Vasco da Gama at Bahia

Updated

Vasco da Gama

20.8%25.7%53.5%
Vasco da Gama WinDrawBahia Win
0.85Projected Goals 1.54
1Final Score 2

Bahia

Last 5 Games

Vasco da Gama
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Sao Paulo
L 0-2 at Juventude
T 0-0 vs Cruzeiro
L 0-2 at Palmeiras
L 6-1 vs Flamengo
Bahia
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Cruzeiro
L 1-2 at Flamengo
T 2-2 at Criciuma
W 0-1 vs Fortaleza
T 1-1 at Atletico Mineiro

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vasco da Gama+400+463+440+500+469+500+500+530.0
Bahia-150-158-170-175-169-175-158-153.9
Draw+295+301+320+305+302+305+320+325.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vasco da Gama-----+530.0
Bahia------153.9
Draw-----+325.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vasco da Gama: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vasco da Gama: 30.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vasco da Gama: 10.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Vasco da Gama ML
No Steam Moves On Bahia ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½-113o2½-115o2½-114o2½-112o2½-114o2½-112o2½-104
Underu2½-122u2½-103u2½-105u2½-106u2½-108u2½-106u2½-103u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-104
Under-----u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.1%
 
No54.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.15%
Exactly 226.16%
Exactly 412.47%
Exactly 62.38%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.88%
Exactly 320.86%
Exactly 55.97%
Exactly 70.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 042.64%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 215.49%
Exactly 34.40%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 021.45%
Exactly 133.02%
Exactly 225.42%
Exactly 313.04%
Exactly 45.02%
Exactly 51.55%
Exactly 60.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.04%
Exactly 220.26%
Exactly 42.07%
 
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 37.48%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 067.39%
Exactly 126.60%
Exactly 25.25%
Exactly 30.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 049.03%
Exactly 134.95%
Exactly 212.45%
Exactly 32.96%
Exactly 40.53%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vasco da Gama
Wins by 2+ goals6.62%
Wins by 3+ goals1.58%
Wins by 4+ goals0.29%
Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals27.81%
Wins by 3+ goals11.38%
Wins by 4+ goals3.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.97%
Wins by 6+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Vasco da Gama
Bahia
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Vasco da Gama
Wins by 1 goal14.16%
Wins by 2 goals5.04%
Wins by 3 goals1.29%
Wins by 4 goals0.25%
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal25.57%
Wins by 2 goals16.43%
Wins by 3 goals7.64%
Wins by 4 goals2.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.80%
Wins by 6 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.85%9.15%
1.568.98%31.02%
2.542.82%57.18%
3.521.96%78.04%
4.59.49%90.51%
5.53.52%96.48%
6.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Vasco da Gama Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.36%42.64%
1.521.02%78.98%
2.55.53%94.47%
3.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.55%21.45%
1.545.53%54.47%
2.520.11%79.89%
3.57.07%92.93%
4.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.96%33.04%
1.530.37%69.63%
2.510.11%89.89%
3.52.63%97.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vasco da Gama
Bahia
Score012345
0
9.15%
14.08%
10.84%
5.56%
2.14%
0.66%
1
7.80%
12.00%
9.24%
4.74%
1.82%
0.56%
2
3.32%
5.12%
3.94%
2.02%
0.78%
0.24%
3
0.94%
1.45%
1.12%
0.57%
0.22%
0.07%
4
0.20%
0.31%
0.24%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
Vasco da Gama
1-07.80%
2-03.32%
2-15.12%
3-00.94%
3-11.45%
3-21.12%
4-00.20%
4-10.31%
4-20.24%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-09.15%
1-112.00%
2-23.94%
3-30.57%
Bahia
0-114.08%
0-210.84%
1-29.24%
0-35.56%
1-34.74%
2-32.02%
0-42.14%
1-41.82%
2-40.78%
3-40.22%
0-50.66%
1-50.56%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Vasco da Gama
Bahia
Score01234
0
33.04%
23.55%
8.39%
1.99%
0.36%
1
13.04%
9.29%
3.31%
0.79%
0.14%
2
2.57%
1.83%
0.65%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.34%
0.24%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Vasco da Gama
1-013.04%
2-02.57%
2-11.83%
3-00.34%
3-10.24%
Draw
0-033.04%
1-19.29%
2-20.65%
Bahia
0-123.55%
0-28.39%
1-23.31%
0-31.99%
1-30.79%
2-30.16%
0-40.36%
1-40.14%