Bahia at Fortaleza

Updated

Bahia

24.4%26.6%49.0%
Bahia WinDrawFortaleza Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.45
1Final Score 4

Fortaleza

Last 5 Games

Bahia
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Atletico Mineiro
L 1-2 at Bragantino
T 0-0 vs Botafogo RJ
W 2-0 at Gremio
W 0-2 vs Vitoria
Fortaleza
Money Line
T 1-1 at Athletico Paranaense
L 1-2 at Internacional
L 0-2 at Botafogo RJ
W 0-1 vs Corinthians
W 2-1 at Bragantino

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bahia+215-+175+180+179+180+180+194.1
Fortaleza+120-+165+164+162+164+165+177.3
Draw+255-+225+218+220+218+225+234.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bahia-----+194.1
Fortaleza-----+177.3
Draw-----+234.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bahia: 0.0%
Fortaleza: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bahia: 0.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Bahia ML
No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115-o2¼-102o2¼-102o2¼-105o2¼-102o2¼-102o2¼+107
Underu2¼-105-u2¼-118u2¼-118u2¼-115u2¼-118u2¼-115u2¼-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+107
Under-----u2¼-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.6%
 
No53.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.16%
Exactly 226.17%
Exactly 412.46%
Exactly 62.37%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.90%
Exactly 320.85%
Exactly 55.96%
Exactly 70.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 039.12%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.23%
Exactly 35.39%
Exactly 41.26%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 023.42%
Exactly 134.00%
Exactly 224.67%
Exactly 311.94%
Exactly 44.33%
Exactly 51.26%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.07%
Exactly 220.25%
Exactly 42.07%
 
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 37.47%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 064.76%
Exactly 128.14%
Exactly 26.11%
Exactly 30.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 051.06%
Exactly 134.32%
Exactly 211.53%
Exactly 32.58%
Exactly 40.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals8.39%
Wins by 3+ goals2.18%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%
Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals24.28%
Wins by 3+ goals9.43%
Wins by 4+ goals2.93%
Wins by 5+ goals0.72%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Bahia
Fortaleza
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal15.95%
Wins by 2 goals6.21%
Wins by 3 goals1.75%
Wins by 4 goals0.38%
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal24.67%
Wins by 2 goals14.85%
Wins by 3 goals6.49%
Wins by 4 goals2.21%
Wins by 5 goals0.60%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.84%9.16%
1.568.94%31.06%
2.542.77%57.23%
3.521.92%78.08%
4.59.46%90.54%
5.53.51%96.49%
6.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.88%39.12%
1.524.16%75.84%
2.56.93%93.07%
3.51.54%98.46%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.58%23.42%
1.542.59%57.41%
2.517.91%82.09%
3.55.97%94.03%
4.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.93%33.07%
1.530.34%69.66%
2.510.09%89.91%
3.52.62%97.38%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bahia
Fortaleza
Score012345
0
9.16%
13.30%
9.65%
4.67%
1.70%
0.49%
1
8.60%
12.48%
9.06%
4.38%
1.59%
0.46%
2
4.03%
5.86%
4.25%
2.06%
0.75%
0.22%
3
1.26%
1.83%
1.33%
0.64%
0.23%
0.07%
4
0.30%
0.43%
0.31%
0.15%
0.05%
0.02%
Bahia
1-08.60%
2-04.03%
2-15.86%
3-01.26%
3-11.83%
3-21.33%
4-00.30%
4-10.43%
4-20.31%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-09.16%
1-112.48%
2-24.25%
3-30.64%
Fortaleza
0-113.30%
0-29.65%
1-29.06%
0-34.67%
1-34.38%
2-32.06%
0-41.70%
1-41.59%
2-40.75%
3-40.23%
0-50.49%
1-50.46%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Bahia
Fortaleza
Score01234
0
33.07%
22.22%
7.47%
1.67%
0.28%
1
14.37%
9.66%
3.25%
0.73%
0.12%
2
3.12%
2.10%
0.71%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.45%
0.30%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Bahia
1-014.37%
2-03.12%
2-12.10%
3-00.45%
3-10.30%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-033.07%
1-19.66%
2-20.71%
Fortaleza
0-122.22%
0-27.47%
1-23.25%
0-31.67%
1-30.73%
2-30.16%
0-40.28%
1-40.12%