Fluminense at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Fluminense

28.3%30.4%41.3%
Fluminense WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.88Projected Goals 1.13
0Final Score 1

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Fluminense
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Palmeiras
W 2-5 vs Coritiba
L 0-3 at Internacional
W 0-1 vs Cuiaba
T 2-2 at Santos
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
T 0-0 at Ceara
T 1-1 vs America (MG)
L 0-5 at Flamengo
W 3-2 at Atletico Mineiro
W 0-1 vs Sao Paulo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fluminense+148-+115+117+132+117+132+146.0
Athletico Paranaense+185-+255+245+214+245+255+242.2
Draw+226-+235+235+220+235+235+231.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fluminense-----+146.0
Athletico Paranaense-----+242.2
Draw-----+231.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fluminense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fluminense: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fluminense: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fluminense: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fluminense ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110-o2¼-116o2¼-121-o2¼-121o2¼-116o2½+120
Underu2¼-110-u2¼+102u2¼+101-u2¼+101u2¼+102u2½-120
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+120
Under-----u2½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.6%
 
No60.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 013.40%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 49.11%
Exactly 61.23%
 
Exactly 126.93%
Exactly 318.13%
Exactly 53.66%
Exactly 70.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Fluminense
Exactly 041.47%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 216.06%
Exactly 34.71%
Exactly 41.04%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 032.30%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 220.62%
Exactly 37.77%
Exactly 42.19%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 039.43%
Exactly 217.08%
Exactly 41.23%
 
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 35.30%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fluminense
Exactly 066.53%
Exactly 127.11%
Exactly 25.52%
Exactly 30.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 059.26%
Exactly 131.01%
Exactly 28.11%
Exactly 31.41%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fluminense
Wins by 2+ goals9.54%
Wins by 3+ goals2.40%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals17.16%
Wins by 3+ goals5.40%
Wins by 4+ goals1.30%
Wins by 5+ goals0.21%

Exact Winning Margin

Fluminense
Athletico Paranaense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Fluminense
Wins by 1 goal18.71%
Wins by 2 goals7.14%
Wins by 3 goals1.94%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal24.02%
Wins by 2 goals11.76%
Wins by 3 goals4.10%
Wins by 4 goals1.09%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.60%13.40%
1.559.67%40.33%
2.532.60%67.40%
3.514.47%85.53%
4.55.36%94.64%
5.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Fluminense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.53%41.47%
1.522.02%77.98%
2.55.96%94.04%
3.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.70%32.30%
1.531.19%68.81%
2.510.57%89.43%
3.52.80%97.20%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.57%39.43%
1.523.87%76.13%
2.56.80%93.20%
3.51.50%98.50%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fluminense
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
13.40%
15.14%
8.55%
3.22%
0.91%
0.21%
1
11.79%
13.32%
7.53%
2.84%
0.80%
0.18%
2
5.19%
5.86%
3.31%
1.25%
0.35%
0.08%
3
1.52%
1.72%
0.97%
0.37%
0.10%
0.02%
4
0.33%
0.38%
0.21%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
Fluminense
1-011.79%
2-05.19%
2-15.86%
3-01.52%
3-11.72%
3-20.97%
4-00.33%
4-10.38%
4-20.21%
Draw
0-013.40%
1-113.32%
2-23.31%
3-30.37%
Athletico Paranaense
0-115.14%
0-28.55%
1-27.53%
0-33.22%
1-32.84%
2-31.25%
0-40.91%
1-40.80%
2-40.35%
3-40.10%
0-50.21%
1-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Fluminense
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
39.43%
20.63%
5.40%
0.94%
0.12%
1
16.07%
8.41%
2.20%
0.38%
0.05%
2
3.27%
1.71%
0.45%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.44%
0.23%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Fluminense
1-016.07%
2-03.27%
2-11.71%
3-00.44%
3-10.23%
Draw
0-039.43%
1-18.41%
2-20.45%
Athletico Paranaense
0-120.63%
0-25.40%
1-22.20%
0-30.94%
1-30.38%
0-40.12%
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