Atletico Mineiro at Palmeiras

Updated 53 days ago

09:30 PM • Sep 28, 2024

Atletico Mineiro

16.1%22.0%62.0%

WinDrawPalmeiras Win

0.83Projected Goals 1.87

1Final Score 2

Palmeiras

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
W 0-3	9/22 vs Bragantino
L 0-3	9/15 at Bahia
W 3-2	9/01 at Gremio
L 2-0	8/25 vs Fluminense
T 1-1	8/17 vs Cuiaba

Palmeiras		Money Line
W 1-0	9/22 at Vasco da Gama
W 0-5	9/15 vs Criciuma
W 2-0	9/01 at Athletico Paranaense
W 0-5	8/24 vs Cuiaba
W 1-2	8/18 vs Sao Paulo

Money Line Analysis

:-4.1%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+455	+410	+550	+420	+404	+420	+550	+445.7
Palmeiras	-151	-135	-205	-142	-140	-142	-135	-126.8
Draw	+286	+271	+330	+270	+269	+270	+330	+288.3

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	-	-	-	-	-	+445.7
Palmeiras	-	-	-	-	-	-126.8
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+288.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 70.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Palmeiras: 20.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 10.0%

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 80.0%

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Over/Under Analysis

:-3.9%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½+103	o2½+114	o2½-105	o2¼-115	o2¼-111	o2¼-115	o2¼-111	o2¼-104
Under	u2½-121	u2½-134	u2½-115	u2¼-105	u2¼-109	u2¼-105	u2½-115	u2¼+104

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2¼-104
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	47.7%


No	52.3%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	6.72%
Exactly 2	24.49%
Exactly 4	14.88%
Exactly 6	3.62%
Exactly 8	0.47%


Exactly 1	18.14%
Exactly 3	22.05%
Exactly 5	8.04%
Exactly 7	1.40%
Exactly 9	0.14%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	43.64%
Exactly 1	36.19%
Exactly 2	15.00%
Exactly 3	4.15%
Exactly 4	0.86%
Exactly 5	0.14%

Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 0	15.40%
Exactly 1	28.81%
Exactly 2	26.95%
Exactly 3	16.81%
Exactly 4	7.86%
Exactly 5	2.94%
Exactly 6	0.92%
Exactly 7	0.25%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	28.64%
Exactly 2	22.39%
Exactly 4	2.92%
Exactly 6	0.15%


Exactly 1	35.81%
Exactly 3	9.33%
Exactly 5	0.73%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	68.12%
Exactly 1	26.15%
Exactly 2	5.02%
Exactly 3	0.64%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 0	42.05%
Exactly 1	36.43%
Exactly 2	15.78%
Exactly 3	4.56%
Exactly 4	0.99%
Exactly 5	0.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	4.88%
Wins by 3+ goals	1.12%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.20%

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals	36.71%
Wins by 3+ goals	17.55%
Wins by 4+ goals	6.89%
Wins by 5+ goals	2.25%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.60%
Wins by 7+ goals	0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

Palmeiras

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	11.17%
Wins by 2 goals	3.76%
Wins by 3 goals	0.92%
Wins by 4 goals	0.17%

Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal	25.20%
Wins by 2 goals	19.15%
Wins by 3 goals	10.66%
Wins by 4 goals	4.64%
Wins by 5 goals	1.65%
Wins by 6 goals	0.49%
Wins by 7 goals	0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	93.28%	6.72%
1.5	75.14%	24.86%
2.5	50.65%	49.35%
3.5	28.60%	71.40%
4.5	13.71%	86.29%
5.5	5.68%	94.32%
6.5	2.06%	97.94%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	56.36%	43.64%
1.5	20.18%	79.82%
2.5	5.17%	94.83%
3.5	1.02%	98.98%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	84.60%	15.40%
1.5	55.80%	44.20%
2.5	28.85%	71.15%
3.5	12.04%	87.96%
4.5	4.18%	95.82%
5.5	1.23%	98.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	71.36%	28.64%
1.5	35.55%	64.45%
2.5	13.16%	86.84%
3.5	3.83%	96.17%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

Palmeiras

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6.72%	12.57%	11.76%	7.33%	3.43%	1.28%
1	5.57%	10.42%	9.75%	6.08%	2.85%	1.06%
2	2.31%	4.32%	4.04%	2.52%	1.18%	0.44%
3	0.64%	1.19%	1.12%	0.70%	0.33%	0.12%
4	0.13%	0.25%	0.23%	0.14%	0.07%	0.03%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	5.57%
2-0	2.31%
2-1	4.32%
3-0	0.64%
3-1	1.19%
3-2	1.12%
4-0	0.13%
4-1	0.25%
4-2	0.23%
4-3	0.14%

Draw
0-0	6.72%
1-1	10.42%
2-2	4.04%
3-3	0.70%

Palmeiras
0-1	12.57%
0-2	11.76%
1-2	9.75%
0-3	7.33%
1-3	6.08%
2-3	2.52%
0-4	3.43%
1-4	2.85%
2-4	1.18%
3-4	0.33%
0-5	1.28%
1-5	1.06%
2-5	0.44%
3-5	0.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

Palmeiras

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	28.64%	24.81%	10.75%	3.10%	0.67%	0.12%
1	11.00%	9.53%	4.13%	1.19%	0.26%	0.04%
2	2.11%	1.83%	0.79%	0.23%	0.05%	0.01%
3	0.27%	0.23%	0.10%	0.03%	0.01%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	11.00%
2-0	2.11%
2-1	1.83%
3-0	0.27%
3-1	0.23%
3-2	0.10%

Draw
0-0	28.64%
1-1	9.53%
2-2	0.79%

Palmeiras
0-1	24.81%
0-2	10.75%
1-2	4.13%
0-3	3.10%
1-3	1.19%
2-3	0.23%
0-4	0.67%
1-4	0.26%
0-5	0.12%

Criciuma at Gremio

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Atletico Mineiro at Palmeiras