Atletico Mineiro at Athletico Paranaense

Updated 16 days ago

09:30 PM • Nov 16, 2024

Atletico Mineiro

36.8%30.1%33.1%

Atletico Mineiro WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win

1.07Projected Goals 1.01

0Final Score 1

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
T 0-0	11/13 at Flamengo
L 0-1	11/07 at Atletico Goianiense
L 3-1	10/26 vs Internacional
T 1-1	10/17 at Fortaleza
W 1-2	10/09 vs Gremio

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
L 1-2	11/10 at Sao Paulo
L 2-1	11/02 vs Vitoria
W 0-3	10/26 vs Cruzeiro
L 0-1	10/22 at Fluminense
L 2-5	10/17 at Corinthians

Money Line Analysis

:3.1%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+215	-	+260	+242	+230	+242	+242	+258.9
Athletico Paranaense	+130	-	+115	+125	+129	+125	+129	+136.1
Draw	+235	-	+230	+220	+219	+220	+230	+235.8

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	-	-	-	-	-	+258.9
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+136.1
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+235.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 30.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 30.0%

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

:4.2%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-118	-	o2¼-102	o2¼-102	o2¼-101	o2¼-102	o2¼-101	o2¼+107
Under	u2¼-102	-	u2¼-118	u2¼-118	u2¼-119	u2¼-118	u2¼-118	u2¼-107

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2¼+107
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2¼-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	41.8%


No	58.2%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	12.45%
Exactly 2	27.02%
Exactly 4	9.77%
Exactly 6	1.41%
Exactly 8	0.11%


Exactly 1	25.94%
Exactly 3	18.76%
Exactly 5	4.07%
Exactly 7	0.42%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	34.05%
Exactly 1	36.68%
Exactly 2	19.76%
Exactly 3	7.10%
Exactly 4	1.91%
Exactly 5	0.41%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	36.57%
Exactly 1	36.79%
Exactly 2	18.50%
Exactly 3	6.20%
Exactly 4	1.56%
Exactly 5	0.31%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	38.12%
Exactly 2	17.73%
Exactly 4	1.37%


Exactly 1	36.76%
Exactly 3	5.70%
Exactly 5	0.27%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	60.72%
Exactly 1	30.29%
Exactly 2	7.55%
Exactly 3	1.26%
Exactly 4	0.16%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	62.77%
Exactly 1	29.23%
Exactly 2	6.81%
Exactly 3	1.06%
Exactly 4	0.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	14.59%
Wins by 3+ goals	4.38%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.00%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.15%

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	12.40%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.50%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.75%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

Athletico Paranaense

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	22.12%
Wins by 2 goals	10.22%
Wins by 3 goals	3.37%
Wins by 4 goals	0.85%
Wins by 5 goals	0.15%

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	20.65%
Wins by 2 goals	8.90%
Wins by 3 goals	2.75%
Wins by 4 goals	0.65%
Wins by 5 goals	0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	87.55%	12.45%
1.5	61.60%	38.40%
2.5	34.58%	65.42%
3.5	15.82%	84.18%
4.5	6.05%	93.95%
5.5	1.98%	98.02%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	65.95%	34.05%
1.5	29.27%	70.73%
2.5	9.51%	90.49%
3.5	2.41%	97.59%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	63.43%	36.57%
1.5	26.64%	73.36%
2.5	8.14%	91.86%
3.5	1.93%	98.07%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	61.88%	38.12%
1.5	25.12%	74.88%
2.5	7.39%	92.61%
3.5	1.69%	98.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

Athletico Paranaense

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	12.45%	12.53%	6.30%	2.11%	0.53%	0.11%
1	13.42%	13.49%	6.79%	2.28%	0.57%	0.12%
2	7.23%	7.27%	3.66%	1.23%	0.31%	0.06%
3	2.60%	2.61%	1.31%	0.44%	0.11%	0.02%
4	0.70%	0.70%	0.35%	0.12%	0.03%	0.01%
5	0.15%	0.15%	0.08%	0.03%	0.01%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	13.42%
2-0	7.23%
2-1	7.27%
3-0	2.60%
3-1	2.61%
3-2	1.31%
4-0	0.70%
4-1	0.70%
4-2	0.35%
4-3	0.12%
5-0	0.15%
5-1	0.15%

Draw
0-0	12.45%
1-1	13.49%
2-2	3.66%
3-3	0.44%

Athletico Paranaense
0-1	12.53%
0-2	6.30%
1-2	6.79%
0-3	2.11%
1-3	2.28%
2-3	1.23%
0-4	0.53%
1-4	0.57%
2-4	0.31%
3-4	0.11%
0-5	0.11%
1-5	0.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

Athletico Paranaense

Score	0	1	2	3
0	38.12%	17.75%	4.13%	0.64%
1	19.01%	8.85%	2.06%	0.32%
2	4.74%	2.21%	0.51%	0.08%
3	0.79%	0.37%	0.09%	0.01%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	19.01%
2-0	4.74%
2-1	2.21%
3-0	0.79%
3-1	0.37%

Draw
0-0	38.12%
1-1	8.85%
2-2	0.51%

Athletico Paranaense
0-1	17.75%
0-2	4.13%
1-2	2.06%
0-3	0.64%
1-3	0.32%

Atletico Mineiro at Flamengo

Cruzeiro at Corinthians

Atletico Mineiro at Athletico Paranaense