Gremio at Atletico Mineiro

Updated

Gremio

16.5%22.2%61.3%
WinDrawAtletico Mineiro Win
0.84Projected Goals 1.86
1Final Score 2

Atletico Mineiro

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Fortaleza
T 0-0 at Botafogo RJ
L 2-1 vs Criciuma
W 2-3 vs Flamengo
T 2-2 at Bragantino
Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Vitoria
L 1-2 at Palmeiras
W 0-3 vs Bragantino
L 0-3 at Bahia
W 3-2 at Gremio

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+330+361+330+375+375+375+375+399.6
Atletico Mineiro-115-121-120-125-125-125-120-112.0
Draw+255+264+265+250+250+250+265+268.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-----+399.6
Atletico Mineiro------112.0
Draw-----+268.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Gremio: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+122o2½+101o2¼-125o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-104
Underu2½-143u2½-119u2¼+105u2¼-105u2¼-105u2¼-105u2½-119u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.0%
 
No52.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.74%
Exactly 224.51%
Exactly 414.86%
Exactly 63.60%
Exactly 80.47%
 
Exactly 118.18%
Exactly 322.04%
Exactly 58.02%
Exactly 71.39%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 043.13%
Exactly 136.27%
Exactly 215.25%
Exactly 34.28%
Exactly 40.90%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 015.63%
Exactly 129.01%
Exactly 226.92%
Exactly 316.66%
Exactly 47.73%
Exactly 52.87%
Exactly 60.89%
Exactly 70.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.68%
Exactly 222.37%
Exactly 42.91%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.82%
Exactly 39.31%
Exactly 50.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 067.75%
Exactly 126.38%
Exactly 25.14%
Exactly 30.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 042.34%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 215.64%
Exactly 34.48%
Exactly 40.96%
Exactly 50.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals5.07%
Wins by 3+ goals1.18%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals36.11%
Wins by 3+ goals17.15%
Wins by 4+ goals6.68%
Wins by 5+ goals2.17%
Wins by 6+ goals0.57%
Wins by 7+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Atletico Mineiro
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal11.40%
Wins by 2 goals3.89%
Wins by 3 goals0.97%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal25.17%
Wins by 2 goals18.96%
Wins by 3 goals10.46%
Wins by 4 goals4.52%
Wins by 5 goals1.60%
Wins by 6 goals0.47%
Wins by 7 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.26%6.74%
1.575.08%24.92%
2.550.57%49.43%
3.528.53%71.47%
4.513.67%86.33%
5.55.65%94.35%
6.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.87%43.13%
1.520.60%79.40%
2.55.35%94.65%
3.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.37%15.63%
1.555.37%44.63%
2.528.45%71.55%
3.511.79%88.21%
4.54.06%95.94%
5.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.32%28.68%
1.535.49%64.51%
2.513.13%86.87%
3.53.82%96.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
6.74%
12.51%
11.61%
7.18%
3.33%
1.24%
1
5.67%
10.52%
9.76%
6.04%
2.80%
1.04%
2
2.38%
4.42%
4.11%
2.54%
1.18%
0.44%
3
0.67%
1.24%
1.15%
0.71%
0.33%
0.12%
4
0.14%
0.26%
0.24%
0.15%
0.07%
0.03%
Gremio
1-05.67%
2-02.38%
2-14.42%
3-00.67%
3-11.24%
3-21.15%
4-00.14%
4-10.26%
4-20.24%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-06.74%
1-110.52%
2-24.11%
3-30.71%
Atletico Mineiro
0-112.51%
0-211.61%
1-29.76%
0-37.18%
1-36.04%
2-32.54%
0-43.33%
1-42.80%
2-41.18%
3-40.33%
0-51.24%
1-51.04%
2-50.44%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
28.68%
24.65%
10.59%
3.03%
0.65%
0.11%
1
11.17%
9.60%
4.12%
1.18%
0.25%
0.04%
2
2.17%
1.87%
0.80%
0.23%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.28%
0.24%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Gremio
1-011.17%
2-02.17%
2-11.87%
3-00.28%
3-10.24%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-028.68%
1-19.60%
2-20.80%
Atletico Mineiro
0-124.65%
0-210.59%
1-24.12%
0-33.03%
1-31.18%
2-30.23%
0-40.65%
1-40.25%
0-50.11%
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