Fortaleza at Gremio

Updated

Fortaleza

29.7%28.3%42.0%
Fortaleza WinDrawGremio Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.26
1Final Score 3

Gremio

Last 5 Games

Fortaleza
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Cuiaba
W 1-4 vs Bahia
T 1-1 at Athletico Paranaense
L 1-2 at Internacional
L 0-2 at Botafogo RJ
Gremio
Money Line
T 0-0 at Botafogo RJ
L 2-1 vs Criciuma
W 2-3 vs Flamengo
T 2-2 at Bragantino
L 3-2 vs Atletico Mineiro

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza+247+248+250+272+253+272+272+290.3
Gremio+118+119+110+112+112+112+119+122.4
Draw+240+238+250+224+232+224+250+239.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza-----+290.3
Gremio-----+122.4
Draw-----+239.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortaleza: 20.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fortaleza: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortaleza: 20.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML
No Steam Moves On Gremio ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+121o2½+107o2¼-118o2¼-122o2¼-119o2¼-122o2¼-118o2¼-111
Underu2½-142u2½-126u2¼-102u2¼+102u2¼-101u2¼+102u2½-126u2¼+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-111
Under-----u2¼+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.5%
 
No54.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.37%
Exactly 226.63%
Exactly 411.40%
Exactly 61.95%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.50%
Exactly 320.12%
Exactly 55.17%
Exactly 70.63%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 036.46%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.56%
Exactly 36.24%
Exactly 41.57%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 028.44%
Exactly 135.76%
Exactly 222.48%
Exactly 39.42%
Exactly 42.96%
Exactly 50.74%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.02%
Exactly 219.28%
Exactly 41.77%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 36.74%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 062.67%
Exactly 129.28%
Exactly 26.84%
Exactly 31.07%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 055.87%
Exactly 132.52%
Exactly 29.47%
Exactly 31.84%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals10.96%
Wins by 3+ goals3.06%
Wins by 4+ goals0.65%
Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals18.70%
Wins by 3+ goals6.44%
Wins by 4+ goals1.77%
Wins by 5+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortaleza
Gremio
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal18.66%
Wins by 2 goals7.90%
Wins by 3 goals2.41%
Wins by 4 goals0.56%
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal23.25%
Wins by 2 goals12.26%
Wins by 3 goals4.67%
Wins by 4 goals1.38%
Wins by 5 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.63%10.37%
1.566.13%33.87%
2.539.50%60.50%
3.519.38%80.62%
4.57.99%92.01%
5.52.82%97.18%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.54%36.46%
1.526.76%73.24%
2.58.20%91.80%
3.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.56%28.44%
1.535.80%64.20%
2.513.32%86.68%
3.53.89%96.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.98%35.02%
1.528.24%71.76%
2.58.96%91.04%
3.52.22%97.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortaleza
Gremio
Score012345
0
10.37%
13.04%
8.20%
3.43%
1.08%
0.27%
1
10.46%
13.16%
8.27%
3.47%
1.09%
0.27%
2
5.28%
6.64%
4.17%
1.75%
0.55%
0.14%
3
1.78%
2.23%
1.40%
0.59%
0.18%
0.05%
4
0.45%
0.56%
0.35%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Fortaleza
1-010.46%
2-05.28%
2-16.64%
3-01.78%
3-12.23%
3-21.40%
4-00.45%
4-10.56%
4-20.35%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-010.37%
1-113.16%
2-24.17%
3-30.59%
Gremio
0-113.04%
0-28.20%
1-28.27%
0-33.43%
1-33.47%
2-31.75%
0-41.08%
1-41.09%
2-40.55%
3-40.18%
0-50.27%
1-50.27%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortaleza
Gremio
Score01234
0
35.02%
20.38%
5.93%
1.15%
0.17%
1
16.36%
9.52%
2.77%
0.54%
0.08%
2
3.82%
2.22%
0.65%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.60%
0.35%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Fortaleza
1-016.36%
2-03.82%
2-12.22%
3-00.60%
3-10.35%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-035.02%
1-19.52%
2-20.65%
Gremio
0-120.38%
0-25.93%
1-22.77%
0-31.15%
1-30.54%
2-30.13%
0-40.17%
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