Athletico Paranaense at Flamengo

Updated 52 days ago

11:00 PM • Sep 29, 2024

Athletico Paranaense

12.0%19.0%69.0%

WinDrawFlamengo Win

0.75Projected Goals 2.11

0Final Score 1

Flamengo

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
T 0-0	9/22 at Criciuma
T 1-1	9/14 vs Fortaleza
L 2-0	9/01 vs Palmeiras
L 1-2	8/27 at Vasco da Gama
L 2-1	8/18 vs Juventude

Flamengo		Money Line
L 2-3	9/22 at Gremio
T 1-1	9/15 vs Vasco da Gama
L 1-2	9/01 at Corinthians
W 1-2	8/25 vs Bragantino
L 1-4	8/18 at Botafogo RJ

Money Line Analysis

:3.3%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+400	-	+420	+417	+409	+417	+420	+442.9
Flamengo	-155	-	-155	-146	-145	-146	-145	-130.0
Draw	+300	-	+300	+280	+279	+280	+300	+299.0

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+442.9
Flamengo	-	-	-	-	-	-130.0
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+299.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Flamengo: 30.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Flamengo: 40.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Flamengo: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Flamengo: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML

Over/Under Analysis

:-0.4%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½+102	-	o2½+102	o2¼-123	o2¼-121	o2¼-123	o2¼-121	o2¼-112
Under	u2½-122	-	u2½-122	u2¼+103	u2¼-101	u2¼+103	u2½-122	u2¼+112

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2¼-112
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2¼+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	46.2%


No	53.8%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	5.75%
Exactly 2	23.45%
Exactly 4	15.94%
Exactly 6	4.33%
Exactly 8	0.63%


Exactly 1	16.42%
Exactly 3	22.32%
Exactly 5	9.11%
Exactly 7	1.77%
Exactly 9	0.20%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	47.46%
Exactly 1	35.37%
Exactly 2	13.18%
Exactly 3	3.27%
Exactly 4	0.61%

Exact Goals Scored - Flamengo
Exactly 0	12.11%
Exactly 1	25.57%
Exactly 2	26.99%
Exactly 3	18.99%
Exactly 4	10.02%
Exactly 5	4.23%
Exactly 6	1.49%
Exactly 7	0.45%
Exactly 8	0.12%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	26.65%
Exactly 2	23.30%
Exactly 4	3.40%
Exactly 6	0.20%


Exactly 1	35.24%
Exactly 3	10.27%
Exactly 5	0.90%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	70.82%
Exactly 1	24.43%
Exactly 2	4.22%
Exactly 3	0.48%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Flamengo
Exactly 0	37.63%
Exactly 1	36.78%
Exactly 2	17.97%
Exactly 3	5.86%
Exactly 4	1.43%
Exactly 5	0.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	3.22%
Wins by 3+ goals	0.63%

Flamengo
Wins by 2+ goals	44.42%
Wins by 3+ goals	23.42%
Wins by 4+ goals	10.26%
Wins by 5+ goals	3.79%
Wins by 6+ goals	1.19%
Wins by 7+ goals	0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Flamengo

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	8.65%
Wins by 2 goals	2.60%
Wins by 3 goals	0.55%

Flamengo
Wins by 1 goal	24.54%
Wins by 2 goals	20.99%
Wins by 3 goals	13.17%
Wins by 4 goals	6.47%
Wins by 5 goals	2.60%
Wins by 6 goals	0.88%
Wins by 7 goals	0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	94.25%	5.75%
1.5	77.83%	22.17%
2.5	54.38%	45.62%
3.5	32.06%	67.94%
4.5	16.12%	83.88%
5.5	7.01%	92.99%
6.5	2.68%	97.32%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	52.54%	47.46%
1.5	17.17%	82.83%
2.5	3.99%	96.01%

Total Goals Flamengo Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	87.89%	12.11%
1.5	62.32%	37.68%
2.5	35.34%	64.66%
3.5	16.35%	83.65%
4.5	6.32%	93.68%
5.5	2.09%	97.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	73.35%	26.65%
1.5	38.11%	61.89%
2.5	14.81%	85.19%
3.5	4.54%	95.46%
4.5	1.14%	98.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Flamengo

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5.75%	12.14%	12.81%	9.01%	4.76%	2.01%
1	4.28%	9.04%	9.55%	6.72%	3.54%	1.50%
2	1.60%	3.37%	3.56%	2.50%	1.32%	0.56%
3	0.40%	0.84%	0.88%	0.62%	0.33%	0.14%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	4.28%
2-0	1.60%
2-1	3.37%
3-0	0.40%
3-1	0.84%
3-2	0.88%

Draw
0-0	5.75%
1-1	9.04%
2-2	3.56%
3-3	0.62%

Flamengo
0-1	12.14%
0-2	12.81%
1-2	9.55%
0-3	9.01%
1-3	6.72%
2-3	2.50%
0-4	4.76%
1-4	3.54%
2-4	1.32%
3-4	0.33%
0-5	2.01%
1-5	1.50%
2-5	0.56%
3-5	0.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Flamengo

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	26.65%	26.05%	12.73%	4.15%	1.01%	0.20%
1	9.19%	8.99%	4.39%	1.43%	0.35%	0.07%
2	1.59%	1.55%	0.76%	0.25%	0.06%	0.01%
3	0.18%	0.18%	0.09%	0.03%	0.01%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	9.19%
2-0	1.59%
2-1	1.55%
3-0	0.18%
3-1	0.18%

Draw
0-0	26.65%
1-1	8.99%
2-2	0.76%

Flamengo
0-1	26.05%
0-2	12.73%
1-2	4.39%
0-3	4.15%
1-3	1.43%
2-3	0.25%
0-4	1.01%
1-4	0.35%
0-5	0.20%

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