Vitória at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Vitoria

22.7%26.8%50.6%
Vitória WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.45
2Final Score 1

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Vitoria
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Fluminense
W 0-1 vs Bragantino
T 2-2 at Atletico Mineiro
L 1-3 at Internacional
W 0-1 vs Juventude
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Cruzeiro
L 0-1 at Fluminense
L 2-5 at Corinthians
L 1-0 vs Botafogo RJ
L 0-1 at Flamengo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória+380-+380+420+399+420+420+446.2
Athletico Paranaense-135--125-128-126-128-125-114.8
Draw+270-+245+237+240+237+245+254.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória-----+446.2
Athletico Paranaense------114.8
Draw-----+254.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 20.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Vitória ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105-o2¼-105o2¼-102o2¼-104o2¼-102o2¼-102o2¼+107
Underu2¼-115-u2¼-115u2¼-118u2¼-116u2¼-118u2¼-115u2¼-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+107
Under-----u2¼-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.5%
 
No55.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.83%
Exactly 226.45%
Exactly 411.86%
Exactly 62.13%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.80%
Exactly 320.45%
Exactly 55.50%
Exactly 70.71%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 041.80%
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 215.90%
Exactly 34.62%
Exactly 41.01%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 023.51%
Exactly 134.04%
Exactly 224.64%
Exactly 311.89%
Exactly 44.30%
Exactly 51.25%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.16%
Exactly 219.70%
Exactly 41.89%
 
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 37.05%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 066.77%
Exactly 126.97%
Exactly 25.45%
Exactly 30.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 051.16%
Exactly 134.29%
Exactly 211.49%
Exactly 32.57%
Exactly 40.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals7.39%
Wins by 3+ goals1.81%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals25.18%
Wins by 3+ goals9.81%
Wins by 4+ goals3.06%
Wins by 5+ goals0.76%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Vitoria
Athletico Paranaense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal15.25%
Wins by 2 goals5.58%
Wins by 3 goals1.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal25.31%
Wins by 2 goals15.38%
Wins by 3 goals6.75%
Wins by 4 goals2.30%
Wins by 5 goals0.63%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.17%9.83%
1.567.37%32.63%
2.540.92%59.08%
3.520.47%79.53%
4.58.61%91.39%
5.53.11%96.89%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.20%41.80%
1.521.74%78.26%
2.55.84%94.16%
3.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.49%23.51%
1.542.45%57.55%
2.517.81%82.19%
3.55.92%94.08%
4.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.84%34.16%
1.529.15%70.85%
2.59.44%90.56%
3.52.39%97.61%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vitória
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
9.83%
14.23%
10.30%
4.97%
1.80%
0.52%
1
8.57%
12.41%
8.98%
4.33%
1.57%
0.45%
2
3.74%
5.41%
3.92%
1.89%
0.68%
0.20%
3
1.09%
1.57%
1.14%
0.55%
0.20%
0.06%
4
0.24%
0.34%
0.25%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Vitoria
1-08.57%
2-03.74%
2-15.41%
3-01.09%
3-11.57%
3-21.14%
4-00.24%
4-10.34%
4-20.25%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-09.83%
1-112.41%
2-23.92%
3-30.55%
Athletico Paranaense
0-114.23%
0-210.30%
1-28.98%
0-34.97%
1-34.33%
2-31.89%
0-41.80%
1-41.57%
2-40.68%
3-40.20%
0-50.52%
1-50.45%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Vitória
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
34.16%
22.90%
7.67%
1.71%
0.29%
1
13.80%
9.25%
3.10%
0.69%
0.12%
2
2.79%
1.87%
0.63%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.38%
0.25%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Vitoria
1-013.80%
2-02.79%
2-11.87%
3-00.38%
3-10.25%
Draw
0-034.16%
1-19.25%
2-20.63%
Athletico Paranaense
0-122.90%
0-27.67%
1-23.10%
0-31.71%
1-30.69%
2-30.14%
0-40.29%
1-40.12%