaí
0-1	15.80%
0-2	3.16%
1-2	1.67%
0-3	0.42%
1-3	0.22%

Juventude at Palmeiras

America (MG) at Botafogo RJ

Athletico Paranaense at Avaí