Goias at Ceara

Updated

Goias

21.1%25.0%53.9%
Goias WinDrawCeara Win
0.90Projected Goals 1.61
1Final Score 1

Ceara

Last 5 Games

Goias
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Fortaleza
L 1-0 vs Botafogo RJ
T 1-1 at Bragantino
T 1-1 vs Flamengo
W 2-1 at Santos
Ceara
Money Line
L 2-1 vs America (MG)
L 0-1 at Coritiba
L 2-0 vs Sao Paulo
W 1-2 vs Santos
T 1-1 at Flamengo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Goias+440+445+440+470+420+470+470+488.7
Ceara-155-141-145-150-145-150-141-130.8
Draw+270+267+255+265+262+265+267+279.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Goias-----+488.7
Ceara------130.8
Draw-----+279.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Goias: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ceara: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Goias: 20.0%
Ceara: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Goias: 10.0%
Ceara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Goias ML
No Steam Moves On Ceara ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2½+124o2¼-105o2¼-105-o2¼-105o2¼-105o2-130
Underu2¼-102u2½-146u2¼-115u2¼-115-u2¼-115u2½-146u2+130
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-130
Under-----u2+130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.6%
 
No52.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.12%
Exactly 225.60%
Exactly 413.44%
Exactly 62.82%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.39%
Exactly 321.42%
Exactly 56.75%
Exactly 71.01%
Exact Goals Scored - Goias
Exactly 040.53%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 216.53%
Exactly 34.98%
Exactly 41.12%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Ceara
Exactly 020.04%
Exactly 132.21%
Exactly 225.89%
Exactly 313.87%
Exactly 45.57%
Exactly 51.79%
Exactly 60.48%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.27%
Exactly 221.13%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 38.19%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Goias
Exactly 065.82%
Exactly 127.53%
Exactly 25.76%
Exactly 30.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ceara
Exactly 047.51%
Exactly 135.36%
Exactly 213.16%
Exactly 33.26%
Exactly 40.61%

Alternate Props

Spread

Goias
Wins by 2+ goals6.98%
Wins by 3+ goals1.74%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%
Ceara
Wins by 2+ goals28.77%
Wins by 3+ goals12.18%
Wins by 4+ goals4.20%
Wins by 5+ goals1.20%
Wins by 6+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Goias
Ceara
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Goias
Wins by 1 goal14.12%
Wins by 2 goals5.24%
Wins by 3 goals1.41%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Ceara
Wins by 1 goal25.12%
Wins by 2 goals16.59%
Wins by 3 goals7.98%
Wins by 4 goals3.00%
Wins by 5 goals0.92%
Wins by 6 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.88%8.12%
1.571.49%28.51%
2.545.89%54.11%
3.524.47%75.53%
4.511.02%88.98%
5.54.27%95.73%
6.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals Goias Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.47%40.53%
1.522.87%77.13%
2.56.34%93.66%
3.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals Ceara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.96%20.04%
1.547.74%52.26%
2.521.85%78.15%
3.57.98%92.02%
4.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.73%31.27%
1.532.37%67.63%
2.511.25%88.75%
3.53.06%96.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Goias
Ceara
Score012345
0
8.12%
13.06%
10.49%
5.62%
2.26%
0.73%
1
7.34%
11.79%
9.48%
5.08%
2.04%
0.66%
2
3.31%
5.33%
4.28%
2.29%
0.92%
0.30%
3
1.00%
1.60%
1.29%
0.69%
0.28%
0.09%
4
0.23%
0.36%
0.29%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
Goias
1-07.34%
2-03.31%
2-15.33%
3-01.00%
3-11.60%
3-21.29%
4-00.23%
4-10.36%
4-20.29%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-08.12%
1-111.79%
2-24.28%
3-30.69%
Ceara
0-113.06%
0-210.49%
1-29.48%
0-35.62%
1-35.08%
2-32.29%
0-42.26%
1-42.04%
2-40.92%
3-40.28%
0-50.73%
1-50.66%
2-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Goias
Ceara
Score01234
0
31.27%
23.27%
8.66%
2.15%
0.40%
1
13.08%
9.73%
3.62%
0.90%
0.17%
2
2.73%
2.04%
0.76%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.38%
0.28%
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
Goias
1-013.08%
2-02.73%
2-12.04%
3-00.38%
3-10.28%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-031.27%
1-19.73%
2-20.76%
Ceara
0-123.27%
0-28.66%
1-23.62%
0-32.15%
1-30.90%
2-30.19%
0-40.40%
1-40.17%