Palmeiras at Bahia

Updated

Palmeiras

43.7%27.0%29.4%
Palmeiras WinDrawBahia Win
1.41Projected Goals 0.95
0Final Score 0

Bahia

Last 5 Games

Palmeiras
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Bragantino-120
L 1-2 at America (MG)+180
T 1-1 vs Juventude-250
L 1-2 at Corinthians+150
W 2-0 at Chapecoense-160
Bahia
Money Line
W 2-0 at Athletico Paranaense+445
L 1-3 at Corinthians+530
L 0-2 at Internacional+410
T 1-1 vs Bragantino+125
T 0-0 at Santos+230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras+115+135+133+138+133+133+138+145.8
Bahia+241+210+191+220+211+191+220+230.5
Draw+232+230+225+233+225+225+233+244.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras+120----+135+135+145.8
Bahia+225----+215+215+230.5
Draw+245----+225+225+244.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 10.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Bahia ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 10.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Bahia ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-112o2¼-118o2¼-110o2¼-118-o2¼-110o2¼-110o2¼-110
Underu2-108u2¼-102u2¼-105u2¼+103-u2¼-105u2¼+103u2¼+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-110
Under-----u2¼+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.4%
 
No53.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.41%
Exactly 226.28%
Exactly 412.23%
Exactly 62.28%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.25%
Exactly 320.70%
Exactly 55.78%
Exactly 70.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 024.34%
Exactly 134.39%
Exactly 224.30%
Exactly 311.44%
Exactly 44.04%
Exactly 51.14%
Exactly 60.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 038.67%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.45%
Exactly 35.53%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.49%
Exactly 220.04%
Exactly 42.00%
 
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 37.31%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 051.99%
Exactly 134.01%
Exactly 211.12%
Exactly 32.43%
Exactly 40.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 064.41%
Exactly 128.33%
Exactly 26.23%
Exactly 30.91%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals23.17%
Wins by 3+ goals8.80%
Wins by 4+ goals2.67%
Wins by 5+ goals0.64%
Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals8.82%
Wins by 3+ goals2.32%
Wins by 4+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Palmeiras
Bahia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal24.47%
Wins by 2 goals14.37%
Wins by 3 goals6.13%
Wins by 4 goals2.03%
Wins by 5 goals0.54%
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal16.45%
Wins by 2 goals6.50%
Wins by 3 goals1.86%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.59%9.41%
1.568.34%31.66%
2.542.06%57.94%
3.521.36%78.64%
4.59.13%90.87%
5.53.35%96.65%
6.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.66%24.34%
1.541.26%58.74%
2.516.96%83.04%
3.55.52%94.48%
4.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.33%38.67%
1.524.58%75.42%
2.57.13%92.87%
3.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.51%33.49%
1.529.88%70.12%
2.59.84%90.16%
3.52.53%97.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Palmeiras
Bahia
Score01234
0
9.41%
8.94%
4.25%
1.35%
0.32%
1
13.30%
12.64%
6.00%
1.90%
0.45%
2
9.40%
8.93%
4.24%
1.34%
0.32%
3
4.43%
4.20%
2.00%
0.63%
0.15%
4
1.56%
1.49%
0.71%
0.22%
0.05%
5
0.44%
0.42%
0.20%
0.06%
0.01%
Palmeiras
1-013.30%
2-09.40%
2-18.93%
3-04.43%
3-14.20%
3-22.00%
4-01.56%
4-11.49%
4-20.71%
4-30.22%
5-00.44%
5-10.42%
5-20.20%
Draw
0-09.41%
1-112.64%
2-24.24%
3-30.63%
Bahia
0-18.94%
0-24.25%
1-26.00%
0-31.35%
1-31.90%
2-31.34%
0-40.32%
1-40.45%
2-40.32%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Palmeiras
Bahia
Score0123
0
33.49%
14.73%
3.24%
0.47%
1
21.91%
9.64%
2.12%
0.31%
2
7.17%
3.15%
0.69%
0.10%
3
1.56%
0.69%
0.15%
0.02%
4
0.26%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Palmeiras
1-021.91%
2-07.17%
2-13.15%
3-01.56%
3-10.69%
3-20.15%
4-00.26%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-033.49%
1-19.64%
2-20.69%
Bahia
0-114.73%
0-23.24%
1-22.12%
0-30.47%
1-30.31%
2-30.10%