Vitória at Atletico Mineiro

Updated

Vitoria

15.0%21.4%63.6%
WinDrawAtletico Mineiro Win
0.80Projected Goals 1.91
2Final Score 2

Atletico Mineiro

Last 5 Games

Vitoria
Money Line
L 1-3 at Internacional
W 0-1 vs Juventude
W 2-0 at Atletico Goianiense
L 1-0 vs Vasco da Gama
L 1-2 at Sao Paulo
Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
L 1-2 at Palmeiras
W 0-3 vs Bragantino
L 0-3 at Bahia
W 3-2 at Gremio
L 2-0 vs Fluminense

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória+475-+390+395+403+400+403+424.5
Atletico Mineiro-175--120-118-123-118-118-106.6
Draw+310-+230+225+227+225+230+240.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória-----+424.5
Atletico Mineiro------106.6
Draw-----+240.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Vitória ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-104-o2-115o2-118o2-113o2-118o2-113o2-107
Underu2¼-116-u2-105u2-102u2-107u2-102u2-102u2+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-107
Under-----u2+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.0%
 
No53.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.62%
Exactly 224.40%
Exactly 414.99%
Exactly 63.68%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 117.98%
Exactly 322.08%
Exactly 58.14%
Exactly 71.43%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 044.93%
Exactly 135.95%
Exactly 214.38%
Exactly 33.84%
Exactly 40.77%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 014.74%
Exactly 128.22%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 317.24%
Exactly 48.25%
Exactly 53.16%
Exactly 61.01%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.45%
Exactly 222.48%
Exactly 42.96%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.76%
Exactly 39.42%
Exactly 50.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 069.04%
Exactly 125.58%
Exactly 24.74%
Exactly 30.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 041.21%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 216.19%
Exactly 34.78%
Exactly 41.06%
Exactly 50.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals4.41%
Wins by 3+ goals0.98%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals38.36%
Wins by 3+ goals18.71%
Wins by 4+ goals7.50%
Wins by 5+ goals2.50%
Wins by 6+ goals0.68%
Wins by 7+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Vitoria
Atletico Mineiro
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal10.54%
Wins by 2 goals3.43%
Wins by 3 goals0.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal25.21%
Wins by 2 goals19.65%
Wins by 3 goals11.21%
Wins by 4 goals5.00%
Wins by 5 goals1.82%
Wins by 6 goals0.55%
Wins by 7 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.38%6.62%
1.575.40%24.60%
2.551.00%49.00%
3.528.91%71.09%
4.513.93%86.07%
5.55.79%94.21%
6.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.07%44.93%
1.519.12%80.88%
2.54.74%95.26%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.26%14.74%
1.557.04%42.96%
2.530.02%69.98%
3.512.78%87.22%
4.54.53%95.47%
5.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.55%28.45%
1.535.78%64.22%
2.513.31%86.69%
3.53.89%96.11%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vitória
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
6.62%
12.68%
12.14%
7.75%
3.71%
1.42%
1
5.30%
10.14%
9.71%
6.20%
2.97%
1.14%
2
2.12%
4.06%
3.89%
2.48%
1.19%
0.45%
3
0.57%
1.08%
1.04%
0.66%
0.32%
0.12%
4
0.11%
0.22%
0.21%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
Vitoria
1-05.30%
2-02.12%
2-14.06%
3-00.57%
3-11.08%
3-21.04%
4-00.11%
4-10.22%
4-20.21%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-06.62%
1-110.14%
2-23.89%
3-30.66%
Atletico Mineiro
0-112.68%
0-212.14%
1-29.71%
0-37.75%
1-36.20%
2-32.48%
0-43.71%
1-42.97%
2-41.19%
3-40.32%
0-51.42%
1-51.14%
2-50.45%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Vitória
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
28.45%
25.22%
11.18%
3.30%
0.73%
0.13%
1
10.54%
9.34%
4.14%
1.22%
0.27%
0.05%
2
1.95%
1.73%
0.77%
0.23%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.24%
0.21%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Vitoria
1-010.54%
2-01.95%
2-11.73%
3-00.24%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-028.45%
1-19.34%
2-20.77%
Atletico Mineiro
0-125.22%
0-211.18%
1-24.14%
0-33.30%
1-31.22%
2-30.23%
0-40.73%
1-40.27%
0-50.13%