Athletico Paranaense at Corinthians

Updated 36 days ago

11:00 PM • Oct 17, 2024

Athletico Paranaense

16.3%24.8%58.9%

WinDrawCorinthians Win

0.71Projected Goals 1.60

2Final Score 5

Corinthians

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
L 1-0	10/05 vs Botafogo RJ
L 0-1	9/29 at Flamengo
T 0-0	9/22 at Criciuma
T 1-1	9/14 vs Fortaleza
L 2-0	9/01 vs Palmeiras

Corinthians		Money Line
T 2-2	10/05 vs Internacional
L 1-3	9/29 at Sao Paulo
W 0-3	9/21 vs Atletico Goianiense
L 1-2	9/15 at Botafogo RJ
W 1-2	9/01 vs Flamengo

Money Line Analysis

:4.3%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+370	-	+440	-	+456	-	+456	-
Corinthians	-130	-	-160	-	-165	-	-160	-
Draw	+270	-	+300	-	+295	-	+300	-

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	-
Corinthians	-	-	-	-	-	-
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Corinthians: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Corinthians: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Corinthians: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Corinthians: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Corinthians ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.8%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-118	-	o2½-115	-	o2½-118	-	o2½-115	-
Under	u2¼-102	-	u2½-105	-	u2½-102	-	u2½-102	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		-
Under		-	-	-	-	-		-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	40.5%


No	59.5%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	9.92%
Exactly 2	26.48%
Exactly 4	11.78%
Exactly 6	2.10%
Exactly 8	0.20%


Exactly 1	22.92%
Exactly 3	20.40%
Exactly 5	5.45%
Exactly 7	0.69%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	49.27%
Exactly 1	34.88%
Exactly 2	12.34%
Exactly 3	2.91%
Exactly 4	0.52%

Exact Goals Scored - Corinthians
Exactly 0	20.13%
Exactly 1	32.27%
Exactly 2	25.86%
Exactly 3	13.82%
Exactly 4	5.54%
Exactly 5	1.78%
Exactly 6	0.47%
Exactly 7	0.11%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	34.30%
Exactly 2	19.63%
Exactly 4	1.87%


Exactly 1	36.70%
Exactly 3	7.00%
Exactly 5	0.40%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	72.06%
Exactly 1	23.61%
Exactly 2	3.87%
Exactly 3	0.42%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Corinthians
Exactly 0	47.61%
Exactly 1	35.33%
Exactly 2	13.11%
Exactly 3	3.24%
Exactly 4	0.60%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	4.41%
Wins by 3+ goals	0.86%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.10%

Corinthians
Wins by 2+ goals	32.06%
Wins by 3+ goals	13.76%
Wins by 4+ goals	4.79%
Wins by 5+ goals	1.38%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Corinthians

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	11.83%
Wins by 2 goals	3.56%
Wins by 3 goals	0.75%
Wins by 4 goals	0.10%

Corinthians
Wins by 1 goal	26.79%
Wins by 2 goals	18.30%
Wins by 3 goals	8.97%
Wins by 4 goals	3.41%
Wins by 5 goals	1.05%
Wins by 6 goals	0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	90.08%	9.92%
1.5	67.16%	32.84%
2.5	40.68%	59.32%
3.5	20.28%	79.72%
4.5	8.50%	91.50%
5.5	3.06%	96.94%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	50.73%	49.27%
1.5	15.85%	84.15%
2.5	3.51%	96.49%

Total Goals Corinthians Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	79.87%	20.13%
1.5	47.60%	52.40%
2.5	21.74%	78.26%
3.5	7.92%	92.08%
4.5	2.38%	97.62%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	65.70%	34.30%
1.5	28.99%	71.01%
2.5	9.36%	90.64%
3.5	2.36%	97.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Corinthians

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9.92%	15.90%	12.74%	6.81%	2.73%	0.87%
1	7.02%	11.25%	9.02%	4.82%	1.93%	0.62%
2	2.48%	3.98%	3.19%	1.71%	0.68%	0.22%
3	0.59%	0.94%	0.75%	0.40%	0.16%	0.05%
4	0.10%	0.17%	0.13%	0.07%	0.03%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	7.02%
2-0	2.48%
2-1	3.98%
3-0	0.59%
3-1	0.94%
3-2	0.75%
4-0	0.10%
4-1	0.17%
4-2	0.13%

Draw
0-0	9.92%
1-1	11.25%
2-2	3.19%
3-3	0.40%

Corinthians
0-1	15.90%
0-2	12.74%
1-2	9.02%
0-3	6.81%
1-3	4.82%
2-3	1.71%
0-4	2.73%
1-4	1.93%
2-4	0.68%
3-4	0.16%
0-5	0.87%
1-5	0.62%
2-5	0.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Corinthians

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	34.30%	25.46%	9.45%	2.34%	0.43%
1	11.24%	8.34%	3.10%	0.77%	0.14%
2	1.84%	1.37%	0.51%	0.13%	0.02%
3	0.20%	0.15%	0.06%	0.01%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	11.24%
2-0	1.84%
2-1	1.37%
3-0	0.20%
3-1	0.15%

Draw
0-0	34.30%
1-1	8.34%
2-2	0.51%

Corinthians
0-1	25.46%
0-2	9.45%
1-2	3.10%
0-3	2.34%
1-3	0.77%
2-3	0.13%
0-4	0.43%
1-4	0.14%

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