Ceara at America (MG)

Updated

Ceara

24.6%29.0%46.4%
Ceara WinDrawAmerica (MG) Win
0.83Projected Goals 1.27
2Final Score 0

America (MG)

Last 5 Games

Ceara
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Coritiba
W 1-0 at Fortaleza
T 2-2 at Sao Paulo
T 0-0 at Santos
T 2-2 vs Flamengo
America (MG)
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Cuiaba
T 1-1 at Corinthians
T 1-1 vs Botafogo RJ
L 0-1 at Coritiba
W 2-1 at Atletico Mineiro

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ceara+340+265+230-+254+230+265+280.8
America (MG)-105+125+124-+118+124+125+136.4
Draw+205+190+198-+212+198+212+218.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ceara-----+280.8
America (MG)-----+136.4
Draw-----+218.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ceara: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
America (MG): 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ceara: 0.0%
America (MG): 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ceara: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ceara: 0.0%
America (MG): 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ceara ML
No Steam Moves On America (MG) ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-118o2-105o2+100--o2+100o2+100o2+104
Underu2-102u2-115u2-120--u2-120u2-115u2-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+104
Under-----u2-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.7%
 
No59.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.21%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 49.95%
Exactly 61.47%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.68%
Exactly 318.93%
Exactly 54.18%
Exactly 70.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Ceara
Exactly 043.28%
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 215.18%
Exactly 34.24%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - America (MG)
Exactly 028.21%
Exactly 135.70%
Exactly 222.59%
Exactly 39.53%
Exactly 43.01%
Exactly 50.76%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.77%
Exactly 217.90%
Exactly 41.41%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 35.81%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ceara
Exactly 067.86%
Exactly 126.31%
Exactly 25.10%
Exactly 30.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - America (MG)
Exactly 055.66%
Exactly 132.61%
Exactly 29.55%
Exactly 31.87%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ceara
Wins by 2+ goals7.90%
Wins by 3+ goals1.89%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
America (MG)
Wins by 2+ goals21.12%
Wins by 3+ goals7.40%
Wins by 4+ goals2.06%
Wins by 5+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Ceara
America (MG)
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Ceara
Wins by 1 goal16.69%
Wins by 2 goals6.01%
Wins by 3 goals1.55%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%
America (MG)
Wins by 1 goal25.22%
Wins by 2 goals13.72%
Wins by 3 goals5.34%
Wins by 4 goals1.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.79%12.21%
1.562.11%37.89%
2.535.12%64.88%
3.516.19%83.81%
4.56.24%93.76%
5.52.06%97.94%

Total Goals Ceara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.72%43.28%
1.520.47%79.53%
2.55.30%94.70%
3.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals America (MG) Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.79%28.21%
1.536.09%63.91%
2.513.50%86.50%
3.53.97%96.03%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.23%37.77%
1.525.46%74.54%
2.57.55%92.45%
3.51.74%98.26%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ceara
America (MG)
Score012345
0
12.21%
15.45%
9.78%
4.12%
1.30%
0.33%
1
10.23%
12.94%
8.19%
3.45%
1.09%
0.28%
2
4.28%
5.42%
3.43%
1.45%
0.46%
0.12%
3
1.20%
1.51%
0.96%
0.40%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.25%
0.32%
0.20%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Ceara
1-010.23%
2-04.28%
2-15.42%
3-01.20%
3-11.51%
3-20.96%
4-00.25%
4-10.32%
4-20.20%
Draw
0-012.21%
1-112.94%
2-23.43%
3-30.40%
America (MG)
0-115.45%
0-29.78%
1-28.19%
0-34.12%
1-33.45%
2-31.45%
0-41.30%
1-41.09%
2-40.46%
3-40.13%
0-50.33%
1-50.28%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Ceara
America (MG)
Score01234
0
37.77%
22.13%
6.48%
1.27%
0.19%
1
14.65%
8.58%
2.51%
0.49%
0.07%
2
2.84%
1.66%
0.49%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.37%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Ceara
1-014.65%
2-02.84%
2-11.66%
3-00.37%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-037.77%
1-18.58%
2-20.49%
America (MG)
0-122.13%
0-26.48%
1-22.51%
0-31.27%
1-30.49%
0-40.19%
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