Santos at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Santos

26.1%26.8%47.1%
Santos WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.80Projected Goals 1.45
1Final Score 0

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Santos
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Fluminense+160
L 2-0 vs America (MG)+145
T 0-0 at Sport Recife+195
L 1-3 at Atletico Mineiro+700
W 0-1 vs Gremio+170
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
L 0-3 at Fortaleza+600
L 1-0 vs Fluminense+150
T 1-1 at Chapecoense+100
L 2-0 vs Bahia-155
W 2-0 at Atletico Goianiense+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Santos+256+390+320+394+370+320+400+411.6
Athletico Paranaense+110-130-125-121-126-125-121-112.2
Draw+230+250+245+250+246+245+250+262.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Santos+250----+370+370+411.6
Athletico Paranaense+115-----120-120-112.2
Draw+230----+240+240+262.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Santos: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Santos: 30.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Santos: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Santos ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Santos: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Santos: 20.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Santos: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Santos ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-125o2-125o2¼+108o2¼+109-o2¼+108o2-125o2¼+116
Underu2+105u2+105u2¼-128u2¼-125-u2¼-128u2¼-125u2¼-116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+116
Under-----u2¼-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.3%
 
No57.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.49%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 411.30%
Exactly 61.91%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.65%
Exactly 320.04%
Exactly 55.09%
Exactly 70.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Santos
Exactly 044.75%
Exactly 135.98%
Exactly 214.47%
Exactly 33.88%
Exactly 40.78%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 023.44%
Exactly 134.01%
Exactly 224.66%
Exactly 311.93%
Exactly 44.32%
Exactly 51.25%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.21%
Exactly 219.18%
Exactly 41.74%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.68%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santos
Exactly 068.92%
Exactly 125.66%
Exactly 24.78%
Exactly 30.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 051.09%
Exactly 134.31%
Exactly 211.52%
Exactly 32.58%
Exactly 40.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Santos
Wins by 2+ goals6.38%
Wins by 3+ goals1.46%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals26.33%
Wins by 3+ goals10.32%
Wins by 4+ goals3.24%
Wins by 5+ goals0.81%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Santos
Athletico Paranaense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Santos
Wins by 1 goal14.41%
Wins by 2 goals4.92%
Wins by 3 goals1.20%
Wins by 4 goals0.23%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal26.00%
Wins by 2 goals16.01%
Wins by 3 goals7.09%
Wins by 4 goals2.43%
Wins by 5 goals0.67%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.51%10.49%
1.565.86%34.14%
2.539.19%60.81%
3.519.15%80.85%
4.57.85%92.15%
5.52.76%97.24%

Total Goals Santos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.25%44.75%
1.519.27%80.73%
2.54.80%95.20%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.56%23.44%
1.542.55%57.45%
2.517.88%82.12%
3.55.96%94.04%
4.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.79%35.21%
1.528.04%71.96%
2.58.86%91.14%
3.52.18%97.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Santos
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
10.49%
15.22%
11.04%
5.34%
1.94%
0.56%
1
8.44%
12.24%
8.87%
4.29%
1.56%
0.45%
2
3.39%
4.92%
3.57%
1.73%
0.63%
0.18%
3
0.91%
1.32%
0.96%
0.46%
0.17%
0.05%
4
0.18%
0.27%
0.19%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Santos
1-08.44%
2-03.39%
2-14.92%
3-00.91%
3-11.32%
3-20.96%
4-00.18%
4-10.27%
4-20.19%
Draw
0-010.49%
1-112.24%
2-23.57%
3-30.46%
Athletico Paranaense
0-115.22%
0-211.04%
1-28.87%
0-35.34%
1-34.29%
2-31.73%
0-41.94%
1-41.56%
2-40.63%
3-40.17%
0-50.56%
1-50.45%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Santos
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
35.21%
23.65%
7.94%
1.78%
0.30%
1
13.11%
8.80%
2.96%
0.66%
0.11%
2
2.44%
1.64%
0.55%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.30%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Santos
1-013.11%
2-02.44%
2-11.64%
3-00.30%
3-10.20%
Draw
0-035.21%
1-18.80%
2-20.55%
Athletico Paranaense
0-123.65%
0-27.94%
1-22.96%
0-31.78%
1-30.66%
2-30.12%
0-40.30%
1-40.11%