Ceara at America (MG)

Updated

Ceara

24.6%29.0%46.4%
Ceara WinDrawAmerica (MG) Win
0.83Projected Goals 1.27
2Final Score 0

America (MG)

Last 5 Games

Ceara
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Coritiba
W 1-0 at Fortaleza
T 2-2 at Sao Paulo
T 0-0 at Santos
T 2-2 vs Flamengo
America (MG)
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Cuiaba
T 1-1 at Corinthians
T 1-1 vs Botafogo RJ
L 0-1 at Coritiba
W 2-1 at Atletico Mineiro

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ceara+340+265+230-+254+230+265+280.8
America (MG)-105+125+124-+118+124+125+136.4
Draw+205+190+198-+212+198+212+218.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ceara-----+280.8
America (MG)-----+136.4
Draw-----+218.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ceara: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
America (MG): 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ceara: 0.0%
America (MG): 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ceara: 0.0%
America (MG): 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ceara ML
No Steam Moves On America (MG) ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-118o2-105o2+100--o2+100o2+100o2+104
Underu2-102u2-115u2-120--u2-120u2-115u2-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+104
Under-----u2-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.7%
 
No59.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.21%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 49.95%
Exactly 61.47%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.68%
Exactly 318.93%
Exactly 54.18%
Exactly 70.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Ceara
Exactly 043.28%
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 215.18%
Exactly 34.24%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - America (MG)
Exactly 028.21%
Exactly 135.70%
Exactly 222.59%
Exactly 39.53%
Exactly 43.01%
Exactly 50.76%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.77%
Exactly 217.90%
Exactly 41.41%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 35.81%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ceara
Exactly 067.86%
Exactly 126.31%
Exactly 25.10%
Exactly 30.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - America (MG)
Exactly 055.66%
Exactly 132.61%
Exactly 29.55%
Exactly 31.87%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ceara
Wins by 2+ goals7.90%
Wins by 3+ goals1.89%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
America (MG)
Wins by 2+ goals21.12%
Wins by 3+ goals7.40%
Wins by 4+ goals2.06%
Wins by 5+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Ceara
America (MG)
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Ceara
Wins by 1 goal16.69%
Wins by 2 goals6.01%
Wins by 3 goals1.55%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%
America (MG)
Wins by 1 goal25.22%
Wins by 2 goals13.72%
Wins by 3 goals5.34%
Wins by 4 goals1.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.79%12.21%
1.562.11%37.89%
2.535.12%64.88%
3.516.19%83.81%
4.56.24%93.76%
5.52.06%97.94%

Total Goals Ceara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.72%43.28%
1.520.47%79.53%
2.55.30%94.70%
3.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals America (MG) Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.79%28.21%
1.536.09%63.91%
2.513.50%86.50%
3.53.97%96.03%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.23%37.77%
1.525.46%74.54%
2.57.55%92.45%
3.51.74%98.26%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ceara
America (MG)
Score012345
0
12.21%
15.45%
9.78%
4.12%
1.30%
0.33%
1
10.23%
12.94%
8.19%
3.45%
1.09%
0.28%
2
4.28%
5.42%
3.43%
1.45%
0.46%
0.12%
3
1.20%
1.51%
0.96%
0.40%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.25%
0.32%
0.20%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Ceara
1-010.23%
2-04.28%
2-15.42%
3-01.20%
3-11.51%
3-20.96%
4-00.25%
4-10.32%
4-20.20%
Draw
0-012.21%
1-112.94%
2-23.43%
3-30.40%
America (MG)
0-115.45%
0-29.78%
1-28.19%
0-34.12%
1-33.45%
2-31.45%
0-41.30%
1-41.09%
2-40.46%
3-40.13%
0-50.33%
1-50.28%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Ceara
America (MG)
Score01234
0
37.77%
22.13%
6.48%
1.27%
0.19%
1
14.65%
8.58%
2.51%
0.49%
0.07%
2
2.84%
1.66%
0.49%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.37%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Ceara
1-014.65%
2-02.84%
2-11.66%
3-00.37%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-037.77%
1-18.58%
2-20.49%
America (MG)
0-122.13%
0-26.48%
1-22.51%
0-31.27%
1-30.49%
0-40.19%