Atletico Mineiro at Vasco da Gama

Updated 37 days ago

10:00 PM • Dec 4, 2024

Atletico Mineiro

29.9%29.3%40.9%

Atletico Mineiro WinDrawVasco da Gama Win

0.97Projected Goals 1.19

0Final Score 2

Vasco da Gama

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
L 3-2	11/27 vs Juventude
T 2-2	11/24 at Sao Paulo
T 0-0	11/21 vs Botafogo RJ
L 0-1	11/16 at Athletico Paranaense
T 0-0	11/13 at Flamengo

Vasco da Gama		Money Line
T 2-2	12/01 vs Atletico Goianiense
L 1-3	11/24 at Corinthians
L 1-0	11/21 vs Internacional
L 0-3	11/09 at Fortaleza
L 0-3	11/06 at Botafogo RJ

Money Line Analysis

:3.5%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+205	+171	+165	+168	+165	+168	+171	+181.4
Vasco da Gama	+135	+197	+195	+198	+200	+198	+200	+212.9
Draw	+235	+199	+195	+193	+194	+193	+199	+207.7

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	-	-	-	-	-	+181.4
Vasco da Gama	-	-	-	-	-	+212.9
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+207.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Vasco da Gama: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Vasco da Gama: 30.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 20.0%

Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Vasco da Gama ML

Over/Under Analysis

:2.1%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-115	o2-107	o2+100	o2-104	o2+101	o2-104	o2+101	o2+105
Under	u2¼-105	u2-110	u2-120	u2-116	u2-123	u2-116	u2-110	u2-105

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2+105
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	43.1%


No	56.9%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	11.58%
Exactly 2	26.91%
Exactly 4	10.42%
Exactly 6	1.61%
Exactly 8	0.13%


Exactly 1	24.97%
Exactly 3	19.34%
Exactly 5	4.49%
Exactly 7	0.50%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	37.93%
Exactly 1	36.77%
Exactly 2	17.82%
Exactly 3	5.76%
Exactly 4	1.40%
Exactly 5	0.27%

Exact Goals Scored - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 0	30.54%
Exactly 1	36.22%
Exactly 2	21.49%
Exactly 3	8.50%
Exactly 4	2.52%
Exactly 5	0.60%
Exactly 6	0.12%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	36.86%
Exactly 2	18.36%
Exactly 4	1.52%


Exactly 1	36.79%
Exactly 3	6.11%
Exactly 5	0.30%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	63.84%
Exactly 1	28.65%
Exactly 2	6.43%
Exactly 3	0.96%
Exactly 4	0.11%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 0	57.74%
Exactly 1	31.71%
Exactly 2	8.71%
Exactly 3	1.59%
Exactly 4	0.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	10.78%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.93%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.61%

Vasco da Gama
Wins by 2+ goals	17.53%
Wins by 3+ goals	5.77%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.51%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

Vasco da Gama

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	19.05%
Wins by 2 goals	7.85%
Wins by 3 goals	2.32%
Wins by 4 goals	0.52%

Vasco da Gama
Wins by 1 goal	23.31%
Wins by 2 goals	11.76%
Wins by 3 goals	4.26%
Wins by 4 goals	1.20%
Wins by 5 goals	0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	88.42%	11.58%
1.5	63.45%	36.55%
2.5	36.54%	63.46%
3.5	17.20%	82.80%
4.5	6.78%	93.22%
5.5	2.29%	97.71%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	62.07%	37.93%
1.5	25.30%	74.70%
2.5	7.48%	92.52%
3.5	1.72%	98.28%

Total Goals Vasco da Gama Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	69.46%	30.54%
1.5	33.24%	66.76%
2.5	11.75%	88.25%
3.5	3.26%	96.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	63.14%	36.86%
1.5	26.35%	73.65%
2.5	8.00%	92.00%
3.5	1.89%	98.11%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

Vasco da Gama

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11.58%	13.74%	8.15%	3.22%	0.96%	0.23%
1	11.23%	13.32%	7.90%	3.12%	0.93%	0.22%
2	5.44%	6.46%	3.83%	1.51%	0.45%	0.11%
3	1.76%	2.09%	1.24%	0.49%	0.15%	0.03%
4	0.43%	0.51%	0.30%	0.12%	0.04%	0.01%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	11.23%
2-0	5.44%
2-1	6.46%
3-0	1.76%
3-1	2.09%
3-2	1.24%
4-0	0.43%
4-1	0.51%
4-2	0.30%
4-3	0.12%

Draw
0-0	11.58%
1-1	13.32%
2-2	3.83%
3-3	0.49%

Vasco da Gama
0-1	13.74%
0-2	8.15%
1-2	7.90%
0-3	3.22%
1-3	3.12%
2-3	1.51%
0-4	0.96%
1-4	0.93%
2-4	0.45%
3-4	0.15%
0-5	0.23%
1-5	0.22%
2-5	0.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

Vasco da Gama

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	36.86%	20.24%	5.56%	1.02%	0.14%
1	16.54%	9.09%	2.50%	0.46%	0.06%
2	3.71%	2.04%	0.56%	0.10%	0.01%
3	0.56%	0.31%	0.08%	0.02%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	16.54%
2-0	3.71%
2-1	2.04%
3-0	0.56%
3-1	0.31%

Draw
0-0	36.86%
1-1	9.09%
2-2	0.56%

Vasco da Gama
0-1	20.24%
0-2	5.56%
1-2	2.50%
0-3	1.02%
1-3	0.46%
2-3	0.10%
0-4	0.14%

Bahia at Corinthians

Juventude at Sao Paulo

Atletico Mineiro at Vasco da Gama